Gates Should Learn Lessons from Cold War

Published in Wenweipo
(Hong Kong) on 10 June 2011
by Huang Haizhen (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sharon Chiao. Edited by .

Edited by Jenette Axelrod

 

 

 

U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates recently threw out the notion of “learning from the arms race between the Soviet Union and the U.S.” It seems like idle talk, but in reality it is a threat. According to Gates’ logic, the Soviet Union went beyond its limits while competing with the United States in the arms race, which lead to its downfall. Actually, in 1957, the year the Cold War started, the Soviet Union launched a satellite into space, and this caused America to be afraid. As a result, space and many other fields became part of the arms race. The arms race between both the Soviet Union and the United States was not one-sided. The arms race harmed both sides, not just the Soviet Union. The Cold War and the arms race exhausted Washington’s primary national power; it almost caused the U.S. dollar’s empire to collapse. Following the disintegration of the Soviet Union, of all the players in the world, the Pentagon should have been the one to absorb the lessons from the Cold War.

America’s debt has already passed $15 trillion, far exceeding the $14.3 trillion limit set by Congress. Expanding the debt has already become Washington’s heavy “time bomb.” At any time, this may cause panic and bring about a catastrophe. In 1957, after the Soviet Union launched its satellite, Khrushchev said, “We are making missiles like sausages.” U.S. President Eisenhower ordered, “Regardless of how much money is spent, how many people it takes, how much we borrow — these are all irrelevant; all related departments are required to be wholly inclined to catch up, in the shortest period of time, to catch up with the Soviet Union, until America launches a satellite into space.”* This is why the White House’s “fear of the Soviet Union” policy, which has lasted until today, still troubles America’s huge debt problem.

The Pentagon Has Contracted the “Cold War Illness”

Even according to the American media’s “data on Sino-U.S. military balance of power,” it can be seen that China is not capable of nor is it prepared to compete with the United States in an arms race. In 2010, China spent $78 billion on military expenditures, while America spent $729 billion. China has 1,320 fighter planes, while the United States has 2,379; China has no stealth fighters, while America has 139; aircraft carriers number zero to 11; the number of submarines is 65 to 71; the number of destroyers is 27 to 57; the number of nuclear warheads is 240 to 9,400. This extreme disparity between military strength has also caused Gates to give a “warning” to China, which shows that the Pentagon’s psychological state is not well; the Pentagon needs to reflect and review its situation. As Henry Kissinger said, “Treating China as an enemy increases the likelihood that it will become one; an appropriate definition of U.S.-Sino relations should be cooperative partners.”**

When Gates’ stated, “Advances by the Chinese military in cyber and anti-satellite warfare pose a potential challenge to” us, it showed that he is stuck in the Cold War mentality. If it is said that advances by the Chinese are a threat to the U.S. — the world is advancing every hour of every day, regardless of whether it is the Americas or Asia, East or West, society, economy, technology or military; they are all advancing. If the U.S. sees the advancement of another country as a threat, then it can only be said that the Pentagon has contracted the “Cold War illness.” Since World War II, the United States relied on military strength. The United States established military bases in 124 countries around the world, have 11 aircraft carriers cruising the world’s five oceans, and its airplanes, guided missiles and Special Forces, at all hours, threaten many other countries. Because of the United States’ look of hostility, many countries must develop their own military industry.

“Cyber-Bully”: A Thief Yelling “Thief” and Making Threats

After Obama took power, he made a high-profile announcement that he had already formed a 100,000-strong elite “cyber-army” and that it had already become a reality. Almost every day, this “cyber-army” engages in every type of cyber-attack and harassment toward other countries including White House allies, Russia and 180 other countries. Because the United States grasps the key aspects of the Internet industry, it has already become a true “cyber-bully.” All the White House has to do is give the order, and the 100,000-strong “cyber-army” will get busy tapping their keyboards. This can cause other countries to lose control over their guided missiles, have radar failure, communication breakdowns and even can allow the United States to freely mobilize other countries’ armies and then outwit them. However, Obama is like a thief yelling “thief” by saying, “It’s now clear this cyber threat is one of the most serious economic and national security challenges we face as a nation.”

In the middle of the last century, the United States boasted powerful air superiority; every year it would enter Russia’s airspace over 10,000 times and would often hold large-scale military exercises to allow strategic bomber planes to fly around Russia’s borders. Facing America’s threats, Russia hoped to quickly create nuclear warheads that could hit America’s intercontinental ballistic missiles as a means of deterring America. On Oct. 4, 1957, when the Soviet Union launched a satellite into space, it caused strong reactions and panic in the United States. The New York Times, at that time, repeatedly said, “The satellite travels 18,000 miles every hour, and would pass over U.S. airspace every 15 minutes.”* If one was to investigate the cause of the U.S.-Soviet Cold War, one would discover that it was Washington’s doing.

