Amid US Democracy’s Moral Unraveling, Hong Kong’s Role in the Soft Power Struggle

Published in Ming Pao
(Hong Kong) on 2 June 2025
by Han Chengke (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew McKay. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
The signing ceremony for the Convention on the Establishment of the International Mediation Organization was recently held in Hong Kong, with Wang Yi, Chinese Foreign Minister and member of the Political Bureau of the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee, in attendance to deliver remarks. In his speech, Wang highlighted in particular how IOMed embodied civilization’s wisdom of harmonious coexistence: resolving conflicts through dialogue and disputes through consultation. These are the common values and universal pursuits of major civilizations, which help transcend the “I win, you lose” zero-sum mentality.

Establishing an International Mediation Organization: Combining Eastern Wisdom with the International Rule of Law

In fact, this speaks to the deeper significance behind IOMed’s formation: not only does it provide countries with a more flexible, cost-effective, convenient and easily enforceable means of resolving disputes, but its mediation-first, harmony-valuing ethos reflects a fusion of Eastern wisdom and the rule of international law. That the organization has made its home in Hong Kong, at the crossroads of Chinese and Western culture, only further showcases China’s soft power.

Joseph S. Nye, the American scholar who pioneered the concept of “soft power,” used it to describe a nation’s ability to exert influence through attraction rather than through military force or economic coercion. He argued that a country’s soft power stems from its culture, its values, and from policies perceived as legitimate by others. But that legitimacy is contingent on whether a country’s actions are seen keeping with or violating a set of widely acknowledged values. Mediation is one of the key methods of dispute resolution stipulated in the United Nations Charter; while not unique to China, resolving disputes in a peaceful, consultative, harmonious and cooperative manner is entirely consistent with China’s traditional culture of valuing harmony and the ideal of coexistence above all. In contrast to the Western preference for litigation, China’s emphasis on mediation and its reverence for the spirit of gracious concession further illustrate the distinctive features and strengths of Chinese culture.

IOMed’s establishment has attracted international attention — and even a deliberate cold shoulder from some Western media outlets — precisely because it represents a breakthrough in both Chinese soft power and its international discourse power, under Chinese leadership. Making Hong Kong IOMed’s headquarters reflects not only a recognition of the city’s legal strengths, but also a desire to promote IOMed in the international arena by leveraging Hong Kong’s role as a bridge between China and the world. In doing so, the Eastern wisdom and Chinese solutions brought to global governance will help the country further enhance its soft power.

The Soft Power Confrontation between China and the West

The intensity of the soft power competition between nations matches the scale of today’s unprecedented upheavals. China’s rise has come to pose a cultural and values-based threat to Western countries led by the United States, resulting in a soft power showdown centered on political values, national cohesion, cultural appeal and international alliances. The U.S. has long had the overwhelming edge in both soft and hard power, yet after only a short time in office, Donald Trump has wreaked havoc on the country’s soft power and shattered the American “beacon of democracy.”

Even without mentioning Trump’s overreach in launching a tariff war, his actions alone are enough to show that the U.S.’ vaunted institutional checks and balances are just empty words. A president can openly accept a palatial aircraft as a gift from another country, and his family can directly participate in cryptocurrency investments. Trump even put on a lavish banquet to entertain major buyers of his official meme coin, openly converting political capital into private wealth and using power to reap enormous personal benefits. Bloomberg News reported that that cryptocurrency project netted the Trump family nearly $1 billion in unrealized profits, and CNN has further reported that the scale of the Trump family’s business in the Middle East has nearly tripled, with investments involving golf courses and luxury villas in Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. With such abuses at the top, it is no surprise to find them filtering down through the ranks. The nonprofit U.S. news site ProPublica reported that several senior Washington officials were found to have made precisely timed stock trades just before policy announcements.

These blatant acts of profiteering have reached the point of utter impunity, but the Republican-controlled Congress has abdicated its oversight role, and the judiciary has been politically hijacked. All of this lays bare the disorder and dysfunction of U.S. politics.

This commentator recalls media reports from years ago that revealed how former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton once invested $1,000 in cattle futures, making nearly $100,000 in profits. Although this took place more than 10 years before her husband became president, it still sparked public outrage in the U.S. and became a major stain on her political career, forcing the White House to launch an investigation. Comparing that to Trump’s actions today, the decline of American democracy and the collapse of institutional oversight are plain to see. The American democratic system — once described by scholar Francis Fukuyama as the best system devised by humankind — has not only failed to become the “end of history” or a global model worthy of emulation; instead, it has been exposed as being riddled with flaws, with even the most important principle in the Constitution, that of checks and balances, having been abandoned. Perhaps, as the philosopher Emile Rousseau once said, a truly strict democracy has never before existed and never will. Such systems rely too much on human virtue and wisdom, qualities that are rare in any era, but especially so in the U.S. of today.

