The Decline of the Middle Classes

Published in El Pais
(Spain) on 23 August 2012
by Lluís Bassets (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Khald Peche. Edited by .

Edited by Lydia Dallett

The American middle class is shrinking and becoming more impoverished at the same pace that middle classes in emerging countries like Brazil, China, India and Russia are expanding, prospering and thrive. A survey conducted by the Pew Research Center has clearly detected this highly fascinating modification in the curve of social mobility that also coincides with U.S. hegemony around the world. It also corresponds with the first decade of the twenty-first century: a decade denominated by central psychological studies as the “lost decade.” It’s no wonder: The middle class has decreased from 61 percent of U.S. society to 51 percent. Its annual revenues have decreased from $72,956 to $69,487, approximately a 5 percent [drop.] Its wealth (assets minus debts) has shrunk still more, from $129,582 to an average of $83,150, a 28 percent drop. This trend is probably also taking place in Europe and certainly in Spain.

The survey has a clear electoral motivation, coming just two months before the presidential election. Hence, the participants in the survey were asked about the reasons for this impoverishment to see how it may influence behavior at the polls. A full 62 percent of respondents put the blame on Congress, which has become an insurmountable obstacle to the decisions and policies against this crisis. 54 percent blame banks and financial institutions, which are at the origin of the crisis; 47 percent put the blame on businesses; 44 percent blame the legacy of Bush; and 34 percent blame the decline on the Obama administration. Only 8 percent is attributed to the middle classes themselves, and 34 percent [is linked] to foreign competition.

These latter reasons deserve special attention. Nothing has favored the creation of wealth in Europe and the U.S. more than economic globalization; falling wages has allowed the relocation or expansion of consumption through the creation of global markets. However, it is now clear that those who have taken full advantage of this process, at least in the last decade, are the richest in the wealthy countries and the middle classes in emerging countries. Their wealth has precisely come at the expense of American and European middle classes. If the distribution of the global pie has to be constantly devoted to the bulk of the population - in other words, to the middle classes - then the wages, wealth and government welfare should decline in Europe and the U.S. for it to increase in Brazil, Russia, India and China.


El declive de las clases medias

Por: Lluís Bassets | 23 de agosto de 2012

La clase media de Estados Unidos se encoge y empobrece justo en el mismo momento en que se ensanchan y prosperan las clases medias de los países emergentes, Brasil, China, India, Rusia. Una encuesta del Pew Research Center ha detectado muy claramente esta curiosa modificación en la curva de una ascensión social que coincidía también con la hegemonía estadounidense en el mundo y que corresponde exactamente a la primera década del siglo XXI, a la que el centro de estudios sociológicos denomina la ‘década perdida’. No es para menos: las clases medias han pasado de representar el 61 por ciento de la sociedad al 51 por ciento; sus ingresos anuales han disminuido de 72.956 dólares a 69.487, un 5 por ciento; y su riqueza (activos menos endeudamiento) todavía se ha encogido más, de 129.582 dólares de media a 83.150, un 28 por ciento, unas tendencias que probablemente también se están registrando en Europa y, sin duda alguna, en España.
La encuesta tiene una motivación electoral muy clara, apenas dos meses antes de la elección presidencial. De ahí que se pregunte a los encuestados sobre los motivos de este empobrecimiento, para observar cómo puede incidir en el comportamiento ante las urnas. Un 62 por ciento cargan las culpas sobre el Congreso, que se ha convertido en un obstáculo infranqueable para las decisiones y políticas anticrisis; un 54 por ciento cargan sobre los bancos y las instituciones financieras, que están en el origen de la crisis; un 47 por ciento sobre las empresas; un 44 carga sobre la herencia de Bush, mientras que un 34 lo hace sobre la presidencia de Obama; sólo un 8 por ciento lo atribuye a las propias clases medias; y un 34 por ciento a la competencia exterior.

Estas últimas razones merecen una especial atención. Nada ha favorecido más a la creación de riqueza en Europa y Estados Unidos que la globalización económica, con la caída de salarios que ha permitido las deslocalizaciones o la ampliación del consumo con la creación de mercados globales. Sin embargo, lo que ahora se apunta es que quienes mayor provecho han sacado de este proceso, al menos en la última década, son los más ricos de los países más ricos y las clases medias de los países emergentes, en detrimento precisamente de las clases medias europeas y americanas. Como si en el reparto del pastel global tuviera que ser constante la parte dedicada al grueso de la población, es decir, las clases medias, de forma que los salarios, la riqueza y el Estado de bienestar deberán disminuir en Europa y Estados Unidos para que aumenten en los BRIC.
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