The Silent Election

Published in ABC
(Spain) on 10 March 2010
by Ramón Pérez-Maura (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Adam Zimmerman. Edited by Alex Brewer.
Perhaps they know that last Sunday there was a general election in Iraq. Its coverage in the editorial pages of the Spanish newspapers has been muted — ABC is the proud exception. With bombs, the Iraqi people came out en masse to vote. Some statistics are particularly relevant. Five years ago in Anbar, for example, only 3,375 votes were cast — 2 percent of the population. On Sunday, 61 percent voted there. As in the rest of the provinces with Sunni majorities, the polls went from being nearly empty in the first general election to being at or about half full. With two elections held with a high degree of popular support, and a democratic transparency rivaled only by Lebanon’s in the Arab world, the question is if victory can be declared, or if it is better to remain prudent.

It seems clear that prudence is always a good adviser. The eagerness of President Obama last Sunday to announce that the elections would accelerate the timetable for the return of troops seems a bit imprudent. Too much has been achieved to risk it now. The success of the surge is there for all to see. The West has in the heart of the Middle East a democracy that is defeating al-Qaida and that could be fertile ground for the creation of a new Hezbollah. With Turkey in the hands of an Islamist majority that pulls the country away from the West and with Iran in the process of getting the bomb, do we want to lose this opportunity in Iraq? It is clear that the scant echo from this election is due to the shame felt by the many people who declared that Iraq could never become a democracy; I would love to hear what Miguel Ángel Moratinos [Spain’s Minister of Foreign Affairs] has to say on the subject. Maybe last week, when he walked along George Bush Avenue in Tiflis, he took a moment to reflect on it. I wish.


Quizá sepan que el pasado domingo hubo elecciones generales en Irak. Su glosa en las páginas editoriales de los diarios españoles ha sido atemperada -ABC es la digna excepción. Entre bombas, los iraquíes salieron en masa a votar. Algunos datos son muy relevantes. Un lustro atrás en Anbar, por ejemplo, sólo se emitieron 3.375 sufragios -un 2 por ciento del censo. El domingo votó allí el 61 por ciento. Como en el resto de las provincias de mayoría sunní, las urnas pasaron de quedarse casi vacías en las primeras elecciones generales a estar en la media de participación nacional o por encima. Con dos elecciones celebradas con alto respaldo popular y una transparencia democrática a la que sólo el Líbano se aproxima en todo el mundo árabe, la cuestión es si ya se puede cantar victoria o si hay que ser prudentes todavía.
Parece evidente que la prudencia es siempre buena consejera. El afán del presidente Obama el pasado domingo por anunciar que las elecciones aceleraban el calendario de regreso de sus tropas parece un tanto imprudente. Es mucho lo logrado para ponerlo en riesgo ahora. El éxito del «surge» está a la vista de todos. Occidente tiene en el corazón de Oriente Medio un aliado democrático que está venciendo a Al Qaida y que puede ser terreno fértil para un intento de crear una nueva Hizbolá. Con Turquía en manos de una mayoría islamista que la aleja de Occidente y con Irán en el proceso de conseguir la bomba ¿podemos perder esta oportunidad en Irak? Es evidente que el escaso eco de esta elección es debido a la vergüenza que deben sentir los muchos que anunciaron que Irak no podía ser nunca una democracia; estoy deseando oír sobre el asunto a Miguel Ángel Moratinos. Quizá hace una semana, cuando recorrió la avenida George Bush de Tiflis, tuviera ocasión de reflexionar al respecto. Ojalá.
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