Why Is the U.S. Concerned about the Development of the Chinese Air Force?

Published in Wenweipo
(Hong Kong) on 7 September 2011
by Ni Eryan (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Pak Ng. Edited by Hoishan Chan.
Another new version of the “China threat theory” has appeared in the U.S. The Wall Street Journal recently published an editorial saying that although many observers of China's military are still focusing on China’s first aircraft carrier platform sea trial last month, the decision-makers in the U.S. military and other Asian countries must not neglect the other aspects of China’s military force — that China’s military strength has been growing continuously; that China’s air force may one day play the most important role in challenging U.S. military power in the Asia-Pacific region; and that China’s air force will control East Asia with its 1,600 strong fighter jets.

At the same time, the potential reductions in the budget of the U.S. Air Force may further downgrade its capacity to protect U.S. national interests. Independent military observers in Beijing thought that the attitude of the U.S. media, always the first to worry about the world before the world worries about itself, has in fact represented the anxiety and misunderstanding of certain politicians and military figures about the Chinese air force’s push for increasing development. However, there is no reason for such concern, which is in fact the result of a Cold War mentality. It does not fit in with the principles set up for developing the relationship between the Chinese and American militaries, nor does it go along with the recently improved atmosphere in Sino-U.S. relations. Why, then, have some people in the U.S. developed an anxiety about the development of China’s air force?

The world is at peace but the superpower is anxious by itself

Even though this article thought that the Chinese air force is still currently several years behind compared to the U.S. Air Force in areas such as fighting experience, military personnel training and drafting military action plans, it pointed out that the Chinese air force is focused on increasing such abilities and hoping to challenge the U.S. head on. It emphasized that the Chinese air force has sped up its reforms and is trying to convert itself from a force that lacks training and possesses only simple equipment into a fighting force with continuously growing power. Such dramatic changes have already been reflected on many levels and in many aspects in the Chinese air force, including its military actions, organizational structure, quality of its men, educational level, military training and weaponry equipment. And these changes will continue.

Based on these changes, the U.S. media concluded that “the Chinese air force may one day play the most important role in challenging the U.S.’s military might in the Asia-Pacific region,” but such a conclusion is weak. It is obvious that the fighting capabilities of the Chinese air force and its American counterpart are not at the same level, and the Chinese air force has neither the intention nor the ability to challenge the U.S. Air Force.

Why, then, do some in the U.S. still make irresponsible remarks about the Chinese air force’s normal development? Perhaps we can find the answers in the U.S.’s usual hegemonic reasoning and current situation: Because of the downgrading of its sovereign debt and the persisting economic downturn, the U.S. military urgently needs a reason to maintain the size of its budget. Therefore, the normal development of the Chinese air force is used as an excuse by some people or interest groups.

Grasping at straws and causing great obstruction based on strategic anxiety

In discussing its concern about the development of the Chinese air force, the editorial even made a show of being earnest and analyzed the number of Chinese fighter jets. It claimed that the Chinese air force has a total of 1,600 fighter jets, and “as Chinese pilots begin to engage in joint operations, night exercises and longer-range missions from its dozens of bases in coastal regions, the specter of a Chinese air umbrella over eastern Asia begins to look less far-fetched.” Expert analysis has deemed such a perspective untenable. Although the Chinese air force has a great quantity of fighter jets, its air defense responsibility is not compatible with that of other East Asian countries. Also, the Chinese air force’s most advanced and newest fighter jets are still not as advanced as those of the Japanese Air Self-Defence Force, and its joint training level is behind that of the South Korean air force. The Chinese air force has also not had any conflict with these two countries’ air forces; therefore, there is no such issue of the need to control East Asia.

Observers think that the Obama administration’s high profile announcement of “returning to Asia” and frequent joint military exercises with other countries around China actually reflect the U.S.’s strategic shift and mental anxiety. Therefore, by creating a so-called “Chinese air force controlling East Asia” theory, the U.S. is hoping to promote the “China threat theory,” thereby increasing the fear of China in its neighboring countries, therefore realizing the U.S.’s strategic objective: To construct a political defense against China and a military dependence on the U.S.

Relieving anxiety requires one who looks for anxiety

Observers also pointed out that China has always put “respect, mutual trust, reciprocity and mutual benefit” as its basic principles in developing the Sino-U.S. military relationship and has been willing to explore ways and means to increase mutual trust with the armed forces of the U.S. The U.S., as the country that possesses the most powerful military in the world, should be rational, objective and inclusive when looking at the development of China’s military strength and should not make unwarranted charges with ulterior motives. Otherwise, the U.S. will be looking to inflict trouble on itself and therefore do a great disservice to the development of the Sino-U.S. military relationship.


