U.S. Relaxes Its Mark-to- -Market Standards

Published in Mainichi
(Japan) on 22 May 2009
by Atsuo Yamaguchi (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Patrick Co. Edited by Louis Standish.
No matter how it looks, it’s still walking on a tightrope. We should discuss these selfish policies.

I was able to visit New York, the epicenter of the financial crisis, this April. My older brother, who practices law in Germany, was an apprentice in America for one week over ten years ago, and has since visited New York almost every year. New York, briskly prospering from the IT bubble, while repeatedly falling victim to panic at the same time; each time he saw the center of the world economy.

This time, he visited a New York recovering from the financial crisis. In the middle of Easter, centers like Times Square and Fifth Avenue were full of bustle. However, if you leave the island of Manhattan, you see a surge of people who have lost their homes to foreclosure who are now living in tents.

Susumu Tokunaga, who has been running a real estate business in New York for thirty years said, “There is almost no buying, selling or leasing. Now it’s like being in the midst of a hurricane.” In the center of Manhattan, the rent for condominiums is expensive, and there are many investment bank employees, but the financial crisis has caused more contracts to be terminated. In the past, when collecting capital from investors from all over the world, the price of Manhattan’s condominiums has as much as tripled in one hour. With no buyers, the transaction cost has not been fixed until now. To America, like the bursting of Japan’s economic bubble, it was as if the financial crisis arrived in one stroke.

The most discussed topic on Wall Street, the center of finance, is the mark-to-market accounting standard alleviation. On the balance sheet from the period of January to March 2009, most American financial institutions were found to have ended in the black. However, the truth is that this was the result of standard mark-to-market accounting relief and accompanied by the fact that the number of those going into the red due to delinquent assets had decreased.

Even in Japan, there are many corporate managers who are sensitive to mark-to-market accounting. In July 1999, at the editorial department of the "Economist," I participated in the editing of a special issue titled “Finance Revolution.” At the time, Japan was in the vortex of a financial crisis symbolized by the bankruptcies of San’ichi securities and Japan's long-term credit banks. On the other hand, America was welcoming the peak of the IT bubble when I heard Wall Street comments like “the Japanese stock market is like a minefield.” The consensus was that Japanese companies were smack full of accounting fraud and were frightened to invest. Accordingly, there was pressure from America to increase the transparency of city markets, which led Japan to introduce mark-to-market accounting from its account settlements in March 2001.

Ironically, America, with its critical comments like “the Japanese market is a minefield,” has this time fallen into a financial crisis, and in an act of betrayal, has turned to mark-to-market accounting standard mitigation.

Of course, even Wall Street had many questions as to whether the transparency of the banks' financial affairs under mark-to-marketing accounting mitigation would be maintained. One portion of the financial institutions will even wait and see whether to hire new employees.

Japanese who are working for American investment banks ask whether mark-marketing accounting standard mitigation is selfish. In response, they are told “You don’t understand. This is the American standard.” It is clear that the system will be changed to maintain the competitiveness of one’s own country. The “American Standard” is still going strong. It is not because of mark-to-market accounting that management exists. Rather, it is because of management that accounting exists. And if the economy recovers, the Americans will say “We are the world’s standard; the way that foreign countries do it is wrong.”

In the midst of a financial crisis, Japan introduced mark-to-market accounting. Moreover, the banks and corporations, loathing the losses that accompany change, moved to sell all their stock holdings at once. In April of 2003, the average stock price in Japan sunk to its lowest since of the end of the bubble economy. Businesses that had lost strong stock holders, like the Murakami Fund, became targets for shareholder activists. However, with the introduction of mark-to-market accounting mitigation, the disposal of banks’ bad loans progressed, and considering that the economy was able to make a comeback afterwards, we can have a positive assessment of the results.

This time however, America’s introduction of mark-to-market accounting standard mitigation comes at the worst possible time. It seems that America only looked at the results of Japan’s precedent, which had invited stock prices to decline. That alone will worsen America’s financial crisis. Regardless of appearance, it is still walking on a tightrope.

From the view of Japan’s political and financial world, America’s mark-to-market accounting standard mitigation is ten-odd years of hearing “America is everything.” And considering the academic world’s devotion to America, they will surely be disappointed as well. But this time, America’s selfishness will not just be “somebody else’s problem.” To Japanese banks, which due to the recovering economy and their opposition to hostile takeover were thus able to stabilize stock prices, a new lowering of stock prices would inflate losses and damage balance sheets. The danger that they will once again fall into a management crisis also cannot be denied.

Taking the lessons from end of the Japanese-U.S. bubble into consideration, there should be more serious discussion about whether accounting mitigation should be done during a time of financial crisis.


