Road Map for US Diplomacy Still Includes its Leadership Role

Published in Guangming Daily News
(China) on 1 March 2012
by Hong Jun Jie and Wang Shao (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jeffrey King. Edited by Casey J. Skeens.
As America’s financial problems grow worse by the day, how can it maintain its position as a world leader? U.S. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton provided just such an answer to this question. On February 28, while attending a Senate hearing for the 2013 international affairs budget, Clinton proposed five main priorities which outlined America’s future diplomatic road map.

Repair America’s Legacy by Heading East

Clinton stated that the main focus of America’s foreign policy is to carry out security missions in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iraq. Its secondary goal is to put into effect its “forward-deployed diplomacy” in the Asia-Pacific region. This foreign policy ordering is in stark contrast to the “return-to-Asia” policy that had previously been so talked about in public opinion.

But actually, this foreign policy arrangement is quite logical. According to Fudan University’s vice president of the International Relations and Public Affairs College Wu Xinbo, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are “legacies” left behind for the current administration by former President George W. Bush. A strategic shift to the East is actually Obama’s own creation. The current administration must clean up the mess left by the previous one before it can free itself and begin focusing on other issues. However, after the Koran-burning scandal by American soldiers, ensuring that the situation in Afghanistan does not spin out of control and that the U.S. can pull out by 2014 has become an urgent problem for Washington. Looking at things from this perspective, the current strategic importance of the Afghanistan issue is more important to the U.S. than is a return to Asia.

Of course, putting America’s strategic plans for the Asia-Pacific region behind these issues does not mean that the importance of the Asia-Pacific region is any less significant. The executive director for the China Foundation for International Strategic Studies Wang Yusheng believes that the U.S. is not willing to give up any concessions in the Middle East or in the Asia-Pacific region. He believes that that the U.S. is equally invested in both. However, considering that the U.S. is currently looking to free itself from Afghanistan and Iraq but is eagerly looking to jump into the Asia-Pacific region reflects Washington’s strategic considerations; the U.S. is clearly moving into one area but leaving the other. This, coupled with the media’s reports pointing out that, in her speech, Clinton mentioned that the U.S. intends to shift towards the Asia-Pacific, allows one to draw the conclusion that America will not slow down its march to the East, but in fact my look to speed it up.

The Turbulent Situation in the Middle East Brings New Missions

Clinton’s third key priority was that the U.S. will pay close attention to the changes taking place in the Arab world and will provide aid to a number of Arab countries. Some media reports jokingly remarked that the situation in the Middle East during these last two years has brought many “new missions” to the U.S. In fact, it is obvious that there are different voices in Washington regarding the unstable situation in the Middle East. Compared to the relatively cautious stance of the Pentagon, the Clinton-led State Department has adopted a position in which they are eager to get involved. The latest developments in the area have only increased this “vanguard” role played by the State Department. During the war in Syria, it was America’s European allies that were playing the leading role, but now, with the U.S. calling for intervention, Washington has become a crucial element to the situation in the Middle East.

America’s obsession with the affairs of the Middle East is not without its reasons. On the one hand, the changes occurring in the Middle East cannot be prevented. The pro-U.S. governments of Ben Ali, Mubarak, and Saleh have all fallen from power. A pragmatic America must now consider how to initiate dealings with the new regimes. Economic aid might be the best choice. In Clinton’s speech, she stated that the State Department is planning to set up a Middle East and North Africa Incentive Fund to provide aid to several Arab countries. On the other hand, in hopes of catching a windfall, the U.S. wants to make use of the situation in the area to try to force a change in the governments of those countries that remain anti-American: Libya, Syria, and Iran.

Clinton’s fourth priority was about how to use “diplomacy and development to create American jobs.” This point was in response to the domestic economic situation against which Washington has already taken many actions. The White House had previously stated that U.S. exports in the next five years will double, creating two million jobs. At the end of last month, the U.S. established the Interagency Trade Enforcement Center which will carry out investigations and counterattacks against “unfair” competitors, including China. This action, coupled with Clinton’s statement that foreign diplomacy should serve the economy, prompted Wu Xinbo to state that one can easily foresee that trade conflicts between the U.S. and China will only increase in the future.

Clinton’s last key priority was that the U.S. must continue its strategic assistance abroad by developing means to eliminate poverty, famine, and epidemics, and to devise ways to fight global warming. The U.S., considering itself the “world police,” believes that developing programs to assist the poor abroad will reduce the conditions that breed anti-American sentiment. As a result, experts point out that America’s political goals in offering foreign aid are obvious. The U.S. often makes many demands to those countries who receive its aid, but in the end, America’s demands are little more than rhetoric that never amount to anything.