*Editor’s Note: These quotes, accurately translated, could not be verified.
**Editor’s Note: “If you treat China as an enemy, China will become an enemy” is a statement attributed to former U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense Joseph Nye. The quote in the story, while accurately translated, could not be verified as attributable to Henry Kissinger.



美國國防部長蓋茨近期拋出「不要學蘇聯和美國展開軍備競賽」說法,貌似閒聊,實為威脅。按照蓋茨的邏輯,是蘇聯不自量力和美國軍備競賽,導致解體垮台。事實上,當年的冷戰源於1957年蘇聯衛星上天,引起美國恐慌,隨後出現了包括太空等諸多領域的系列軍備競賽。軍備競賽在蘇美間進行,是雙方而非單方面。軍備競賽給雙方造成傷害,亦非只在蘇聯顯現。冷戰和競賽耗盡華盛頓的主要國力,幾乎導致美元帝國的垮台。隨著蘇聯的解體,應該從軍備競賽吸取教訓的不是別人,正是五角大樓本身。

 美國現在的債務已經超過15萬億美元,遠遠超過美國國會訂下的14.3萬億的上限,龐大的債務已經成為華盛頓的重磅「定時炸彈」,隨時可能引發恐慌和災難。1957年蘇聯衛星上天後,面對赫魯曉夫「做洲際導彈猶如做香腸」的講話,美國總統艾森豪威爾下了死命令:「無論耗多少錢、要多少人、借多少債,都無所謂,要求相關部門務須傾全部精力追趕,在最短的時間內趕上蘇聯,將美國的衛星射向太空」。正是因為白宮這個「恐蘇」決策,衍生了至今仍然困擾美利堅的龐大債務問題。

五角大樓仍然患「冷戰病」

 即便按照美國媒體的「中美軍事實力對比資料」,也可以看到中國並沒有能力也不具備和美國進行競賽的條件。中美2010年軍費開支分別為780億和7290億美元;戰鬥機數量為1320架比2379架;隱形戰機為0比139,航母數0比11;潛艇數65比71,驅逐艦27比57;核彈頭240枚比9400枚。如此懸殊極大的軍事實力對比,也會引發蓋茨發出對中國的「警告」,顯示五角大樓心理處於「亞健康狀態」,需要反思和檢討。正如基辛格說的「如果硬要將中國當作敵人,中國可能就會變成敵人;美中關係的恰當定義應該是合作夥伴。」

 蓋茨的「中國在網戰、反衛星戰等方面取得的進步對我們是潛在的挑戰」,說明其仍然停留在冷戰思維。如果說「中國有進步,是對美國的威脅」,那麼世界每時每刻都在進步,無論是美洲還是亞洲,東方或者西方,社會、經濟、科技、軍事都在進步,硬要將他國的進步當作威脅,只能說五角大樓仍然患「冷戰病」。二戰以來,美國借助軍事優勢,在全球124個國家佈置了軍事基地,11艘航母群游弋在世界五大洋,其飛機、導彈、特種部隊時時刻刻威脅著許多國家。正因為美國的虎視眈眈,許多國家不得不發展自己的軍事工業。

「網霸」賊喊捉賊稱受威脅

 奧巴馬上台以後,向全球高調宣佈已經組建了由10萬計算機精英構築的「網軍」,並已進入實戰狀態。「網軍」已經對包括白宮盟友、俄羅斯等世界180個國家進行各種網絡攻勢,幾乎每天都對他國進行攻擊和網絡干擾。由於美國掌握了因特網產業鏈上的所有關鍵環節,美國已經成為名副其實的超級「網霸」。只要白宮一聲令下,10萬「網軍」輕敲鍵盤,就可以讓他國導彈失控、雷達失靈、通訊中斷,甚至可以隨意調動他國軍隊而出奇制勝。但奧巴馬卻賊喊捉賊地說,「網戰對美國的威脅,比恐怖威脅大得多」。

 上世紀中葉,美國憑強大的空中優勢,每年入侵蘇聯領空超過1萬次,並經常舉行大規模軍事演習,讓戰略轟炸機在蘇聯家門口轟鳴。面對美國的威脅,蘇聯希望盡快造出能夠攜帶核彈頭、可以打到美國的洲際導彈,以作阻嚇。當蘇聯第一顆人造衛星1957年10月4日進入太空後,在美利堅大地引起了強烈反響和恐慌。《紐約時報》當時也推波助瀾地介紹說,「衛星以每小時1.8萬英里的速度飛行,每15分鐘就越過美國上空一次。」如果要追究美蘇間出現冷戰的原因,也是被華盛頓逼出來的。
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