US Holds Informal Talks with North Korea: An Alert to US-SKorea Cooperation against NKorean Threats?

Published in Segye Times
(South Korea) on 24 October 2016
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Myung Jeon. Edited by Rachel Pott.
A delegation from North Korea’s Foreign Ministry held informal talks with former U.S. State Department officials in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, for two days, starting on Oct. 21, 2016. Among the North Korean participants were Vice Foreign Minister Han Song-ryol and Deputy U.N. Ambassador Jang Il-hun, while those on the American side included Robert Gallucci, the chief U.S. negotiator during the North Korean nuclear crisis, and Joseph DeTrani, the former U.S. special envoy for the six-party talks. The crux of the unofficial meeting was North Korea’s nuclear missile program. The North restated its position that a peace treaty should be signed before it moves on to a discussion with the U.S. on its nuclear arms program, whereas the U.S. reiterated that North Korea should first dismantle its nuclear weapon program. However, they may have reached a partial agreement while discussing the details, which can be inferred from the North Korean team’s remark that “we discussed all the current issues,” and the American side’s comment that “there was some progress.”*

A Foreign Ministry official said, “The U.S. government classifies this informal meeting as a private Track 2 dialogue, which has nothing to do with Washington,” and added, “South Korea and the U.S. will continue to impose tough sanctions and exert pressure on North Korea while working closely with the international community.” Under circumstances where the North has signaled its intention to change the landscape of the international community’s sanctions against it, the comment can be interpreted as an attempt to prevent the possible rise of a "grand bargain" approach.

North Korea is assumed to have had an exploratory meeting with the U.S. in the form of a non-governmental dialogue to tip the balance with the next U.S. administration prior to the U.S. presidential election, which will be held in 15 days. The Oct. 21-22 gathering is particularly notable because the participants are veteran negotiators for U.S.-North Korea agreements. Gallucci was the chief U.S. negotiator for the 1994 U.S.-DPRK Agreed Framework, and DeTrani served as a special envoy for North Korean policy and helped broker the Sept. 19 Joint Statement in 2005; Han Song-ryol served as a negotiation channel between the U.S. and the North during his long tenure as deputy representative to the U.N. The unofficial dialogue between these officials, a possible prelude to formal talks, should not be ignored.

Prior to the gathering, the attempt by the Ministry of National Defense to include the “permanent deployment of U.S. strategic assets to the Korean Peninsula on a rotational basis” in the Joint Communiqué of the U.S.-ROK Security Consultative Meeting held in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 20, 2016, misfired. Although the Park administration changed course and decided to revisit the topic at the soon-to-be-set-up U.S.-ROK Extended Deterrence Strategy and Consultation Group, it is obvious that the overzealous government misstepped after it failed to correctly read the intentions of the United States. The immediate priority is to step up the international community’s sanctions and pressure on North Korea. In the meantime, the government should check if our nation is on the same page with the U.S. regarding North Korean threats. Moreover, the possibility North Korea will engage in dialogue with the new U.S. administration next year cannot be ruled out. Therefore, the Park administration should not neglect the need to be prepared for all sorts of possibilities, including the option to seek an exit strategy by engaging in conversation.

*Translator’s Note: The original quotation, while accurately translated, could not be verified.


[사설] 북·미 비공식 대화 열렸는데 한·미 공조태세 이상 없나

북한 외무성 대미 외교라인과 미국 국무부 전직 관료들이 말레이시아 쿠알라룸푸르에서 21일부터 이틀간 비공식 대화를 가졌다. 북한에선 한성렬 외무성 부상과 장일훈 유엔주재 차석대사 등이, 미국에선 로버트 갈루치 전 국무부 북핵특사, 조지프 디트라니 전 6자회담 차석대표 등이 참석했다. 북한 핵·미사일 개발 문제가 핵심 의제였다. ‘평화협정 체결 후 핵·미사일 문제 논의’라는 북한 입장과 ‘핵·미사일 개발 중단이 우선’이라는 미국 입장이 재확인됐다. 북한 측은 “현안을 다 얘기했다”고 했고, 미국 측은 “일부 진전이 있었다”고 평가한 것을 보면 세부 논의 과정에서 일부 접점을 찾았을 수도 있다.

외교부 당국자는 “미국 정부는 이번 협의가 민간 차원의 ‘트랙 2’ 대화로, 미 정부와는 전혀 관계없는 것이라고 설명하고 있다”며 “한·미 양국은 국제사회와 긴밀한 공조아래 강력한 대북 제재·압박을 지속해 나갈 것”이라고 했다. 북한이 국제사회 대북제재의 판을 흔들려는 속셈이 엿보이는 상황에서 대북협상론이 부상할 가능성을 조기에 막으려는 시도로 풀이된다.

북한은 보름 후로 다가온 미국 대선에 앞서 차기 정부 출범 이후의 국면 전환을 위해 간접대화 형식을 빌린 탐색적 대화에 나선 것으로 보인다. 대화 참석자들이 북·미 협상의 베테랑이어서 주목된다. 갈루치는 1994년 북·미 제네바합의의 미국 측 수석대표였고 디트라니는 2005년 9·19 공동성명 채택 당시 대북협상특사였다. 한성렬은 오랫동안 유엔주재 차석대사를 지내면서 북·미 간 협상 창구 역할을 했다. 이들의 대화는 향후 공개적 대화를 염두에 둔 전초전 성격이라는 관측도 있는 만큼 무시해선 안 된다.

앞서 국방부는 20일 미국 워싱턴에서 열린 한·미 연례안보협의회(SCM)에서 ‘미국 전략자산의 한반도 상시 순환배치’를 공동성명에 넣으려다 불발에 그쳤다. 곧 가동되는 한·미 확장억제전략협의체(EDSCG)에서 논의한다는 방침이지만, 정부는 미국 측 기류를 읽지 못하고 의욕만 앞세운 탓에 엇박자를 빚었다. 당장에는 국제사회의 대북 제재·압박을 강화해 나가는 게 급선무다. 정부는 한·미 간 대북 공조태세에 이상이 없는지 점검해볼 때다. 아울러 내년 초 미국 차기 정부가 출범하면 공개적인 북·미 대화의 장이 펼쳐질 가능성을 배제할 수 없다. 대화를 통한 출구전략 모색 등 모든 가능성에 대비하는 일에도 소홀히 해선 안 된다.
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