Obama Comes to the Rescue of the Democrats

Published in El País
(Spain) on 20 October 2010
by Antonio Caño (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by David Brodsky. Edited by Sam Carter.
The president starts a cross-country tour seeking to avoid an electoral disaster

The Democratic Party has placed in the hands of Barack Obama its last and faint hope for avoiding a disaster in the November congressional elections. The president begins a cross-country tour today, going from west to east, in which he will attempt to respond to the legitimate worries about the economy, challenge the myths that have been created concerning his administration and highlight some of the half-hidden merits of his first two years in office.

With all the ills besetting Obama, his political health is considerably better than that of his Congressional colleagues. Forty-five percent support his management and more than 50 percent have a favorable opinion of him personally, valuing his efforts although not necessarily sharing his ideas. For all the media noise surrounding Sarah Palin and the tea party, the president remains today the most popular politician in the country.

Hence, Obama will travel today to the state of Washington to help his party colleagues capitalize — to the extent possible — on his own relative popularity. He then goes to California and Nevada, two states where the Democrats have a great deal at stake. In the former, due to its size and importance, the Democratic Party risks, simply put, "to be or not to be" — not only in these elections but for many others in the coming years. Losing California would mean losing the national majority. In Nevada, the seat of the current head of the Democratic majority in the Senate, Harry Reid, is in serious jeopardy. His defeat would be important in terms of highlighting the weakness of a party that is unable to secure the election of its most important legislative leader.

Obama is coming to the aid of these colleagues with desire and confidence, but without any guarantee of success. In the recent past, he was unable to avoid defeats of his colleagues in Massachusetts, Virginia and New Jersey. In this campaign, a number of candidates in very conservative districts have chosen to maintain their distance from the president or even to boast about voting against health care reform and other key White House initiatives.

The stereotype that health care reform represents an immense waste of money and an intolerable interference on the part of the government in private affairs has taken root among an important sector of the electorate, which likewise believes that this administration has raised taxes and increased the deficit like no other.

The aim of Obama's tour will be, in part, to counter these impressions, and he has arguments in his favor. Obama has increased the federal deficit to nearly a trillion dollars, primarily because it was necessary to inject about $800 billion in the economy to put a brake on rising unemployment (an objective partially achieved) and more than $700 billion to avoid a breakdown in the financial system (the majority of this money has already been recovered). But never has the deficit grown as much as it did during the presidency of George W. Bush, who took a country with a surplus of $230 billion and left it with a deficit of almost $450 billion, although in those days the tea party didn't show any signs of life.

Obama also has arguments regarding taxes. In reality, this administration has not only not increased any tax, but has reduced them, although, as shown in an article published yesterday in the New York Times, only 10 percent of the population is aware of this. Up to 95 percent of Americans have benefited from the various tax reductions in recent years, in part because a major portion of the economic stimulus plan was aimed precisely at reducing taxes in order to stimulate consumption. What is at issue in this electoral campaign, however, is the decision taken by the president not to extend, beginning next year, the tax deductions Bush granted to those with annual incomes above $250,000.

Obama's cause is thus in need of a good advertising campaign. The problem is that he no longer benefits from his previous credibility. It's not easy for him to counter the opposing tide by himself. And, for the moment at least, he will have to do this unaided, since there is no one in his party in a position to give him a hand, with the possible exception of Bill Clinton, who in this campaign is defending the interests of Obama and of his own family name.


Obama sale al rescate demócrata

El presidente inicia una gira por el país para intentar evitar un desastre electoral

ANTONIO CAÑO - Washington - 20/10/2010

El Partido Demócrata deposita en las manos de Barack Obama sus últimas y escasas esperanzas de evitar un desastre en las elecciones legislativas de noviembre. El presidente inicia hoy una gira por todo el país, de Oeste a Este, en la que intentará responder a las preocupaciones legítimas por la situación económica, rebatir los mitos creados en torno a su Administración y destacar algunos méritos semiocultos de sus dos primeros años de Gobierno.

Con todos los males que acechan a Obama, su salud política es aún considerablemente mejor que la de sus colegas en el Congreso. Un 45% respalda su gestión y más de un 50% simpatiza con él personalmente, valora sus esfuerzos aunque no comparta sus propuestas. Por mucho ruido mediático generado en torno a Sarah Palin y el Tea Party, el presidente es todavía el político más popular del país.

Obama viajará hoy, pues, al Estado de Washington a ayudar a sus compañeros de partido a capitalizar, en la medida en que se pueda, esa relativa popularidad. Después irá a California y a Nevada, dos Estados en los que los demócratas se juegan mucho. En el primero, por su dimensión y trascendencia, el Partido Demócrata arriesga, simplemente, el ser o no ser, no ahora en estas elecciones, sino de cara a muchas elecciones en los próximos años. Perder California significaría perder la mayoría nacional. En Nevada está en grave peligro el puesto del actual jefe de la mayoría demócrata en el Senado, Harry Reid. Esa derrota sería importante por la debilidad que manifestaría un partido en el que no consigue ganar ni su máxima figura parlamentaria.

Obama acude en ayuda de ellos con voluntad y confianza, pero sin garantías de éxito. Ya en el pasado reciente no pudo evitar las derrotas de sus compañeros en Massachusetts, Virginia o Nueva Jersey. En esta campaña, algunos candidatos demócratas en circuitos muy conservadores han preferido mantenerse lejos del presidente o incluso hacer campaña presumiendo de haber votado en contra de la reforma sanitaria y de otras iniciativas fundamentales de la Casa Blanca.

El estereotipo de que la reforma sanitaria es un inmenso derroche de dinero y una intolerable interferencia del Gobierno en los asuntos individuales se ha impuesto entre un sector importante del electorado que considera, asimismo, que esta Administración ha subido impuestos y ha aumentado el déficit como ninguna otra.

El objetivo de la gira de Obama será, en parte, desmentir esas impresiones. Tiene argumentos para hacerlo. Obama ha aumentado el déficit federal hasta el billón de dólares actuales, principalmente porque fue necesaria una inyección de cerca de 800.000 millones de dólares en la economía para frenar el aumento del paro (objetivo parcialmente conseguido) y más de 700.000 millones de dólares para evitar la quiebra del sistema financiero (la mayor parte del dinero ya ha sido recuperado). Pero nunca ha crecido tanto el déficit como durante el mandato de George Bush, que cogió el país con un superávit de 230.000 millones de dólares y lo dejó con un déficit de casi 450.000 millones, aunque entonces el Tea Party no diera señales de vida.

Obama tiene argumentos también en materia de impuestos. En realidad, esta Administración no solo no ha subido aún ningún impuesto sino que los ha bajado, aunque, como muestra un reportaje publicado ayer por The New York Times, solo un 10% de la población es consciente de ello. Hasta un 95% de los norteamericanos se han visto favorecidos por distintas rebajas fiscales en los dos últimos años, en parte porque una porción significativa del plan de estímulo económico estaba destinada precisamente a la reducción de impuestos para estimular el consumo. Lo que se discute en esta campaña electoral es, sin embargo, la decisión del presidente de no extender a partir del año que viene las deducciones fiscales que Bush concedió a los ingresos superiores a los 250.000 dólares anuales.

La causa de Obama necesita, por tanto, una buena campaña publicitaria. El problema es que no goza ya de la credibilidad de antaño. No es fácil que pueda contener por sí solo la ola en su contra. Y, de momento al menos, tendrá que hacerlo sin ayuda porque nadie en su partido está en condiciones de echarle una mano, con excepción quizá de Bill Clinton, que está en campaña defendiendo los intereses de Obama y de su propio apellido.
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