Hillary, Bill and Donald in House of Cards

Published in El País
(Spain) on 3 June 2016
by Francisco G. Basterra (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by James Philip Hewlett. Edited by Shelby Stillwell.
The six writers of House of Cards are in luck. The fifth season of this political TV thriller is already on the cards. The program tells the story of a Washington power couple – the Underwoods – who are willing to do anything to get to, and stay in, the White House. And reality, which often surpasses fiction, has come to lend them a hand. The writers can simply take the amazing story of the race to the White House in 2016 that is unraveling in front of their very eyes.

It is likely that the presidential elections of Nov. 8 will give the Oval Office and the White House its first female president, who was formerly a first lady, and living with her, in the East Wing, a former president as first gentleman. Will Hillary make the erroneous decision, as has been suggested, of entrusting Bill to revitalize the economy? How will they avoid the conflict of interest that strictly separates public and private life?

If you combine the previously unthinkable nomination of Donald Trump with the return of the Clintons, the series could lay off a writer or two. On Tuesday, California, the most populous U.S. state, will vote in their primaries. Hillary must defeat her old socialist rival, Bernie Sanders, who, with his mantra of inequality and a social-democratic platform, has galvanized lots of young people. This, however, will cost her votes. On Wednesday, Clinton will have enough delegates to be the presumptive Democratic candidate.

Yet no one thinks that Hillary will easily defeat Trump in November. Clinton has come out fighting though, by accusing Trump of not being ready, both intellectually and in his temperament, to put his finger on the nuclear button. His election, she warns, would be a “historic error.” Now with the finish line in sight, both candidates have more negative ratings than positive. But this is the year of surprises. In the White House, where Obama, whose popularity is on the up, perhaps due to the calm with which he is facing the political polarization and the populist surge that has hit the U.S., is outlining his place in history. It’s likely that the first African-American president may be the trump card that Hillary uses to get herself elected.

The primaries have got her three-fourths of the way to the finish line. In the two parties there is an appearance of rebels against the establishment. Trump is trying to win over the Republican party, which has been forced to accept him, using the widespread medium of television very skillfully to give people simple, easily digestible solutions to complex problems. He receives disproportionate amounts of media coverage for his insults and wisecracks.

Late into the game, the big newspapers have realized the danger of this, and they are scrutinizing the real-estate developer’s business life, the fraud of Trump University, and his long career of contempt for women — scrutiny that he will not put up with. Finally, the billionaire’s connection with the discontent and anger of the least educated white working classes who have been impacted by the economic crisis and, supposedly, by globalization has created nostalgia for a socially homogeneous America that no longer exists.


Si al regreso de los Clinton se le añade el hecho de la nominación de Trump, impensable en un principio, la seria podría despedir a algún guionista.

Los seis guionistas de House of Cards están de enhorabuena. Ya está confirmada la quinta temporada de este thriller político televisivo, que cuenta la historia de una pareja de poder en Washington, los Underwood, capaces de todo, para llegar y permanecer en la Casa Blanca. Y la realidad, que tantas veces supera la ficción, ha venido a echarles una mano. Los escritores ya puede trabajar sobre el sorprendente relato que está dibujando la carrera hacia la Casa Blanca de 2016.

Es probable que las elecciones presidenciales del 8 de noviembre sitúen en la Casa Blanca, en el despacho Oval, a una presidenta, que antes fue primera dama, y conviviendo con ella, en el Ala Este, a un expresidente en el papel de primer caballero. ¿Cometerá Hillary el error, como ha sugerido, de encargar a Bill que revitalice la economía? ¿Cómo evitarán el conflicto de intereses separando estrictamente lo personal de lo público?

Si al regreso de los Clinton se le añade el hecho de la nominación a la presidencia por el partido republicano, de Donald Trump, impensable en un principio, House of Cards podría despedir a algún guionista. El martes, California, el estado más poblado de EE UU, vota en sus primarias. Hillary debe derrotar, le va a costar, al viejo rutero socialista Bernie Sanders que, con el mantra: es la desigualdad, estúpido, y una plataforma socialdemócrata, ha enardecido a muchos jóvenes. Clinton tendrá el miércoles los delegados suficientes para ser nominada candidata demócrata.

Pero ya nadie piensa que Hillary derrotará fácilmente a Trump en noviembre. Clinton se ha puesto los guantes de boxeo denunciando que Trump no está preparado, ni intelectual ni temperamentalmente, para poner el dedo sobre el botón nuclear. Su elección, advierte, sería “un error histórico.” Los dos candidatos llegan a la recta final con más índices negativos que positivos. Pero este es el año de las sorpresas. En la Casa Blanca, donde Obama, cuya popularidad remonta, quizás por la calma con la que afronta la polarización política y la oleada populista que también ha llegado a EE UU, bosqueja su lugar en la historia. Es creíble que el primer presidente afroamericano sea al cabo la principal carta que use Hillary para ser elegida.

Las primarias se han apoyado en tres muros de carga. Aparición en los dos partidos de insurgentes contra lo establecido. Trump logra el triunfo por encima del partido republicano, que no tiene más remedio que aceptarlo, utilizando muy hábilmente la televisión- un medio que domina- para dar soluciones simples, fácilmente digeribles por los ciudadanos, a los problemas complejos. Obtiene una cobertura desproporcionada para sus insultos y ocurrencias.

Tarde, los grandes periódicos se han dado cuenta del peligro y escrutan los negocios del promotor inmobiliario, el fraude de la Universidad Trump , o su larga carrera de desprecio a las mujeres. Escrutinio que no tolera. Y, por último, la conexión del multimillonario con el descontento y la rabia de clases trabajadoras blancas, con menos estudios, laminadas por la crisis económica y, supuestamente, por la globalización, creando una nostalgia por una América homogénea socialmente que ya no existe.
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