Saudi Arabia: A Weakened Alliance

Published in El País
(Spain) on 3 November 2013
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jenny Westwell. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
For 70 years, Saudi Arabia and the United States have made a priority of their close alliance, which means a secure supply of oil — among other things — for the superpower, and guaranteed survival and a massive supply of arms for the feudal monarchy. This idyllic relationship is looking compromised, however, to judge by the latest Saudi maneuvers. Most spectacularly, two weeks ago Riyadh rebuffed the offer of a seat on the U.N. Security Council, despite having long cherished the idea. The decision was effectively intended as a snub to Barack Obama, who the Saudis are beginning to view as an unreliable ally.

Traditionally, Saudi grievances with the United States have been settled with surreptitious diplomacy, in the best tradition of the fundamentalist monarchy. However, the progress of events in the Middle East — largely a reflection of the unstoppable Sunni-Shiite conflict — has caused the misunderstanding to snowball. Riyadh perceives Obama to be on the wrong side of the fence. It notes his lack of resolve on whether to respond militarily to Bashar al-Assad, his zigzag policy on Egypt after the fall of Mubarak and his passivity on the issues of Israeli excesses against the Palestinians and the disintegration of Iraq. But Saudi fury has been well and truly roused by the U.S. president's sudden rapprochement with Iran, aimed at preventing the ayatollahs from developing a nuclear weapon.

Iran, as a Shiite nation, is the Saudi leadership’s archenemy in the Sunni-Shiite conflict between the two main Islamic sects. A rapprochement between Washington and Tehran would erase all the time and money so far invested in patiently building a regional front against Iran. An eventual thaw [in U.S.-Iranian relations] would not only relegate Saudi Arabia to a position of less influence in the region, it would also fuel Shiite grievances and demands in numerous countries currently within Riyadh's sphere of influence.

Though Saudi Arabia is far from an ideal ally for any country that claims to be a defender of democratic principles, its relationship with the United States has served the interests of both nations for decades. Obama is currently prioritizing a nuclear agreement with Iran and the promotion of peace between Palestinians and Israelis. These objectives will be hard to achieve against the opposition of a regime whose doctrinal influence and unlimited economic resources make it a powerful peddler of influence in the Arab world.


Una alianza debilitada

El acercamiento de Obama a Irán ensancha la desconfianza saudí hacia el presidente de EE UU

A lo largo de 70 años, Arabia Saudí y Estados Unidos han considerado prioritaria una estrecha alianza que para la superpotencia significa seguridad en el abastecimiento de petróleo, pero no solo, y para la monarquía feudal una garantía de supervivencia y el suministro masivo de armamento. Ese idilio parece comprometido a juzgar por los últimos movimientos saudíes, el más espectacular de los cuales es su brusca renuncia, hace dos semanas, a un asiento en el Consejo de Seguridad, aspiración que Riad acariciaba desde hace años. Una decisión destinada básicamente a desairar a Barack Obama, a quien los saudíes comienzan a ver como un aliado poco fiable.

Los agravios saudíes con EE UU se han solventado tradicionalmente con diplomacia de sordina, en la mejor tradición de la monarquía integrista. Pero la evolución de los acontecimientos en Oriente Próximo, reflejo en buena medida de la imparable confrontación entre chiíes y suníes, ha acelerado el desencuentro. Riad percibe a Obama en el lado equivocado. Se trate de su falta de determinación para responder militarmente a Bachar el Asad, de su zigzagueante política en Egipto tras dejar caer a Mubarak o de su pasividad ante los excesos israelíes frente a los palestinos o la descomposición de Irak. El episodio definitivo que ha atizado la furia saudí es la súbita aproximación a Irán del presidente estadounidense, en busca de un acuerdo que impida a los ayatolás llegar al arma atómica.

Irán, Estado chií, es el enemigo por antonomasia de los mandatarios saudíes en el pulso entre las dos principales ramas del islam. El acercamiento entre Washington y Teherán haría irrelevantes los años y el dinero dedicados a construir pacientemente un frente regional antiiraní. Un eventual deshielo no solo relegaría regionalmente a Arabia Saudí, daría también alas a las reivindicaciones y agravios chiíes en numerosos países bajo el influjo de Riad.

Arabia Saudí no es el aliado ideal de nadie que se proclame defensor de los principios democráticos, pese a lo cual su sociedad con EE UU ha servido durante décadas a los intereses de ambos. Obama acaba de establecer como prioridades lograr un acuerdo nuclear con Irán e impulsar la paz entre palestinos e israelíes. Esos objetivos difícilmente cuajarán teniendo en contra a un régimen cuya influencia doctrinal e ilimitados recursos económicos le hacen determinante en el mundo árabe.
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