California, a state famous for being a pioneer in liberalizing social action, has given up the pursuit of its openness and rejected the legalization of marijuana.
Proposition 19 would have allowed limited cultivation and consumption of cannabis to people over 21 years of age. In hindsight, it was probably a premature proposal, and without a doubt it was a gamble of enormous depth. Hence the decision taken by the people of California on Tuesday was greeted with relief by the U.S. and Mexican federal authorities, who feared a contagion effect and have since renewed their vows in the joint fight against drug trafficking.
Between 50 and 60 percent of Mexico's drug business comes from marijuana. Legalization across the border would have had an impact on their business. If California had approved Proposition 19, the state would have collected an additional $1.3 billion a year in cannabis taxation. This proposition would have made California more than just the Netherlands of America. The liberal spearhead in a country dedicated to the repression of narcotics trafficking, California would have begun a path impossible to travel alone but that would have forced international agencies to raise the debate on a scientific foundation.
The lack of previous experiences certainly does not facilitate this task, but the magnitude of the problem and the failure of repressive politics make it necessary. The fact that California has voted 'no' is just a postponement of this debate.
Entre el 50% y el 60% del negocio de los narcos mexicanos proviene de la marihuana. Su legalización al otro lado de la frontera habrÃa tenido repercusiones en su negocio. De haberse aprobado la Proposición, California calculaba recaudar en impuestos al cannabis unos 1.300 millones de dólares anuales adicionales. Esta Proposición habrÃa convertido a California en algo más que la Holanda americana. Punta de lanza en el paÃs adalid de la represión del narcotráfico, California habrÃa iniciado un camino quizá imposible de recorrer en solitario pero que hubiera forzado a los organismos internacionales a plantear el debate sobre cimientos cientÃficos. La falta de experiencias anteriores no facilita la tarea, pero la envergadura del problema y el fracaso de la polÃtica represiva lo hacen necesario. El no californiano es solo un aplazamiento de ese debate.
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Venezuela is likely to become another wasted crisis, resembling events that followed when the U.S. forced regime changes in Libya, Afghanistan and Iraq.