US: The Republicans’ Big Maneuvers?

Published in Liberation
(France) on 21 March 2012
by Fabrice Rousselot (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Laura Napoli. Edited by Rica Asuncion-Reed.
At least Mitt Romney’s troops were reassured. In spite of those doomsday prophets who saw Illinois Republicans veering further and further to the right and erring on the side of ultra-conservative Rick Santorum, the former Massachusetts governor won the GOP primary in the state of Obama.

And took the opportunity to reposition himself as the race favorite.

But the most interesting thing now is what will happen in the days to come. Santorum himself insists that he will continue campaigning for the upcoming primaries in Louisiana, Wisconsin and North Carolina. His team believes that he still has the means to win, even if Romney is way ahead of him in terms of delegates.

Under these conditions, all eyes are on Newt Gingrich. Lagging behind everywhere, he seems to have little chance of making it to the final race. Some wonder whether the former speaker of the House, despite his recent denials, will not soon throw in the towel and rally — or not — behind Santorum. To further feed a fight that could last until the August convention.

Another scenario is to see Gingrich persist for the sole purpose of dividing the party and sowing discord in order to provoke what is called an “open” convention, meaning a convention in which no one is slated to receive the majority of the 1,144 delegates.

In that case, all the cards are redistributed and the delegates immediately vote for who they want in what generally resembles a rat race.

Have these Republicans lost their minds?


USA : les grandes manoeuvres républicaines ?

Au moins les troupes de Mitt Romney sont-elles rassurées. Malgré les oiseaux de mauvais augure qui voyaient les Républicains de l'Illinois virer de plus en plus à droite et pencher du côté de l'ultra-conservateur Rick Santorum, l'ex-gouverneur du Massachusetts a su remporter la primaire du GOP dans l'Etat d'Obama.

Et en a profité pour se repositionner comme le favori de la course.

Mais le plus intéressant désormais est ce qui va se passer dans les jours à venir. Santorum, lui, a martelé qu'il continuait à faire campagne, pour les primaires à venir en Louisiane, dans le Wisconsin et la Caroline du Nord. Son entourage estime qu'il a toujours les moyens de l'emporter, même si Romney le distance largement en termes de délégués.

Dans ces conditions, tous les regards se tournent désormais vers Newt Gingrich. Distancé un peu partout, ce dernier ne semble guère avoir de chances pour la course finale. Certains se demandent donc si l'ex-speaker de la Chambre, malgré ses récents démentis, ne va pas bientôt jeter l'éponge et se rallier -ou pas- derrière Santorum. Pour alimenter un duel qui pourrait aller jusqu'à la convention en août.

Un autre scénario est de voir Gingrich persister dans l'unique but de diviser le parti et de semer la zizanie pour provoquer ce l'on appelle une convention "ouverte", c'est à dire une convention durant laquelle personne n'est parvenue à recueillir la majorité des 1144 délégués pour l'emporter.

Dès lors, tous les cartes sont redistribuées et les délégués votent soudain pour qui ils veulent dans ce qui ressemble généralement à une foire d'empoigne.

Ils sont pas bien, ces républicains?
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