Romney Sticks

Published in Le Monde
(France) on 29 February 2012
by Corine Lesnes (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Laura Napoli. Edited by Casey J. Skeens.
To the great disappointment of television “pundits,” Mitt Romney has survived. Commentators had an equally disappointed tone Tuesday evening upon being deprived of a spectacular “speech” from the native son deprived of his victory in Michigan - a defeat that would be followed by an earthquake in the Republican establishment. But nothing like that happened.

The former Massachusetts governor won a clear victory in Arizona (47.5 percent over 26.2 percent for Santorum). In Michigan, he won with 41.1 percent over 37.9 percent for Santorum (and 11.7 percent for Ron Paul).

It is another defeat for conventional thinking: The position Mitt Romney took against rescuing the auto industry in the New York Times in 2008 (charitably titled: “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt”) was supposed to cost him the victory. How can the child of Detroit, the son of a former automobile industry leader, have so little compassion? Michigan would surely take revenge. Besides, Rick Santorum had sponsored telephone calls (robocalls) to Democratic voters (who were authorized by Republicans to vote!), asking them to “punish” this ungrateful person.

Nothing like that happened, either.

According to exit polls, voters in favor of the “bailout” didn’t vote more for Santorum than for Romney. It is true that the media finally revealed that all the Republican candidates were against the Obama plan….

However, Mitt Romney’s position on cars could cost him votes in November. Sixty-one percent of Independents think that the bailout was a good idea.

Barack Obama hasn’t missed the chance to share his views. Coincidentally, he gave a speech Tuesday in front of the automobile union meeting in Washington. The President-candidate is not waiting until the party designates an opponent. He campaigns a little more each day.

He also constructed his speech: Forget the stimulus, the health care reform. The automobile is saved. Unemployment is going down. Businesses are creating jobs in the U.S. again.

Again though, it’s a little more complicated. Out of the $80 billion that went to the automobile industry, General Motors obtained $51 billion. The company repaid $24 billion. It is returning as the top automaker in the world, but there remains $23 billion to pay back. (The share price, which is at $26, must double in order to recoup the remaining portion, according to specialists.) Unemployment is slightly reduced. But according to these same specialists, it’s also because many have moved.


Romney s’incruste
A la grande déception des "pundits" de la télévision, Mitt Romney a survécu. Les commentateurs avaient un ton assez déçu mardi soir de se voir priver de la "narration" spectaculaire de l'enfant du pays privé de victoire dans le Michigan. Défaite qui serait suivie d'une secousse sismique dans l'establishment républicain.
Rien de tel.
L'ancien gouverneur du Massachussets a remporté une nette victoire en Arizona (47,5 % contre 26,2 % pour Santorum). Dans le Michigan, il a gagné avec 41,1 % contre 37,9 % à Rick Santorum (et 11,7 % pour Ron Paul).
Autre défaite de la pensée conventionnelle: la prise de position de Mitt Romney contre le sauvetage de l'automobile, dans le New York Times en 2008 (charitablement titrée: "Laissons Detroit faire faillite"), était censée lui couter la victoire. Comment l'enfant de Détroit, le fils d'un ancien dirigeant de l'industrie automobile, avait-il pu avoir aussi peu de compassion? Le Michigan allait se venger. D'ailleurs Rick Santorum avait commandité des appels téléphoniques (robocalls) aux électeurs démocrates (autorisés à voter chez les républicains !) en leur demandant de "punir" l'ingrat.
Rien de tel, là non plus.
Selon les sondages de sortie des urnes, les électeurs favorables au "bail out" n'ont pas voté davantage pour Santorum que pour Romney. Il est vrai que les medias ont fini par révéler que tous les candidats républicains étaient contre le plan Obama....

En revanche, la position de Mitt Romney sur l'automobile pourrait lui couter des voix en novembre. 61 % des indépendants pensent que c'était une bonne idée.
Barack Obama n'a pas manqué de s'inscrire dans le paysage. Comme par hasard, il a tenu un discours mardi devant le syndicat de l'automobile réuni comme par hasard à Washington. Le président-candidat n'attend pas que le parti ait désigné l'adversaire. Il fait campagne, chaque jour un peu plus.
Lui aussi construit sa narration: Oubliez le plan de relance, la réforme de la santé. L'automobile est sauvée. Le chomage en reflux. Les entreprises reviennent crééer des emplois aux Etats-Unis..
Là aussi, c'est un peu plus compliqué. Sur les 80 milliards qui sont allés à l'automobile, General Motors en a obtenu 51. L'entreprise a remboursé 24 milliards. Elle est redevenue la première du monde mais il reste encore 23 milliards à rembourser (il faudrait que le cours de l'action, qui est à 26 dollars, double pour récupérer la part restante, selon les spécialistes). Le chomage s'est un peu résorbé. Mais selon les mêmes spécialistes, c'est aussi parce que beaucoup ont déménagé.

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