Clinton noted that “these five priorities are each crucial to American Leadership.” Her statement that “we simply cannot pull back” shows that even though the U.S. economy is weak, it still is not willing to give up on its world leadership role. Only this time, whether or not the U.S. can fulfill this dream is no longer Washington’s decision.


美国财力日益捉襟见肘,该如何维持全球“领导”地位?美国国务卿希拉里·克林顿给出了答案。2月28日,在出席参议院2013财年外交预算听证会上,她提出了5项重点内容,描绘了一幅美国未来外交“路线图”。

  收拾“遗产”急于东移

  希拉里称,美外交政策的首要重点是继续在阿富汗、巴基斯坦和伊拉克执行安全任务,其次是在亚太推行“前沿部署”外交政策。这一排序似与此前舆论热炒的“重返亚太”政策相悖。

  其实,这种排序有其逻辑关系。在复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院副院长吴心伯看来,阿富汗与伊拉克两场战争都是小布什总统留给现任政府的 “遗产”,“战略重心东移”是奥巴马的“原创”,现政府需要将前任留下的烂摊子尽快收拾干净,才能腾出手来关注其他议题。特别是驻阿美军曝出“焚经丑闻”后,如何保证阿富汗局势不至失控,进而能在2014年如期撤军,成为华盛顿亟待解决的难题。从这一点上说,当前阿富汗对美国的战略重要性,从某种意义上已超越亚太地区。

  当然,将美国亚太战略置于次席不代表其重要性打了折扣。中国国际问题研究基金会战略研究中心执行主任王嵎生认为,美国不会放弃中东与亚太的任何一块,或者说美国对两者的战略投入是同步的。不过,考虑到美国目前想从阿富汗、伊拉克脱身,又急切地进入亚太,“一进一出”体现出华盛顿的战略考量,再联系媒体报道希拉里在演讲中提出要向亚太 “倾斜”,或许可以做出这样判断,美国不会放慢“东移”步伐,相反还会继续加速。

  中东变局带来新任务

  希拉里5项重点内容的第三项是 “关注阿拉伯世界的改革,向一些阿拉伯国家提供援助”。有外媒戏谑,这是近两年来中东局势给美国带来的“新任务”。应该看到,华盛顿内部对这场乱局有着不同的声音,比起态度谨慎的五角大楼,希拉里领导的国务院采取了积极介入的态度,而且随着局势发展“急先锋”的角色愈发入戏。利比亚战争时期是美国的欧洲盟友唱主角,而如今美国挑起了干涉叙利亚事务的大梁,华盛顿已成为中东变局中的关键因素。

  美国如此钟情中东事务,有其考量。一方面,中东变局已经无法阻止,亲美的本·阿里、穆巴拉克、萨利赫政权倒台,务实的美国需要思量如何与新政权打交道。经济援助或许是不二选择,希拉里在演讲中提出,国务院拟成立一项7.7亿美元的中东北非激励基金,向一些阿拉伯国家提供援助。另一方面,搂草打兔子,希冀利用乱局使反美的利比亚、叙利亚、伊朗改朝换代,也符合美国战略利益。

  希拉里的第四项重点内容是 “积极开展经济外交为国内创造就业机会”,这个是国内经济形势使然,华盛顿为此动作频频。白宫先前提出,通过美国未来出口5年内翻一番,为国内创造200万的就业岗位;上月底,美国成立跨部门贸易执法中心,对包括中国在内的各国 “不公平”竞争行为进行调查和反击,此番再加上希拉里“外交为经济服务”的言论,“可以预见,未来美国对华贸易摩擦将会加剧”,吴心伯认为。

  最后一项重点内容是 “继续推动美国在海外开展消除贫困、饥荒、疫病和应对气候变化等方面的战略援助”。以“世界警察”自居的美国认为开展对外 “扶贫”能减少各种反美滋生的土壤。正因为如此,专家指出,美国对外援助政治目的明显,常常会对受援国提出各种各样的要求,最后往往是雷声大雨点小,不了了之。

  “5项优先工作中的每一项都对维持美国的世界领导地位至关重要,”希拉里一语中的。所谓“无可奈何要收缩,情不自禁去伸手”,美国在经济疲软的情况下仍不忘“领导”世界,只是能否如愿不是华盛顿决定的。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Russia: Political Analyst Reveals the Real Reason behind US Tariffs*

Topics

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Russia: Political Analyst Reveals the Real Reason behind US Tariffs*

Poland: Meloni in the White House. Has Trump Forgotten Poland?*

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

Japan: US Administration Losing Credibility 3 Months into Policy of Threats

Mauritius: Could Trump Be Leading the World into Recession?

India: World in Flux: India Must See Bigger Trade Picture

Related Articles

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

Hong Kong: Can US Tariffs Targeting Hong Kong’s ‘Very Survival’ Really Choke the Life out of It?

Cuba: Trump, Panama and the Canal

China: White House Peddling Snake Oil as Medicine