Shortly before his death, Nye published an article titled “Trump and the End of American Soft Power,” in which he denounced Trump’s “short-sighted” transactionalism and “America First" approach for disregarding universal values and diminishing the U.S.’ attractiveness. He warned that “Trump 2.0” was continuing to erode the U.S.’ democratic norms, which could bring about the decline of the country’s soft power. He also noted that, while the U.S. was damaging its own reputation, China was working hard to fill any gaps created by Trump. This reflects a concern among the American elite that Trump-style misrule is steadily weakening U.S. soft power and will ultimately accelerate the decline of the U.S.’ global influence. In a sense, Nye’s death symbolized the end of the era of American soft power.

The “2025 Global Soft Power Index” was recently published in London, and it showed China’s soft power ranking as rising from third last year to second; the U.S. continued to rank first, and the United Kingdom, Japan and Germany came in at third to fifth place, respectively. According to the report, China’s gains were due to the promotion of its Belt and Road Initiative, the strengthening of its sustainable development, and the growing influence of its domestic brands. The trend in soft-power competition between China and the U.S. is now displaying increasing asymmetry, with the U.S. still strong, but China rapidly catching up. IOMed’s establishment is aimed at resolving international disputes through mediation, but at the same time, it will also showcase to the international community the Chinese approach and Chinese wisdom, offering emerging market countries such as those in the Global South a relatively fair, objective and reasonable environment in which to settle various disputes. This, in fact, is also a display of China’s soft power.

No Room for Failure in the Running of IOMed

Last year, at the ceremony marking the 25th anniversary of Macao’s return to China, President Xi Jinping stated that the values of peace, inclusiveness, openness and sharing embodied in “One Country, Two Systems” highlighted both the contemporary and global significance of that principle and represented a further contribution of China’s wisdom and solutions for global governance. These values are also closely aligned with the spirit of mediation. The central government’s decision to base IOMed in Hong Kong draws on the city’s unique strengths, but it also signals Beijing’s intention to develop Hong Kong into an Asia-Pacific hub for international legal and dispute resolution services. The goal, in this respect, would be to move beyond traditional Western frameworks, foster equal dialogue on the organization’s platform, resolve various international disputes, replace zero-sum thinking with win-win cooperation, and promote the Eastern philosophy of “regarding harmony as the most prized virtue” on the world stage. This is the key reason why IOMed has been established in Hong Kong. Ensuring its success and promoting Hong Kong’s mediation services internationally tie in with the struggle for national soft power — and this is a task at which Hong Kong cannot afford to fail.

The author is a senior vice president of the Hong Kong Cultural Development Research Institute and a member of the China Association of Hong Kong & Macao Studies.


美式民主禮崩樂壞 軟實力之爭香港有角色

2025年6月2日星期一

韓成科

《關於建立國際調解院的公約》簽署儀式日前在港舉行,中共中央政治局委員、外交部長王毅出席簽署儀式並致辭。王毅在講話中特別提到,調解院的成立蘊含着和合共生的文明智慧,以對話化解衝突,以協商調解紛爭,是世界各大文明的共同價值和普遍追求,有助超越你輸我贏的零和思維。

設立國際調解院 結合東方智慧與國際法治

這其實講出了國際調解院成立的深層意義,不單止為各國提供一個更靈活、更經濟、更便捷、更易執行的解決爭端方式,而且以調解為先的以和為貴思維,正是東方智慧與國際法治的一次結合;調解院落戶於中西文化匯聚的香港,更是中國軟實力的一次顯現。

開創「軟實力」概念的美國學者奈伊(Joseph S. Nye),就以軟實力來描述國家通過吸引力而非武力或經濟脅迫所施加的影響。他認為一個國家的軟實力,源於其文化、價值觀及被他人視為合法的政策。這種合法性,取決於國家行為被認為是符合還是違背廣泛認可的價值觀。調解是《聯合國憲章》規定的重要解決爭端方式之一,雖然不是中國獨創,但以和平、協商、和諧、合作方式解決爭議,卻與中國傳統以和為貴、和合共生的文化完全契合。與西方傾向訴訟相比,中國對於調解的看重、對於「讓他三尺又何妨」的推崇,更顯示出中國文化的特點和優勢。

國際調解院的成立之所以受到國際社會關注,甚至遭一些西方媒體刻意冷待,原因是由中國主導成立的調解院,正是中國軟實力和國際話語權的一個突破。以香港作為調解院總部,既是看重香港在法律上的強項,更是要發揮香港的「內聯外通」平台優勢,將調解院推向國際,為全球治理提供東方智慧和中國方案,協助國家更好地提升軟實力。

