If Obama's Elected: An International United Front

Published in Mingpao
(Hong Kong) on July 1, 2008
by Shen Xuhui (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eli Chiu. Edited by .
If a global poll were conducted asking respondents whether they would like Obama or McCain to be elected President of the U.S., we believe the results would favor Obama by a landslide. But if we ask the same question in a different way – If Obama is elected, what influence might it have on the international community? – the results may draw a different conclusion, as quite a few countries would rather McCain come on stage.

The other day, while giving a speech called, “The Story of the Three Cities of New York, London and Hong Kong,” Professor Zhang Xingang (張信剛), former Vice Chancellor of the City University, stated that Obama's being elected will add to U.S. growth, and that this would not be an easy future for China to emulate. He believes that when Obama declares any skin color can rule America, and age is no longer a barrier, the U.S. will attract outstanding new immigrants from around the world, thus helping the U.S. solve the aging population issues which have risen in many developed countries. Decades from now, while some industrialized economies like Japan and the U.K. are troubled with age problems, the U.S. will continue to outshine others striving for the lead.

Break through the skin color barrier to help attract outstanding immigrants

This is a “united front” perspective. More importantly, as “Son of Kenya," Obama is accepted by the American mainstream society, and has gone through the strict value assimilation process. Obama's values contain not only the phrasings of human rights, democracy, and freedom, but also the liberal ideals of equal rights, and some religious influences from right wing groups. But by taking an in-depth perspective, he still conforms to all the criteria of the American elite, including his high academic record, noble career, way of expression, social networking, fund-raising ability, teamwork, etc.

People, regardless of color, who fit the above-mentioned criteria, make up no more than 1% of the total U.S. population. In other words, as long as the American mainstream society defends and upholds the above bridgehead, it can control and integrate immigrants into the melting pot of the U.S., within the mainstream’s set direction.

Therefore, when newly immigrated to the U.S., the adult of the first generation with professional skills will understand himself by no means from “that” background, and will not feel a sense of “the man on his side.” Even though receiving respect in his respective professional scope, he dares not dream of leading American society one day. He may only appropriately contribute his technical skill. This is precisely the cornerstone that allows the U.S. to continuously progress. First generation immigrant parents treat their America-born second generation like Obama, hoping they can integrate into the American mainstream society gradually, and no longer be treated as marginalized people in society.

Dual loyalty is a very sensitive issue in many countries, but not in the U.S., where the country advocates melting pot policy and multiculturalism.

Make a name in U.S. and return to home country with great influence

What is more attractive to these new immigrants with professional skills, or the elite of immigrant descent, is a ticket to enter the threshold of the American elite. This does not prevent them from maintaining their original influence in their home countries, but helps them gain latent political strength. As long as they make a name in America, they will naturally obtain soft influence in the countries they came from, and places where their compatriots live. It is like the case of Obama’s influence in Kenya, or Jewish politicians in Israel. Taking American former Secretary of State Albright as an example, even though he was not able to run for presidency because of his family background, he became a popular presidential candidate in his home country of Czechoslovakia. For elites in various countries, even if they immigrate to America, they maintain a route of retreat back to their home countries. But after arriving in the U.S., they may simultaneously venture into a new road to affect the world.

In other words, once Obama is elected, as long as he keeps his administration even and steady, with no big mistakes, it will be a giant leap for the U.S. in terms of soft power.

Written by Assistant Professor Shen Xuhui, Asian and Pacific Research Institute of Chinese University


奧巴馬當選的國際統戰效應


 【咫尺地球】假如舉辦一項全球民意調查,詢問受訪者希望奧巴馬還是麥凱恩當選美國總統,相信結果會是奧巴馬一面倒當選。但假如我們以另一方式問同一問題﹕奧巴馬當選對國際社會有何影響,卻可能得出不同結論,令不少國家情願麥凱恩上台。

 日前,城市大學前校長張信剛教授在題為「紐倫港三城記」的演講,述及奧巴馬當選對累積美國的貢獻,而這是中國在可見將來都不易仿效的。他認為,當奧巴馬宣示了任何膚色都能統治美國,年齡也不是被歧視的障礙,美國就更能吸引來自世界各國的優秀新移民,從而解決一般發達國家的人口老化問題。數十年後,當日本、英國等工業國經濟被人口問題拖垮時,美國能繼續一枝獨秀地領先下去。

 衝破膚色障礙 助美吸引優才移民

 這是「統戰」的一面。更重要的是,奧巴馬作為肯尼亞之子,卻得到美國主流社會接受,自然經過嚴格的價值同化過程。奧巴馬的價值觀,既有字面上的人權、民主、自由,也有自由主義陣營的平權思想,還有一些右翼集團宗教源頭。但歸根究柢,他依然符合一切美國人對精英的定義,包括一流學歷、高尚職業、表達方式、社會網絡、籌款能力、團隊成分等等。要同時符合上述要求的美國人,不分膚色,不可能超越總人口的1%。換句話說,只要美國主流社會守住上述橋頭堡,就能控制新移民融入美國這個大熔爐的主流方向。

 於是,當新移民到了美國,第一代成年專才會明白自己畢竟並非從「那個」背景長大,始終不是「自己人」。他們即使在所屬職業範圍受到尊重,也不會產生領導美國社會的非分之想,只會恰如其分的為美國提供技術貢獻,這正是美國得以持續進步的基石。第一代新移民父母對在美國出生的第二代子女,卻會像對待奧巴馬那樣,希望後者能逐步融入美國主流社會,不要當永遠的邊緣人。

 在不少國家十分敏感的雙重效忠問題,在以移民為主體的美國,因為提倡的是大熔爐政策、而不是各民族自成一角的多元文化主義,卻幾乎不成問題。

 在美闖出名堂 回鄉擁影響力

 對這些新移民專才、或後代精英更吸引的是,他們在美國走進了精英門檻,並不排斥他們在原居地維持影響力,乃至潛在的政治實力。只要他們在美國闖出名堂,在原居國或同胞聚居的地方,自然會得到軟性影響力,就像奧巴馬之於今日肯尼亞,或一系列猶太政要之於以色列。像美國前國務卿奧爾布賴特那樣,縱使因為並非出身於美國而不能問鼎總統,卻一度成為家鄉捷克的總統熱門人選。對各國精英而言,無論是否移民美國,都能保持在祖家的後路﹔但到了美國,卻可同時開拓一條影響全球的新路。

 換句話說,一旦奧巴馬順利當選,只要施政平平穩穩,不出大亂子,對美國軟權力而言,就已是大躍升了。

 (編按﹕小題為編輯所加)

 中文大學亞太研究所研究助理教授 沈旭暉
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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