America Will Eventually Be Overtaken by Other Countries Because of Its Compliance to Tradition

Published in China News
(China) on 21 April 2015
by Yang Zi Yan (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Winnie Xiao. Edited by Nicholas Eckart.
“Imitated by many, surpassed by none.” Slogans like this are always remarkable. In this constantly changing world, being overtaken is always unavoidable. There are countless examples that demonstrate the falls of internationally famous brands, and the similar declines of once dominant countries are also very common.

In the end, the recent G20 Finance Ministers and Central Banks Governor Meetings did not bring forward any uplifting news. The International Monetary Fund still had not achieved any progress after this summit in terms of its quota and vote power reforms that were proposed as early as 2010. The meeting only brought up more disappointment from various countries.

The UK Financial Times columnist was revealed to be very pessimistic: “National, regional, and global reforms are needed to accelerate and reduce instability,” or the global economy will face unsustainable issues.

Indeed, establishing the direction of reform is not as difficult as motivating world leaders' determination for it.

America, as the leader, has not displayed a strong will for reform; instead it appears to be an irresponsible superpower. Almost all past reforms were products of the spreading terror of the financial crisis, including the 2008 G20 summit and the 2010 IMF quota reform.

What's more terrifying is that this issue is “delayed.” The G20 finance ministers and the central banks’ presidents convened several times and came up with resolutions to pressure the United States to find a “Plan B,” but every time the U.S. Congress failed to authorize the reforms.

America’s clever strategy to “delay” slows down the rise of China, India and other emerging economies, which all have direct impacts on the modern international economic system. Even if America approves the measures of the IMF quota reform, it will sacrifice the voting shares of small European countries to fulfill the requests of emerging economies, and its veto power will remain unshaken.

It is no longer only the emerging economies that have complaints. Lots of Europeans think that America is abusing its privilege in the financial and monetary market, which aggravates the difficulties of Europe’s economy to some degree. A few days ago, Australian mainstream media commented on America’s fault: “Thanks to the pettiness and petulance of the U.S. Congress, the U.S. has been overtaken. Beijing 1, Washington 0.”

The hope of the international community has been shattered by the rejection from the U.S. Congress. But the American-style “delay” will not save its crown as a world leader; because of the compliance to tradition, America is blocking its own path and will eventually be surpassed.

America should know that as other economies expand, a single large international economic system is no longer applicable. It is possible that the global economic management system is also entering a phase where it will strive for more balance of power and win-win situations, but at the same time it will be repairing the complex operation of the “post-America era.”

American politicians have already displayed their sour jealousies, showing skepticism toward the veto power created by new economic systems, but this projecting thinking is not beneficial at all for expanding America’s own influence. They should understand this. The popularity of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank can also be considered an opposition to America’s “one-voice rules system.”

America needs to self-examine as soon as possible; otherwise, being overtaken is just a matter of time, and it might even come sooner than expected.


评论:美国因循守旧将最终导致被别国超越

“一直被模仿,从未被超越。”对于这样的广告词人们总是印象深刻。在这个变化的世界上,超越总不可避免。国际上知名品牌陨落的例子不在少数,曾经辉煌一时的大国暗淡失色也是常有之事。
  
刚结束的G20央行和财长会议最终没能传达出振奋人心的消息。早在2010年就提出的IMF份额和治理改革在这次会议上没有取得任何进展,只是有更多的国家表达出失望之情。
  
英国《金融时报》的专栏作者非常悲观,“必须进行国家、地区和全球改革”,否则全球经济面临不可持续的难题。
  
改革方向的确定其实并不难,难的是世界领导者推动改革的决心。
  
美国作为领导者并未表现出强烈的改革意愿,反而以不负责任的大国面目出现。几乎所有改变均是金融危机蔓延逼迫的产物,这包括2008年G20特别峰会以及2010年出台的IMF份额改革方案。
  
更可怕的病症是“拖延”。G20财长、央行行长会议几次通过决议“威胁”美国寻找“替代方案”,但是美国国会屡次反对立法批准IMF份额改革。
  
美国的如意算盘,是通过“拖延”来减缓中印等新兴经济体崛起对现存国际金融体系的冲击。即使同意进行IMF份额改革,也是通过牺牲欧洲小国的投票份额来满足新兴经济体改革的要求,而自己始终保持“一票否决”的地位不动摇。
  
已经不只是新兴经济体表达了抗议。不少欧洲人认为,美国滥用货币金融“特权”,一定程度上加剧了欧洲经济困难。澳大利亚的主流媒体日前发文,认为美国错得不轻。“感谢美国国会的小气和坏脾气,美国被超越了,现在比分:北京1,华盛顿0”。
  
国际社会的普遍期待,在美国国会的否决声中变成泡影。但美式的“拖延”并不会保住自己世界领导者的皇冠,因循守旧、固步自封最终会被超越。
  
美国应该看到,随着其他经济体的发展,一家独大的国际金融体系已不合时宜。全球经济治理体系也可能正在进入一个力量更加平衡,更加注重互利双赢但同时也是治理形势十分复杂的“后美国时代”。
  
美国官员已经表现出酸溜溜的醋意,对新的金融机构产生的“一票否决权”表达了质疑,但这种以己度人的做法于增加自己的影响力毫无裨益。他们应该看到。亚投行的火爆在某种程度上就是对“一言堂”的摒弃。
  
美国应该及早进行反思,否则被超越只是迟早之事,还有可能提前。(杨子岩)
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