中國與西方的軟實力對決

在百年未有之大變局下,各國之間軟實力競賽同樣激烈。中國崛起對以美國為首的西方國家,產生了在文化、價值觀上的威脅,形成軟實力對決,當中爭的是政治價值觀、國家凝聚力、文化吸引力、國際結盟等領域。美國長期在軟硬實力上具壓倒性的地位,惟特朗普上任短短時間卻大肆破壞美國軟實力,「民主燈塔」更是碎了一地。

就算不講特朗普「越權」發動關稅戰,以其所作所為,已經足以說明美國崇尚的所謂制度制衡,只是一紙空文。一個總統可以公然收取他國的「空中宮殿」飛機作禮品;總統的家族可以直接參與加密幣投資,特朗普甚至舉辦盛大晚宴招待其「官方迷因幣」的主要買家,公然將政治資本轉化為私人財富,利用權力攫取巨大利益。彭博社就指加密幣項目為特朗普家族帶來近10億美元帳面收益。美國有線新聞網絡(CNN)報道更指,特朗普家族在中東的事業規模增加近兩倍,投資涉及於卡塔爾和阿聯酋興建高爾夫球場、豪華別墅。在上行下效之下,美國非營利新聞網站「ProPublica」亦揭露,多名華府高官在政策公布前精準交易股票。

這些明目張膽的利益輸送,已經到了肆無忌憚的地步,但由共和黨控制的國會卻放棄監督、司法機構遭「政治綁架」,這些都暴露美國政治的失序和失效。

筆者記得早年有媒體揭發,美國前國務卿希拉里(Hillary Clinton)曾投資1000美元購買牛產品期貨,賺了近10萬美元。儘管該事件發生在她丈夫成為總統的10多年之前,仍然在美國社會引發公憤,成為其政治一大污點,更迫使白宮啟動審查。現在看今日特朗普的所為,美式民主倒退、制度監督的蕩然無存,已是肉眼可見。這個曾被學者福山(Francis Fukuyama)形容為人類最好制度的美式民主制度,不但沒有成為「歷史的終結」、成為全球效法對象,反而暴露出千瘡百孔,連美國憲政中最重要的「權力制衡」原則,亦被棄之如敝屣。或者正如哲學家盧梭所說,真正嚴格的民主制度從前不存在,以後也不會存在。民主制度太依賴人類的美德和睿智,惟這兩樣東西,在任何時代都是稀罕物,於今日的美國尤其明顯。

奈伊逝世前發表了題為〈特朗普與美國軟實力的終結〉(Trump and the end of American soft power)的文章,痛斥特朗普「短視」的交易主義和「美國第一」忽視普世價值觀,有損美國吸引力;「特朗普2.0」仍在進一步侵蝕美國的民主規範,有可能導致美國軟實力衰退。他更提到美國自損聲譽之際,中國則在努力填補特朗普造成的任何空白。這反映美國精英階層都憂慮「特式亂政」正不斷削弱美國軟實力,最終加速美國全球影響力的衰退。奈伊逝世,某程度象徵着美國軟實力時代的終結。

早前《2025年全球軟實力指數》在英國倫敦發布,中國軟實力排名從去年第三位上升至第二;美國繼續位列第一;英國、日本和德國分列第三至第五名。報告表示,這些增長得益於中國推動「一帶一路」倡議、加強可持續發展、國內品牌影響力持續增強等。中美在軟實力的爭逐,正呈現此消彼長之勢。雖然美國實力猶在,但中國正急起直追。而國際調解院的設立,既着眼於以調解處理國際爭端,同時亦向國際社會展示中國方案、中國智慧,讓「全球南方」等新興市場國家,可以在一個相對公正、客觀、合理環境下解決各種糾紛。這其實也是中國軟實力的展現。

辦好調解院 不容有失

去年習近平主席在澳門回歸25周年紀念大會上提出,「一國兩制」蘊含的和平、包容、開放、共享價值理念,彰顯一國兩制的時代意義和世界意義,更為推動全球治理提供中國智慧和中國方案。這與調解的精神也是高度契合。中央將國際調解院落戶香港,既是發揮香港優勢,亦是表明中央期望將香港打造成亞太區國際法律及爭議解決服務中心,以超越西方傳統框架,於調解院平台上平等對話,解決各種國際糾紛,以共贏替代零和,推動「以和為貴」的東方智慧走向世界。這正是調解院落戶香港的最重要意義。辦好調解院、將香港調解服務推向國際,事關國家軟實力之爭,是香港不容有失的任務。

作者是香港文化協進智庫高級副總裁、全國港澳研究會會員
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