TPP Negotiations: Seize Initiative from America

The year-end settlement for the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) has been postponed. The next ministerial-level talks are on course to open at the end of next January, but agreement is nowhere in sight. America’s uncompromising stance provides the setting for stalled negotiations.

In a continuing conflict with the Senate, President Obama’s balance of power throws a shadow. If the contents of the agreed-upon settlements cannot gain approval, it could be fatal to him as a national leader. Next November’s mid-term election, which could affect the course of the administration, also will inevitably be a hard-fought campaign.

The structure of negotiations is becoming “the U.S. vs. the other 11 countries, including Japan.” Saddled with its domestic affairs and rushing to conclusions and results, the U.S. is the one who should make concessions. I would like Japan to brace itself carefully, without regard to the settlement period.

America’s egocentricity is unacceptable. Japan, while having strong connections to the U.S., is a major economic superpower in Asia. It can play the role of mediator between the U.S. and Asia. If Japan strengthens ties with rising nations like Vietnam, it will be in range for seizing negotiation leadership from the U.S. I want to find common ground with Japanese leadership.

In the negotiations so far, Japan has offered proposals to the U.S. in the automotive sector in particular. Because of those conditions, I would like to defend — at all costs — the exceptions to tariff removal concerning the five important agricultural sectors.

Recognition of the so-called “handover of American sovereignty” is heard from other participating countries. I would like to cooperate with participating countries and increase international opinion, which will lead the U.S. to concessions.

Senior Vice Minister of the Cabinet Office Yasutoshi Nishimura, who attended in place of the ailing minister Akira Amari, carried out his duties. Despite rejecting America’s demands by saying “We cannot give even one millimeter,” negotiations did not break down. Each country in Asia, having come to regard Japan as pro-America, will also likely change its perspective.

In light of the announced minister’s medical condition, he will return to official duties in time for the upcoming ministerial-level talks. If the U.S. proceeds with full scale negotiations with Minister Amari, who has a tacit understanding with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, the U.S. will not be able to unilaterally impose only its own claims.

President Obama is considering a tour of Asia, including Japan, around next April. The aim is to demonstrate his abilities on the diplomatic front and to regain domestic unity. Most likely, he truly intends to reach an agreement concerning the TPP no later than before his overseas travel schedule.

As time passes, President Obama’s prestige decreases. America is the one most in a hurry. I want to focus on the other party’s weak points. Now is the time for Japan to demonstrate its hard-line diplomatic skills.