Countries Should Consider Resuming Flights to China

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 13 February 2020
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tyler Ruzicka. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
The number of confirmed new cases of the novel coronavirus in regions outside Hubei province has declined for the eighth consecutive day. This is a clear indication that China's top-level preventative measures have been effective, and this severe outbreak has, to a large degree, been brought under control. Although experts are still widely cautious about announcing a turning point in the epidemic, we can see the light of a new day. All of Chinese society is working hard under the government's leadership to bring about a fundamental shift in the current situation.

Within China, aside from Hubei province and some specific cities with severe epidemic situations, interprovincial and intercity transportation has largely been restored. The airports and railway stations in central cities like Beijing and Shanghai are bustling once more. The subways of many large cities are no longer as deserted as they have been in recent days.

Authorities have not relaxed nationwide epidemic control and prevention in the slightest. An epidemiologically sound system of disease management has been rapidly set up and continuously enforced in each city. Most communities have adopted very strict control measures, such as prohibiting neighborhood access for nonresidents, including express delivery personnel, and implementing body temperature testing in nearly all public spaces. Infected people can now be quickly identified and those they are in close contact with can be located promptly. All of these measures have formed an inescapable net that is being used to combat the novel coronavirus across the country.

Under these conditions, we believe it is time for countries which have adopted strict travel restrictions against China to reconsider those policies. The city of Wuhan, Hubei province, and various other cities have now been closed off, and the new infection rate in other parts of China is quite low. For example, the daily rate of new infections among Beijing residents recently has been around 0.5 new cases per million people. The probability of Chinese travelers carrying the virus to other countries now is not the same as it was before these strict measures were adopted.

When the World Health Organization declared that the novel coronavirus was a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern,” it explicitly did not endorse the adoption of travel and trade restrictions against China, a decision primarily based on the strong control measures adopted by the Chinese government. China has been worthy of the WHO's trust; we have attained tight control of the virus.

Some countries have completely cut off transportation and contact with China, even prohibiting noncitizens who have visited China within the previous 14 days from entering their country's borders.

This response is extreme and far exceeds WHO recommendations. Now that the situation has clearly undergone a positive shift, rethinking and canceling these policies as soon as possible is seriously warranted.

China is the world's largest base for the manufacturing industry, and is also one of the largest labor hubs worldwide. Cutting off flights to China will lead to huge losses for many airlines and will simultaneously strain to the world economy for the first quarter of this year. If this current predicament continues, everyone will suffer even greater losses from the epidemic.

Although the coronavirus which the WHO has named COVID-19 is deadly, the practical danger it poses will be limited if the necessary control procedures are simply implemented. As of now, the number of deaths attributed to this virus in large Chinese cities like Beijing and Shanghai is in the single digits; in Beijing, there have been only three deaths. The number of deaths in large U.S. cities from the 2019-2020 flu season is much greater.

Since China has already made a great effort and undertaken investigation in advance to control COVID-19, it is completely unnecessary to use international isolation to prevent the transmission of this disease. It is unscientific, and goes against national and global interests. Now is the time to correct this mistaken approach.


社评:与中国断航的国家该考虑复航了

湖北省之外其他地区的新冠肺炎确诊病例已经连续第八天下降,这清楚表明中国各地最高等级的防控措施已经发挥了作用,这场严重的疫情已在高位得到控制。尽管现在专家们普遍慎言疫情出现拐点,但是我们看到了局势的曙光。中国全社会正在政府的领导下努力实现形势的根本性转折。

在中国内部,除了湖北省和个别疫情严重的城市,省际、城际之间的交通在大范围恢复,北京上海等中心城市的飞机场和火车站重新忙碌了起来。很多大城市的地铁也不像前些天那样空荡荡了。

各地的疫情防控一点也没有放松,流行病学意义上非常完备的管理体系在各个城市迅速建立了起来并且不断密织。大部分社区采取了非常严格的管理措施,包括快递员送餐员在内的非小区居民都已不能入内,检测体温在绝大部分公共场所实行。一个感染者现在能够很快被发现,他的密切接触者也能够及时找到。这一切形成了各地对抗新型冠状病毒的天罗地网。

这种情况下,我们认为是那些采取严厉对华旅行限制的国家重新考虑这一措施的时候了。如今武汉市和湖北省以及个别疫情严重城市处在封闭状态,中国其他地方的新感染率已经很低。比如北京最近每天所有居民的新感染率只有约百万分之0.5,中国旅行者将病毒带往世界其他地方的概率也与严厉措施采取之前完全不是一回事了。

世卫组织在宣布“新冠病毒是国际关注的突发公共卫生事件”的时候,明确不支持对中国采取旅行和贸易限制,首先就是基于中国政府采取强有力控制措施这个事实。中国没有辜负世卫组织对我们的信心,我们做到了对病毒最为严厉的控制。

一些国家完全切断了同中国的交通联系,甚至不允许在14天之内到过中国的非该国公民入境,这是严重超出世卫组织建议的过激反应。在最近这几天形势出现明显积极变化的时候重新考虑并尽快取消这些做法尤其成了值得认真去做的事情。

中国是世界最大的制造业基地,也是全球人员流动的最大进出地之一。同中国断航让许多航空公司蒙受了巨大损失,同时增加了对今年第一季度世界经济的冲击。维持当前的局面意味着大家都要用更大的损失来为这场疫情埋单。

尽管刚被世卫组织命名为COVID-19的新冠肺炎有致命危险,但是只要进行必要的控制,它所能造成的实际危害是有限的。到目前为止,北京上海等中国大城市死于这种病毒的人都是个位数,其中北京只有3人。而美国2019-2020流感流行季给大城市所造成的死亡者要多得多。

在中国已经为控制COVID-19做出了大量先期努力和探索的情况下,为了防止该疾病的传播而搞休克式的国家间隔离是完全没有必要的,既不科学也有违各国及全球的利益。现在的确到了对这一慌张做法进行纠正的时候。
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