Obama's Realist Foreign Policy is Set in Motion

Published in Lianhe Zaobao
(Singapore) on 26 Feb 2009
by Zhang Zhixin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Edward Seah. Edited by Louis Standish.
From February 16th to the 22nd, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton made official visits to four nations in Southeast Asia, namely Japan, Indonesia, South Korea and China, thereby completing her first mission as secretary of State. Soon after her return to the U.S., Mr. Obama welcomed his first foreign leader guest, Japanese Premier Aso Taro.

Not long before this, Mr. Obama had paid neighboring Canada a quick visit. When we associate that with Vice President John Biden's visit to Munich, Richard Holbrooke's visit to South Asia and George Mitchell's visit to the Middle East, we can see that the positioning of the Obama administration's diplomacy has been set in full motion. Almost the entire core of the diplomatic team, from the special envoy, secretary of State and vice president to the president, has been mobilized. They carried out their diplomatic missions through all possible channels available ranging from participating in forums, making official visits and receiving visitors to shuttling back and forth between meetings. In terms of geography, they covered all the important global bases that were of strategic interest to the U.S., from the Middle East, South Asia, Europe to Asia and North America.

Creditor Diplomacy to Mediate Domestic Troubles

The world is watching the Obama administration's new foreign policy, whose launch is certainly worth taking stock of and evaluating.

Prior to Hillary Clinton's departure for her Asia tour, the American media played up the uniqueness of her choice of destinations, where she did not visit the Middle East or Europe like her predecessors did, but made the unprecedented choice to visit East Asia first. During her tour, the media focused on the singularity of her performance where there had not been many occasions where she was particularly solemn or delivered a harangue. Instead, she had close interactions with people of every level, and spoke with a feminine air, filling the trip with a more human spirit and thus exhibiting the U.S.'s new image in Asia and even the world. However, after her trip ended, the media then criticized the mildness of her tone – outlets like the “Washington Post” and “Christian Science Monitor” spoke out and criticized her avoidance of talking about human right issues during her visit to China.

In actuality, there were some unarguable facts that the American media knew but were hesitant to reveal amidst all the reporting and the commentary: that Hillary Clinton decided on East Asia as the location for her first tour, with Japan being the first country on her itinerary and China being the last; that she did not pay heed to the interest groups as well as the pressure from public discourses back in the U.S. when she was visiting China, and was unusually toned down when discussing human rights issues; that she subsequently invited Mr. Aso Taro, whose popular support is low and position precarious, as the first foreign guest to the White House. Rather than saying that such a humbling of herself and expenditure of her efforts was a token of the U.S.'s shifting the center of diplomacy eastward from Europe and the Middle East towards Asia, it was more like a debtor in a predicament extending a goodwill gesture to another debtor with whom he or she had implicated.

Up until December last year, China held nearly $700 billion in U.S. treasury bonds, which accounted for 35.4% of the entire scale of U.S. treasury bonds held by foreign central banks and 13.3% of the total sum of the U.S.'s negotiable treasury bonds. Nearly 65% of China's foreign reserves had been used to buy U.S. treasury bonds. Japan, holding $577.1 billion in treasury bonds, came in second.

Following the introduction of an $800 billion bailout plan prior to President Bush stepping down, the Obama administration once again approved a $787 billion economic stimulus plan not long ago, and this figure would continue to increase. Such a great amount of U.S. dollars to be used for saving the U.S. economy cannot simply come by through an aggressive printing of the currency, and so the Obama administration's only alternative is to seek assistance from buyers with a huge amount in foreign reserves like China and Japan.

Against such a backdrop, could Hillary Clinton then ask China to rough out the storm together with the U.S. or even to extend a helping hand, but rebuke China on human right issues from the top down? Faced with what Hillary calls the three great crises (the global economic crisis, the global climate changes and the global security crisis), distancing the U.S. from creditors such as China and Japan is clearly out of the question. Between moral idealism centered on human rights and democracy and the realistic need for saving the U.S. from economic woes, Mr. Obama and Hillary Clinton have no reasons not to choose the latter.

While the U.S.'s internal problems earnestly await the continual support of creditors like China and Japan, its external troubles were focused on getting itself out of the quicksand that Iraq is becoming, as well as shifting the anti-terrorism focus eastward to Afghanistan and Palestine in the pursuit of new victories in the War on Terror. This too needs outside support, meaning that the U.S. hopes to obtain understanding and cooperation from Palestine, Afghanistan and the rest of the Islamic world. The U.S. also hopes to garner more support in areas like finance and military from allies like Japan and the European Union as its ability is increasingly falling short of its ambitions.

Due to such a realistic need that, whether it was through Holbrooke's trip to South Asia, Mitchell's trip to the Middle East or Biden's speech in Munich, the U.S. gave up its one-sided labor and showed a degree of humility; cut down on the finger-pointing and did more of appealing and listening.

