In Technology, China Has a Long Way To Go To Catch up to America

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 7 February 2018
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
At 7 a.m. Beijing time on Feb. 7, SpaceX, a company founded by Elon Musk, successfully launched the Falcon Heavy rocket. This rocket has the biggest thrust next to the Saturn V rocket from the Apollo program, with three times the payload of the Long March 5 rocket from China.

SpaceX is a private company, but it has the advanced support of American technology. While Falcon Heavy’s development has had its share of struggles, it is still an easy project for America’s aerospace industry.

China’s aerospace industry is a national industry, but our work in heavy rockets is filled with challenges due to our weak background in this area. The combined level of China’s existing science and technology still cannot provide heavy rocket research with everything it needs. Exploration of design, innovation and even material upgrades all take place at the same time, which means that for every additional meter a Chinese heavy rocket grows in radius, Chinese science and technology have to improve another level as well.

Large-propulsion rockets are the basic tools for exploring our universe; if the thrust is not there, nothing else is possible. Long March 5 has had one successful and one failed launch so far. Currently, Chinese aerospace is able to achieve bearing 20-plus tons at a low Earth orbit, but to realize manned moon explorations, our rocket-bearing capacity has to be better than Falcon Heavy.

We have to realize that, back in the Apollo moon program, the Saturn V heavy rocket already carried more than 100 tons at a low Earth orbit, with more thrust than the Falcon Heavy. One could say that the Falcon Heavy is the ruminant version of Saturn V.

Aerospace is one of China’s more advanced high-tech industries. While the difference in rocket thrust between China and the U.S. would not be the only measure of the two countries’ aerospace achievements, it is a snapshot of each country’s aerospace prowess, or even a reflection of the countries’ combined technology levels.

Not only does Chinese aerospace technology need to play catch-up to America, our mentality needs work too. Aerospace development requires a huge investment because it is such a strategic area, but some people ignore its importance. Shortsighted claims that investment in aerospace should be redirected to poverty relief or education often get support online.

America and the former Soviet Union have both made sacrifices for the aerospace industry. Humankind’s first astronaut, Yuri Gagarin, died for his work. America has had two spaceflight explosions and lost two teams of astronauts. The two countries’ spectacular aerospace achievements were the result of incredible struggles, and the foresight of investing for the long run.

Recently, some scholars have started claiming that China has basically surpassed America, which met with public criticism.The fact that these blindly arrogant opinions could be advocated should make us reflect. People who promote these beliefs must think that there are people who like this kind of bragging; we hope they have misjudged how Chinese society really feels.

America is still the leader in many major high-tech industries, and China is still chasing it with difficulty. We have to face up to the huge gap between America and China, and not think that our market advantage will reverse the overwhelmingly superior standing America has in technology. We have a long way to go to catch up to America.

Rocket propulsion represents the level of a country’s scientific exploration and is a symbol of competition among major countries. The more thrust one has, the more advantage one has. China is lagging behind America, but there's no need for despondency. In rocket propulsion, China has made steady gains, and the Falcon Heavy doesn’t change this trend. In 10 years, it is very possible that the propulsion of Chinese rockets will surpass that of the Falcon Heavy. As long as we make the effort, China will not remain behind America.


埃隆•马斯克创办的SpaceX公司北京时间7日凌晨成功发射了“猎鹰重型”大推力火箭,它是用于阿波罗登月计划的“土星五号”火箭之后现役推力最大的火箭,有效载荷将近中国“长征五号”的3倍。

  SpaceX虽是私营公司,但它显然站在了美国科工高水平的肩膀上。尽管“猎鹰重型”的研制也经历了曲折,但从大视角看,它又是美国航天业“信手拈来”的轻松之作。

  中国航天业是“举国体制”,然而研制重型火箭的工作充满了挑战。根本原因还是我们的基础薄弱,中国的科工综合水平提供不了重型火箭需要什么就给什么的充足条件,设计探索、工艺创新甚至材料升级都要同时进行,因此中国重型火箭的直径每扩大一米,就意味着中国整体科工水平必须跟进一步。

  大推力火箭是提升宇宙探索能力的基础工具,火箭推力不够,一切免谈。“长五”发射迄今成功、失败各一次,总的来说,中国航天已经站到近地轨道20几吨载荷的高度上。但如果要实现载人登月,就必须把火箭载荷提高到比“猎鹰重型”载荷更高的水平上。

  要知道,美国早在阿波罗登月时期,就有了近地轨道载荷超百吨的“土星五号”重型火箭,它比“猎鹰重型”的推力还大。也就是说,后者可以看成是“土星五号”的“反刍消化”。

  航天是中国高科技走得比较靠前的领域。尽管火箭推力的差距不能看成中美航天水平差距的标准尺子,但这一差距可以大致看成两国航天实力格局的一个缩影,甚至它还折射了两国综合科技水平的某种对比。

  不仅中国的航天技术和装备水平需要追美国,我们的心态也还需要更多锤炼。航天是需要巨额投资的,它是战略性十分突出的领域。但是中国社会不时冒出轻视航天作用的声音,不如把航天投入用于扶贫和发展教育的糊涂看法有时也能在互联网上招来一些点赞。

  美国和前苏联都曾为发展航天事业付出过惨痛代价,人类第一名宇航员加加林就死于事故,美国有两架航天飞机爆炸,两组宇航员先后丧生。美俄辉煌的航天成就都是百折不回奋斗的结果,也是富有远见舍得“花闲钱”的结果。

  近一段时间,有学者宣扬“中国在整体上已基本超越美国”,在舆论场上遭到广泛批评。那种被指“盲目自大”的看法能够堂而皇之地宣扬出来,值得我们深思。这样反常识说话的人大概认为中国社会上有喜欢他这么说的听众。我们非常希望说这种话的人误判了中国社会的态度。

  美国仍然是很多重大高科技领域轻松的领先者,中国是艰难的追赶者。我们必须实事求是地面对中美这一巨大的现实差距,切不可以为中国市场规模的优势是能够逆转中美实力对比格局的压倒性因素。中国追赶美国的路还很长很长。

  火箭推力代表了探索的高度,也是大国竞争时站位的高度。站得越高,就越有优势,越主动。中国虽有当前的差距,但无须气馁。至少在火箭推力上,中国追赶美国的脚步是稳健的,“猎鹰重型”的出现不代表这一趋势的改变。十年之后,中国的火箭推力远超“猎鹰重型”现在的水平将是大概率事件。只要我们努力,中国不会长期落后下去。

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Australia: At Debt’s Door: America’s Superpower Is Waning and Trump’s Part of the Problem

Australia: Which Conflicts of Interest? Trump Doubles Down on Crypto

Canada: Scorning Trump’s Golden Dome Would Be a Mistake

Canada: It Turns Out Trump’s Tariffs Were Illegal After All

Topics

Germany: Trump for the Charlemagne Prize!

Canada: It Turns Out Trump’s Tariffs Were Illegal After All

Australia: Trump’s Tariffs Were Already Ever-Changing. Now, Court Fights Add to the Uncertainty

Austria: Soon Putin Will Have Successfully Alienated Trump

Canada: Scorning Trump’s Golden Dome Would Be a Mistake

Related Articles

Hong Kong: The Lessons of World War II: The Real World Importance of Resisting Hegemony

Australia: Musk Turns Away from Trump in Bid To Rescue Tesla

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice