Back-Alley Elections

Published in Milenio
(Mexico) on 4 November 2020
by Héctor Aguilar Camín (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Patricia Simoni. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
"History walks on the bad side," wrote Frederick Engels, and there is a famous Murphy's Law that if something bad can happen, it will happen. In recent years, history has walked on the wrong side for U.S. democracy. And the bad that happened to it happened to be Donald Trump.

I am writing at 3 p.m. on Nov. 3, before I even know the results of the presidential election. Nothing has fundamentally changed in the favorable trend toward Joe Biden, but I write today with greater uncertainty about the outcome than I had two weeks ago.

Trump managed to cast a menacing shadow of conflict and uncertainty over the course of an election, with obvious effects. Americans began yesterday fearful of learning the results of an election that, with another president, would have been routine.

The president turned it into a sort of street fight of undetermined outcome, where the winner will fight tooth and nail in the fray, and citizens will have the option of landing their own blows on citizens in the opposing party.

The twists and turns of the U.S. electoral system, with its undemocratic Electoral College — which allows for winning without obtaining the majority — is the mechanism that once again calls into question the quality, representation and institutional stability of the U.S. democracy. But the most vicious barrier has been Trump, an anomaly of a president who threatened to not accept the results and to spend weeks discrediting the process so he could ignore it.

At 3:30 in the afternoon when I write this column, I believe that his entire back-alley lawsuit will fail and that the same democracy that brought Trump to the presidency will kick him out of it.

I believe that, as the polls predict, Biden will win on election night or in the days that follow.

I believe that at the end of this battle, there will be that breath of fresh air that encourages democracy in the United States and throughout the world. We shall see.


La historia camina por el lado malo, escribió Federico Engels, y hay una famosa ley de Murphy según la cual, si algo malo puede suceder, sucederá. En los últimos años la historia ha caminado por el lado malo para la democracia estadunidense. Y lo malo que pudo suceder en ella, sucedió con Donald Trump.

Escribo a las 3 de la tarde del 3 de noviembre, antes de saber ni el inicio de los resultados de la elección presidencial. Nada ha cambiado en lo fundamental en las tendencias favorables a Biden, pero escribo hoy con mayor incertidumbre sobre el resultado de la que tenía hace dos semanas.

Trump logró echar sobre el curso de una elección de resultado bastante claro, una sombra amenazante de conflicto e incertidumbre. 

Los estadunidenses habrán acudido ayer con los pelos de punta a conocer los resultados de una elección que, con otro presidente, habrían sido de rutina.

El presidente las volvió una especie de pelea callejera, de pronóstico reservado, donde el ganador tendrá que dejar parte de la dentadura y la piel en la refriega, y el público tendrá la opción de soltar sus propios golpes contra el público rival.

Las distorsiones del sistema electoral estadunidense, con su antidemocrático sistema de Colegio Electoral, que permite ganar a quien no obtiene la mayoría, es el mecanismo que vuelve a poner en entredicho la calidad, la representación y la estabilidad institucional de la democracia estadunidense.

Pero su verdadero alambre de púas ha sido Donald Trump, un presidente anómalo que amenazó con no reconocer los resultados y dedicó semanas a desacreditar el proceso para poder desconocerlo.

A las 3 y minutos de la tarde que escribo esta columna, creo que todo su pleito de callejón fracasará y que la misma democracia que trajo a Trump a la presidencia lo echará de ella.

Creo que, como dicen las encuestas, Biden obtendrá el triunfo, en la noche de la elección, o en los días que sigan.

Creo que al final de esta batalla habrá la bocanada de aire normal que le urge a la democracia en Estados Unidos y en el mundo. Veremos. 
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