American Pact on Iran: End of an Era & Beginning of a New Middle East

Today, the people of Iran live in a state of conflict between religious thought and the humanitarian requirements that the realities of the current global and regional situation impose upon the state. As a matter of fact, what has the Islamic Iranian government achieved since the fall of the Shah? Will Iran continue to support the Arab liberation movements? Has its renewal of American friendship achieved a shred of welfare for its citizens in the past three decades? Will Iran support the democratic Arab governments or will its policies render it submissive to a strategy intended to gain influence over Iran? And is there really any benefit to a strategy involving hostility between Iran and America?

Many currents have developed in the name of Iranian reform, flowing in the direction of ethnic and national intolerance and seeking domestic political change from the religious temple of power. Over the past several years, an emerging political youth has been making strides under the influences of globalization and the Internet. They are being swept in the direction of America, causing the Islamic system of government in Iran to be shaken. It is expected that this will gradually lead to the fall of the monolithic Islamic power structure. Indeed, the defining player on the Iranian stage today has quickly trended toward American influence. Yet the factor that delayed the hastening rapprochement was neither America nor the Islamic regime in Iran, but rather the cash cow (e.g. the Gulf oil states) that has advanced stride by stride according to the desires of America and the West and that intends to maintain a strict posture towards Iran. All this because America and Israel felt great terror about Iran, their shared enemy, making gains without being able to sacrifice these earnings with anything in return. In other words, the principal governor and political player of the world economy today is the United States, and it seems that America is working to invest in the Middle East for the sake of administering greater creative, managerial and exploitative control over it.

It seems that a new age has begun in the Middle East, but only because of America, who governs today and has been exploiting the Gulf oil states for a long time. This will continue until the other Arab states are purged of their dictatorial overlords and their leaders are forcibly given the boot by presidential decree.

The Tunisian and Egyptian intifadas occurred as a result of planning and mobilization on social networks like Twitter and Facebook. As everyone can see, many other Arab nations are now also crossing rough terrain in attempts to topple their bloody dictatorships. Furthermore, it is expected that after the fall off these systems, the outlook of religious exclusionism, characterized by its bullying bloodthirstiness and supported by the economic power of petroleum in the Gulf States, will take hold, only to spread chaos throughout the region and prevent any true national development capable of freeing the region from foreign interference. All of the pawns in the chess game, e.g. the regional leaders, are seeking their own ends. In reality they are working to override American plans, whether they know it or not, because each and every one of the states that gave themselves the right to intervene in countries undergoing the transitional process of American democratic change will crack without a single ally to support them — just as Egypt faltered when Mubarak continued to interfere in Iraq for the past eight years, resulting in the fall of the Mubarak regime in the blink of an eye. Moreover, many of the fighters that were trained and sent to Iraq are now returning to Egypt to find work or to establish anarchy there, a trend that may continue for a long time.

America does not say what it wants from the crowds marching in its tow, although the U.S. always makes them take the least intelligent decision. Indeed, America now goes beyond even conspiracy to determine its fate, for it is working to create a new vision of the Middle East. The U.S. is trying to reconstruct Middle Eastern ideology and reform global thinking according to concepts that have presided since the end of World War I. It will work on changing the model of the state and the homeland, perhaps also tarnishing the sanctity of the state and its borders and facilitating a new world order of various multinational conglomerates.

For those that have the greatest knowledge of the world are those most able to re-imagine it, but it is a task that won’t be accomplished through a single lecture, book or news article. Rather, the reformation will be instituted through a decade’s worth or more of propaganda, misinformation and continued intellectual negligence in each and every country in the Middle East. In addition, America is alone in holding the lines of entrenched, armed mobilization with both old and modern technology, and it is America that knows how to run the game. America positioned Arab and regional secret police forces and security apparatuses to interfere in various democratic initiatives within the region and prevented the rise of true democracy, leaving faux democracy that lacked consultation with the people, thereby facilitating the creation of another American puppet. Especially within the oil-producing Gulf States, this action generated weak and fragile democracies that will remain submissive to the United States. This interference in the Gulf States will be very detrimental, even though their leaders will feel increasingly secure in their confidence in the power of the “creative chaos” brand of democracy that America has designed for the Middle East.

For it is not easy to rule over all the countries of the region through economic might alone, especially if America withdraws its hand from military control over the petroleum powers. Indeed, America’s about-face from the Gulf would ease the winds of change, thereby ripping down all of the monarchies in power today.

America is stepping down from all of its shared engagements, much as it did in the past with Saddam and Hosni. In the end, America will expect resignation papers from all of the Gulf rulers and it will deliver a great military blow to the Gulf states, bankrupting them and making them further indebted to America. Such a move will facilitate the fall of regimes that are already unable to even produce bread for their citizens and that lack the localized modern electronic administration skills to protect their institutions from outside intrusions. The great hostility that Arab dictatorships could produce in the region, especially between the Gulf and Iran, will lead to serious future disasters, especially when American policy changes and becomes more open to true rapprochement with Iran, thus permitting Iran to return to its former role as policeman of the Gulf in a renewed Middle East.

Indeed, in the new American Middle East there will be four primary power players: the extremist power of Saudi Arabia behind its Wahabi designs; the Turkish power with its new Ottoman influence that may take advantage of its Ottoman Caliphate heritage and its territorial waters to impose control and engage in regional interventions, thereby setting up a moderate Islamic ideology that could win global support; Iran, which is considered the primary center of gravity in the regional balance of power with its leftist brand of Islam; and finally, greedy Israel, who is in line for a leading role the Middle East at some point during the current century.

As for Iraq, it will continue to be the center of conflict among these powers, an ever-present factor in their stances and conflicts. The resumption of friendly relations between America and Iran will be a decisive blow to the Gulf because it will recall to their minds memories of the days of the Shah, who was considered the primary, undisputed American governor of the Gulf. Iran as an American ally would be inevitably secular and it will be difficult to deal with such an entity, especially in light of the fresh global interests and plots coming to bear on the situation. How will America achieve a balance between these four new powers, making them engage in activities according to their wishes? It seems that the dynamics of the new world order after the fall of the Eastern bloc have revealed the necessity of bringing about a change in capitalist infrastructure by creating a new long-term enemy for the West, i.e. extremist terrorism. To achieve true self-defense — and be beholden to America — it is often mandatory to vanquish one’s enemies by chaotically manufacturing this new artificial enemy, declaring war on it and thereby smoothly paving the way for a new, globalized American era, erecting facades of capitalistic paradigms following the final advent of chaos in the Middle East. It is worth considering: Is the United States’ Middle East manifestation the end of America? Or will this merely be a new beginning that will put an end to the era of global conflict and remove the words “single victory” and replace it with the word “success”? This America will only be a reality on the basis of a new polity. Such revolutionary polities will serve as crown-bearers for America by virtue of various forms of media, information technology and the worldwide web.

We are advancing toward the unknown and we do not know what awaits us. We are like amateurs playing chess with a skilled player, for whenever we think that we are moving the right way to win the game, we quickly find ourselves making the wrong move, doing exactly what our opponent expected us to do. Is putting a stop to the game possible or not? Does the eager desire for victory goad us on toward progressively heavier losses? Or is the game mandatory and impossible to stop, as if it was a matter of fate? It is not possible to positively or negatively prognosticate the future right now because the new age will take a long time to come together and harmonize conflicting ideologies. All of this will only be a result of many struggles and crises, culminating in the conception of a new idea that will come to conclusively take root as a regional and global reality.