The Obama administration has chosen the realist approach of listening, communication and persuasion without allowing itself to be limited by the moral authority of idealism. The American media had a mixed response to that, which goes to reflect the decline of unilateralism and the complex mentality of helplessness when unilateral hegemony falls.

In any case, a realistic U.S. that advocates smart power, as opposed to an idealistic U.S. that relied heavily on firearms, has undoubtedly more moral appeal, and is in a better position to help the world weather the storm, to recover as well as progress toward peace and prosperity.


2月16-22日,美国国务卿希拉里(希拉莉)对东亚四国日本、印尼、韩国和中国进行了正式访问,完成了其上任后的出访首演。随即,奥巴马在白宫迎来他的第一位外国首脑级客人日本首相麻生太郎。

此前不久,他对邻国加拿大进行了闪电访问。再联想到副总统拜登的慕尼黑之行、霍尔布鲁克的南亚之行以及米切尔的中东之行,奥巴马当局的外交布局业已全面 展开:主体上,从特使、国务卿、副总统到总统的外交国安团队几乎全部出动;形式上,从参加论坛、正式出访、接待来访到穿梭访问诸多形式悉数进行;地域上, 从中东、南亚、欧洲到亚洲、北美,覆盖了美国全球战略利益各个要点。

债主外交排解内忧

奥巴马外交新政备受世界瞩目,其开局无疑值得盘点、评价。

对于希拉里的亚洲之行,美国媒体行前炒作其选择的独特性——没有像其前任那样首访中东或者欧洲,史无前例地选择了东亚;事中则聚焦其表现的独特性——没 有太多的正襟危坐高谈阔论,同各个阶层人物的亲密接触,颇具女性气质的语言表达,使得此行更富于人性气息,展现了美国在亚洲乃至全球的新形象;事后则批评 其声调的温和性——《华盛顿邮报》、《基督教科学箴言报》等媒体都发表言论,对于希拉里访华避谈人权进行批评。

其实,美国媒体在报道和评说时,有个不争的事实都心知肚明却不愿说破:希拉里将首访目的地确定为东亚,东亚行程又以日本为首、中国殿后;访问中国时又不顾国内利益集团和舆论压 力,异乎寻常地在人权等问题上降低声调;随后又邀请民意支持度低迷、地位岌岌可危的麻生太郎作为白宫首位外国客人,如此放下身段且煞费心机,与其说是美国 外交重心从欧洲、中东向亚洲东移的表征,不如说是陷入困顿的债务人在向受其牵连的债务人“示好”。

截至去年12月,中国持有美国国债近7000亿美元,占外国央行持有美国国债总规模的35.4%,占美国可流通国债总额的13.3%,中国外汇储备的近65%都买了美国国债。居第二位的日本持有5771亿美元。

“倾听”外交 舒缓外患

继布什下台前推出8000亿美元救市计划后,奥巴马当局不久前又批准7870亿美元的经济刺激计划,这个数字还会增加。挽救美国经济的这些巨额美元,不可能仅仅通过猛印钞票来解决,求助中日这样有巨额外汇储备的大买家,是奥巴马当局的不二选择。

在此背景下,希拉里还能一边要求中国同舟共济甚至施以援手,一边又居高临下地指责中国人权问题吗?应对希拉里所谓的三大危机(全球经济危机、全球气候变化 危机和全球安全危机),离开中日这样的大债主无异痴人说梦。以人权民主为核心的道德理想主义,和以拯救国内经济困局的现实主义需要,奥巴马和希拉里没有理 由不选择后者。

美国的内忧亟待中日等债主的继续支持,其外患即从近乎泥沼的伊拉克脱身,而将反恐重心东移至阿富汗巴基斯坦,争取反恐新胜利,同 样需要外部支持,既希望得到巴基斯坦、阿富汗以及伊斯兰世界的理解和合作,更希望包括日本、欧盟在内的盟国,在资金、兵力等多方面给日渐力不从心的美国以 有力支持。

正因为这种现实需要,所以无论是霍尔布鲁克的南亚行、米切尔的中东行,还是拜登在慕尼黑的演讲,美国都摒弃了单边蛮干,拿出少有的谦虚姿态;少了些指手画脚,多了些呼吁和倾听。

奥巴马当局没有被理想主义的道德权威所局限,选择了现实主义的倾听、沟通、说服,美国媒体的反应五味杂陈,这也恰恰反映出单边主义式微、单一霸权衰落时无可奈何的复杂心态。

无论如何,一个鼓吹“巧实力”(smart power)的现实主义美国,相对于一个倚重枪炮的理想主义美国,对世界无疑更具道德感召力,也更有利于全球共渡难关,恢复并发展和平与繁荣。
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