Second Assault

Published in El Pais
(Spain) on 18 October 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Natalie Legros. Edited by Natalie Clager.
In the second of the three presidential debates, taking place in New York, Barack Obama has taken the initiative and has shown himself to be more aggressive and convincing than Mitt Romney. He has regained part of the playing field lost in the first meeting in Denver. In the first debate, Romney situated himself for the first time as a possible candidate in the polls, taking from the president crucial voters from women and Hispanics. But Romney resisted well in the most recent debate. It is not probable, in any case, that many doubtful electors have gained clarity. From those exchanges it is still not clear what Romney’s first term, or Obama’s second, would look like.

In this passionate American campaign of 2012, the television debates have become a decisive factor. Today, the polls result in a technical tie before the first Tuesday of November. Just as important as the debates, or more so, is the money the campaigns have dedicated to television ads, or other ads. Romney's campaign, which raised no more than $170 million (130 million euros) in September, got ready to bombard his potential electors with $12 million worth of ads yesterday, especially in key states such as Florida and Ohio. It remains to be seen if the current Democratic president will regain his advantage. In this moment, in New York we saw a more solid Obama that was defending his stances concerning taxes, health care, women's equality, wage inequality and immigration. The Republican candidate had his strongest moments when questioning the economic situation and unemployment, with figures that have improved — 7.8 percent in September — but are high for the U.S.

Until now foreign politics have not been discussed, as opposed to domestic policy which is of greater interest to Americans, although the rest of the world is very interested. In foreign policy the differences are scarce; the biggest one is defense spending, which Obama wants to reduce by almost 3 percent and that Romney wants to increase by 4 percent — a difference of $2 billion, which is not trivial.

Obama has a balance to maintain and a presence to uphold before a Romney who has been changing his persona when the time calls for it. A specter that reappeared in the debate has added to this burden: George W. Bush's ghost and the financial and economic crisis that began under his command.


Segundo asalto

En el segundo de los tres debates presidenciales, el de Nueva York, Barack Obama ha llevado la iniciativa y se ha revelado más agresivo y convincente que Mitt Romney. Puede haber recuperado una parte del terreno perdido en el primer encuentro de Denver, tras el que el republicano se situó por primera vez como presidenciable en las encuestas, quitando al presidente apoyos cruciales entre mujeres e hispanos. Pero Romney aguantó bien. No es probable, en todo caso, que muchos electores dudosos se hayan aclarado. De estos intercambios no se despeja en qué consistiría un primer mandato de Romney o un segundo del actual presidente.

En esta apasionante campaña estadounidense de 2012, los debates en televisión se han convertido en un factor decisivo. Hoy por hoy, las encuestas arrojan un empate técnico ante la jornada del primer martes de noviembre. Tanto como esos debates o más pesa el dinero que las campañas de los candidatos dedican a anuncios en televisión y otros medios. Y la de Romney, que recaudó nada menos que 170 millones de dólares (130 millones de euros) en septiembre, se disponía ayer a bombardear con 12 millones de dólares a sus electores potenciales, especialmente en Estados clave como Florida y Ohio. Está por ver si el actual presidente demócrata recupera su ventaja. De momento, en Nueva York vimos a un Obama más sólido, que defendía su terreno en materia de impuestos, sanidad, igualdad de la mujer, disparidad salarial e inmigración. El candidato republicano tuvo sus momentos más firmes al cuestionar la situación económica y el desempleo, con cifras que han mejorado —7,8% en septiembre—, pero que son altas para EE UU.

Hasta ahora se ha tocado poco la política exterior que, en tiempos relativamente tranquilos, apenas interesa a los ciudadanos estadounidenses, aunque mucho a los del resto del mundo. En este terreno, las diferencias son escasas. La mayor puede ser el gasto en Defensa, que Obama quiere reducir en casi un 3% y Romney, aumentar un 4%; una diferencia de 2.000 millones de dólares, que no es banal.

Obama tiene un balance que presentar, y una línea que preservar ante un Romney que ha ido cambiando sus perfiles al albur de las circunstancias. A este lastre suma otro que reapareció en el debate (pero de escaso peso en el votante): el fantasma de George W. Bush, bajo cuyo mandato empezó la crisis financiera y económica.
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