記者の目:米金融機関の時価会計基準緩和=山口敦雄(毎日ビジネス・ブックス編集部)
 ◇なりふりかまわぬ綱渡り 「明日は我が身」議論急げ

 金融危機の震源地、米ニューヨークをこの4月に訪れた。ニューヨークは、10年ほど前に、ドイツで弁護士をしている兄が、米国で司法修習を受けていた時に1週間滞在して以来、毎年のように訪れている。ITバブルで活況に沸くニューヨーク、同時多発テロで落ち込んだニューヨーク……ことある度に世界経済の中心地を見てきた。

 今回の訪問は、金融危機後のニューヨークだった。イースター(復活祭)さなかということもあって、タイムズスクエアや5番街などの中心街はにぎわいを見せていた。しかし、一歩、マンハッタン島を離れると「フォークロージャー(差し押さえ)」で家を失ってテント生活を余儀なくされる人々が急増しているという。

 ニューヨークで30年前から不動産業を営む徳永晋さんは「売買、賃貸ともに取引がほとんどない。いまは台風の真っただ中にいるようなものだ」と語る。マンハッタンの中心街のコンドミニアムは家賃が高く投資銀行勤めの人が多かったが、この金融危機で解約が増加しているという。かつては世界中の投資家の資金が集まって、マンハッタンのコンドミニアムの価格は、一時は3倍にも上昇したが、いまでは買い手がなく取引価格が定まらない状態だという。アメリカは、かつての日本のバブル崩壊、金融危機が一気に来たような状況だった。

 金融の中心地、ウォール街で最も話題になっていたのは「時価会計の基準緩和」である。09年1~3月期決算では多くの米金融機関が黒字転換を果たした。だが、その内実は「時価会計の基準緩和に伴って不良資産の損失計上が減った」効果だという。

 日本でも「時価会計」という言葉には敏感に反応する企業経営者は多いだろう。エコノミスト編集部で99年7月に臨時増刊号「会計革命」の編集に携わったが、当時の日本は山一証券や日本長期信用銀行の破綻(はたん)に象徴される金融危機の渦中にあった。一方で米国はITバブルの絶頂期を迎えようとしていて、ウォール街からは「日本市場は地雷原のようなものだ」という声が聞かれた。日本企業は粉飾決算だらけで怖くて投資できないというわけだ。そこで、市場の透明性を高めるために、米国の圧力もあり、日本は01年3月期決算から時価会計を導入したのだ。

 「日本市場は地雷原」と酷評した米国が、今回、金融危機に陥ると、手のひらを返すように、時価会計基準を緩和するという。

 もちろん、ウォール街でも、「時価会計の基準緩和」に対して、「果たして銀行の財務の透明性が保たれるのか」との批判は多いという。一部の金融機関では採用を見送ったところもある。

 米系投資銀行に勤める日本人に「(時価会計の基準緩和は)いくらなんでも身勝手なのではないのか」と尋ねてみた。彼の答えは「わかっていないな。これこそがアメリカンスタンダードですよ」。自国の競争力維持のためには制度変更はあたり前だということだ。「アメリカンスタンダード」はいまだに健在だった。「会計基準があっての経営ではなく、経営があっての会計」というわけだ。そして経済が好況になると「我こそは世界の基準であり、他国のやり方は間違っている」というおごりが出てくる。

 日本は金融危機の真っただ中で時価会計を導入した。それに伴う含み損の発生を嫌った銀行、事業会社らが持ち株の一斉売却に動き、03年4月、日経平均株価は当時としてのバブル崩壊後の最安値を更新した。安定株主を失った企業は村上ファンドなど「モノ言う株主」の標的となった。ただし、時価会計の導入で銀行の不良債権処理が進み、その後の景気回復につながったという見方もあって、評価は分かれるところだ。

 今回の米国の時価会計基準緩和は、時価会計を最悪のタイミングで導入して、株価暴落を招いた日本の前例を結果的に学んだのかもしれない。それだけ米国の金融危機が深刻で、なりふりかまわず綱渡りしているというのが実態だといえよう。

 この、米国の時価会計基準緩和は、ここ十数年来の「米国こそがすべてだ」といった日本の政財界、学界の米国一辺倒の流れからすると拍子抜けする。しかし、たとえ、今回、米国が身勝手であったとしても、これは決して対岸の火事ではない。日本の金融危機後、景気回復や敵対的買収への対抗から、「株式持ち合い」を復活させてきた邦銀にとって、今回の株安は含み損を膨らませ、決算を傷めている。再び深刻な経営危機に陥る危険も否定できない。

 日米バブル崩壊の教訓をふまえ、金融危機下での会計基準のあり方について真剣な議論が必要だ。まさに「明日は我が身」なのである。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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