止戈為武:美國對中國空軍發展「憂」從何來?

妮爾硯 軍事評論員

  美國「中國威脅論」又出新版本。美國《華爾街日報》近日發表報道評論稱,雖然許多中國軍事觀察家還 在關注中國上個月首艘航母平台出海試航事件,但美國和亞洲國家軍事決策者不能忽視中國軍力的另一方面:中國軍力正在不斷增長,中國空軍可能會在某一天在挑 戰美國亞太地區軍事力量方面發揮最重要的作用,擔憂中國空軍憑借1600架戰機控制東亞。與此同時,美國空軍預
算潛在的削減計劃可能會進一步降低空軍保護 美國國家利益的能力。北京獨立軍事觀察家認為,美國媒體這種「先天下之憂而憂」的表現,實際代表了美國部分政界和軍界人士對中國空軍推進跨越式發展的擔心 和誤解,但這些擔憂均是沒有道理的,實際上還是冷戰思維的結果,既與發展中美兩軍關係的基本原則不相適宜,也與當下中美關係回暖的氛圍不相適宜。那麼,美 國一些人對中國空軍發展的「憂」從何來呢?

「天下本無事,強國自擾之」

  這篇評論雖然認為,目前中國空軍在戰鬥經驗、人員培訓、制定軍事行動計劃方面仍然與美國空軍存在數 年的差距,但中國空軍正在集中提高這些能力,希望迎頭趕上,突出中國空軍部隊正在加快轉型建設,試圖從一個裝備簡陋缺乏訓練的部隊轉變為一個實力不斷增強 的戰鬥部隊,這種戲劇性的變化已經反映在中國空軍的多個層面,包括軍事使命、組織結構、單兵素質、教育程度、軍事培訓和武器裝備,並且這種變化還將持續下 去。觀察家指出,美國媒體就此判斷「中國空軍可能會在某一天在挑戰美國亞太地區軍事力量方面發揮最重要的作用」顯然是蒼白無力的。雖然中美兩國空軍的戰鬥 力水平根本不在一個檔次,中國空軍無意也無力挑戰美國空軍,那麼美方為何還要以多種形式對中國空軍的正常發展說三道四,或許從美方慣有的霸權思維和現實處 境能找到原因,由於主權債務級別的下調和經濟形勢的持續低迷,美軍迫切需要一個理由來維持軍費規模,所以中國空軍的正常發展就被一些人或利益集團拿來說 事。

「戰略焦慮,抓小堵大」

  為了強化對中國空軍發展的憂慮,評論還煞有介事地用中國戰機的數量進行分析,聲稱中國空軍擁有 1600架戰機,「當中國飛行員開始參與聯合軍事行動,進行夜間飛行演習和從中國沿海地區數十個基地執行遠程飛行任務的時候,外界對中國空軍控制東亞地區 的恐懼開始增加。」專家分析認為,這種觀點是根本站不住腳的。中國空軍雖然擁有的軍機數量不少,但擔負的防空任務也是東亞國家無法比擬的,何況中國空軍高 新尖機種比不上日本空中自衛隊,聯合訓練水平比不上韓國空軍,特別是中國空軍基本上沒有與這兩個國家的空軍發生過空中誤判和對峙 ,扯不上控制東亞的問題。觀察家認為,美國奧巴馬政府高調宣稱「要重返亞洲」,軍事上在中國周邊頻繁與他國進行聯合軍演,實際上反映的是戰略轉移和心態焦 慮。而製造所謂「中國空軍控制東亞」論,則是美國希望通過宣傳「中國威脅論」,加重這些周邊國家對中國的恐懼心理,從而實現在政治上構築防範中國、在軍事 上更加倚靠美國的戰略圖謀。

解憂還需「尋」憂人

  觀察家指出,中國一直將「尊重、互信、對等、互惠」作為發展中美兩軍關係的基本原則,並願與美方探 討兩軍增進互信的方式與途徑。作為世界上擁有最強大軍隊的美國,也應理性、客觀、包容地看待中國軍力的發展,不能橫加指責或借題發揮。否則,那就是自找煩惱,也給發展中美兩軍關係幫了倒忙。
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