Isolated Russia

Published in El País
(Spain) on 6 June 2014
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Pedro Garcés Satué. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Obama aims to calm down NATO allies during a visit marked by the crisis in Ukraine.

Barack Obama had not paid much attention to a Europe in which peace was taken for granted. That is why Ukraine’s deafening warning signal marks the trip of the president of the United States and the limits of his leadership, and American power at the same time. Two weeks ago, those outlines were drawn in the West Point speech in which Obama outlined his foreign policy for the rest of his term. It was a message with too many omissions and cliches. It seemed dictated by polls rather than by the decisive challenges on the ground.

In Poland, Obama’s announcement of reinforcing Europe's defense with $1 billion was timely and symbolic, on the eve of the 70th anniversary of the Normandy landings and in view of the alarm of Putin’s intentions in relation to Ukraine. Whenever Congress passes those funds, they will serve to pay for joint maneuvers and rotations of soldiers and ships through different countries. However, Obama has missed the chance to move part of his troops in Western Europe eastward, a gesture that would reassure the old Moscow satellites that are now members of NATO. It is with them that he has reiterated the Washington commitment.

Those gestures fall short for Ukraine. Obama’s repeated message that the days in which the powerful would impose their will on the weak at gunpoint are over, takes pity on the tragic reality in Kiev. Poroshenko has thanked Obama for his promises of financial and security support. Nonetheless, the precarious armed forces of Ukraine are unlikely to need night sights and sophisticated communications now that the pro-Russian separatist uprising has worsened (with hundreds of casualties). Moscow has withdrawn most of its border troops, but combatants and Russian weapons are increasingly prominent in a revolt that is becoming a civil war.

Keeping the peace in Europe demands American commitment. However, this commitment requires some effective tools to become an effective deterrent. Putin, humiliated after being left out of the G-7, is to meet Hollande, Merkel and Cameron in his first confrontation after the annexation of Crimea. The message of European leaders is no more than one: It is the Russian president who has to put an end to the serious crisis unleashed by his neo-imperial ambitions.


Obama busca calmar a los aliados de la OTAN en una visita marcada por la crisis de Ucrania

Barack Obama había prestado poca atención a una Europa donde la paz se daba por descontada. Por eso el ensordecedor clarinazo de Ucrania marca a la vez el viaje del presidente de EE UU y los límites de su liderazgo y del poder estadounidense. Esos contornos quedaron dibujados la semana pasada en el discurso de West Point en el que Obama enunció su política exterior para el resto de su mandato. Un mensaje, por otra parte, con demasiadas omisiones y lugares comunes, más dictado por las encuestas que por los perentorios desafíos sobre el terreno.

El anuncio de Obama en Polonia de que fortalecerá con mil millones de dólares la defensa de Europa es oportuno y simbólico, en vísperas de la cita de Normandía y a la vista de la alarma sobre las intenciones de Putin después de Ucrania. Esos fondos, cuando los apruebe el Congreso, pagarán rotaciones de soldados y barcos por diferentes países y maniobras conjuntas. Obama, sin embargo, ha perdido una oportunidad para decidir desplazar hacia el este parte de sus tropas en Europa occidental, el gesto que más tranquilizaría a los antiguos satélites de Moscú ahora miembros de la OTAN, con los que ha reiterado el compromiso de Washington.

Para Ucrania, esos gestos se quedan cortos. El repetido mensaje de Obama de que se han acabado los días en que los poderosos podían imponer su voluntad a los más débiles a golpe de pistola se compadece mal con la trágica realidad de Kiev. Poroshenko ha agradecido al presidente estadounidense sus promesas de apoyo financiero y de seguridad, pero es improbable que lo que más necesite el precario Ejército de Ucrania cuando se recrudece la rebelión separatista pro-rusa —con centenares de muertos— sean visores nocturnos y sofisticadas comunicaciones. Moscú ha retirado la mayor parte de sus tropas fronterizas, pero los combatientes y las armas rusas tienen cada vez más protagonismo en una sublevación con rasgos de guerra civil.

Mantener la paz en Europa exige el compromiso estadounidense, pero ese compromiso precisa de herramientas efectivas para resultar disuasorio. Putin, humillado tras su expulsión del G 7, va a verse con Hollande, Merkel y Cameron en su primer cara a cara tras la anexión de Crimea. El mensaje de los líderes europeos no puede ser más que uno: es el presidente ruso quien debe poner fin a la gravísima crisis desatada por sus ambiciones neo-imperiales.
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