There is a job that no one of sound mind would want: that of James R. Clapper, Director of U.S. National Intelligence. He is responsible for coordinating all of the American security and intelligence agencies, collecting all of their analyses regarding risks and threats and informing the president and Congress of which ones pose the greatest risks to the nation in 2014.
Want to know how the world is seen from the desk of Mr. Clapper? Well, read the report attached, which summarizes and condenses in 31 pages all that the U.S. reveals. It is called “Worldwide Threat Assessment of the Intelligence Community,” and was presented on Jan. 29 in the Senate Intelligence Committee. *
The report covers everything from thematic to geographic questions. If the order that they are presented in seems relevant, and it is, surely it will surprise you to know that to the U.S. intelligence community, cyber security is a bigger problem than the proliferation of nuclear weapons.
It is cyber security that the report opens with, and where it expects challenges to increase throughout 2014. Why? Because of what the report names the “convergence of critical tendencies.” What does that mean? That the risks of cyber security affect governments, businesses and citizens.
Economic, political and social life is migrating to the Internet at a dramatic rate, which is increasing its vulnerabilities, many of them intertwined, to attacks from governments, economic operators or terrorists. The massive attack South Korea suffered in March of 2013, which took over three television channels and five of the six most important banks and disconnected 30,000 computers, has marked a before and after for two reasons: first, and most obvious, because of its importance; second, because of the impunity with which it was achieved and the difficulty in establishing the geographic origin and its perpetrators.
On the other hand, regarding Iran, the report proves confident that, although the Iranian regime has not renounced its program and wants to be near the possibility of having nuclear weapons, the agreements reached in 2013 will permit it to draw out its program until the point that an eventual reactivation can be realized on time.
One final curiosity: The report closes with a warning about the boom of populist policies in Europe. “Public fears over immigration and Islam, alienation from EU policies and perceptions that centrist parties are unable to deal with high unemployment and income inequalities will increase the resonance of the rhetoric of far-right and far-left radical parties.” In Washington, they take it for granted....
Hay un trabajo que nadie en su sano juicio debería querer: el de James R. Clapper, Director de Inteligencia Nacional de Estados Unidos. Él es el responsable de coordinar a todas las agencias de inteligencia de seguridad del país, recabar todos sus análisis de riesgos y amenazas e informar al Presidente y al Congreso de cuáles serán los mayores riesgos que el país enfrentará en 2014.
¿Quieren saber cómo se ve el mundo desde el escritorio del Sr. Clapper? Pues lean el informe adjunto, que resume y condensa en 31 páginas todo aquellos que desvela a EEUU. Se llama “Worlwide Threat Assessment of the Intelligence Community” y se presentó el día 29 de enero en el Comité de Inteligencia del Senado. Descargar Clapper
El informe cubre tanto cuestiones temáticas como geográficas. Si el orden de presentación les parece relevante, y lo es, seguramente se sorprenderán de saber que para la comunidad de inteligencia de EEUU, la ciberseguridad es un problema mayor que la proliferación de armas nucleares.
Es la ciberseguridad lo que abre el informe, y donde se espera que los desafíos se incrementen a lo largo de 2014. ¿Por qué? Por lo que el informe denomina la “convergencia de tendencias críticas”. ¿Qué quiere decir esto? Qué los riesgos de la ciberseguridad afectan a gobiernos, empresas y a ciudadanos.
La vida económica, política y social está migrando a Internet a una velocidad vertiginosa, lo que está incrementando las vulnerabilidades, muchas de ellas entrecruzadas, a ataques provenientes de gobiernos, operadores económicos, terroristas. El masivo ataque sufrido en marzo de 2013 por Corea del Sur, que bloqueó tres cadenas de televisión, cinco de los seis bancos más importantes y desconectó 30.000 ordenadores ha marcado un antes y un después. Por dos razones: primero, y más obvio, por su importancia; segundo, por la impunidad con la que se realizó y la dificultad en establecer el origen geográfico y autores.
Por el contrario, respecto a Irán, el informe se muestra confiado en que, aunque el régimen iraní no haya renunciado a su programa y quiera estar cerca de la posibilidad de tener armas nucleares, los acuerdos alcanzados en 2013 permitirán ralentizar su programa hasta un punto en el que una eventual reactivación pueda ser advertida a tiempo.
Una curiosidad final: el informe cierra con una advertencia sobre el auge de los populismos en Europa. “Los miedos sobre la inmigración y el Islam, la desafección con la Unión Europea y la percepción de que los partidos tradicionales son incapaces de resolver los problemas de empleo y desigualdad incrementarán el atractivo de los partidos de extrema derecha y extrema izquierda”. En Washington lo dan por hecho...
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The economic liberalism that the world took for granted has given way to the White House’s attempt to gain sectarian control over institutions, as well as government intervention into private companies,
It wouldn’t have cost Trump anything to show a clear intent to deter in a strategically crucial moment; it wouldn’t even have undermined his efforts in Ukraine.