And Now What Are We Doing in Afghanistan?

Published in Il Giornale
(Italy ) on 28 August 2009
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ashley Bell. Edited by Louis Standish.
I have followed the elections in Afghanistan with growing concern. The positive fact is that the Taliban have not succeeded at making them fail, and for the West this is an indisputable success, but from a wider prospective I have the impression that the entire electoral process is not very credible. What sense is there to making voters vote in a country where women continue to be forced to go out in a burqa? Where the local lords in many regions have much more power than the central government? Where the people who vote dip their fingers in ink, which results in the Taliban then going around from house to house to punish those who have done their duty? A country where the election is distorted by obvious fraud, so much so that American Envoy Richard Holbrook complained to Karzai? And where for two days there has not been any news about the vote count, while Karazai and Abdullah are treating their future political assets and who knows what else?

Anyway, in a little while we will have a new government. Good, but has the West decided how to resolve the Afghan crisis eight years after the invasion? Apparently, no. Obama is wavering between the soft, but morally unacceptable solution (agreements with the Taliban) and a solution that is hard, but full of sacrifices (massive reinforcements and prolonged war operations).

Sun Tzu believes, as put forth in the "Art of War," that a conflict that lasts too long is never victorious. Since 2001, the West had only one strategic success: it kept the country from returning to a position as a base for al-Qaeda, but on all the rest in the balance has been disappointing.

I assert that the moment has arrived for definitive clarification on West's role and its objectives in Afghanistan. Do we really want to win this war? Even at the cost of fighting for another five to six years? And with what troops other than the Americans? And with what prospects for a population that, since the Soviet invasion, has endured suffering and inexpressible hardship without guilt?


Ho seguito con crescente perplessità le elezioni in Afghanistan. Il dato positivo è che i talebani non sono riuscite a farle fallire e per l’Occidente è un successo indiscutibile, ma in una prospettiva più ampia ho l’impressione che l’intero processo elettorale sia poco credibile. Che senso ha far votare gli elettori in un Paese dove le donne continuano ad essere costrette a uscire col Burqa? Dove, in molte regioni, i signorotti locali hanno molto più potere del governo centrale? Dove chi vota intinge il proprio dito nell’inchiosto con il risultato che i talebano poi vanno in giro casa per casa punendo chi ha fatto il proprio dovere. Un Paese dove lo scrutinio è falsato da evidenti brogli, al punto che l’inviato americano Holbrooke se n’è lamentato con Karzai? E dove da due giorni non si hanno più notizie sullo spoglio, mentre Karazai e Abdullah trattano i futuri assetti politici e chissa cos’altro?

Comunque tra un po’ avremo un nuovo governo. Bene, ma l’Occidente ha deciso come risolvere la crisi afghana otto anni dopo l’invasione? Apparentemente no, Obama tentenna tra la soluzione soft ma moralmente inaccettabile (ovvero trattative con i talebani) e quella hard, ma densa di sacrifici (massicci rinforzi e operazioni di guerra prolungate).

Sun Tzu ne l’Arte della Guerra sostiene che un conflitto che si prolunga troppo nel tempo non è mai vittorioso. Strategicamente dal 2001 l’Occidente ha ottenuto un solo successo: ha evitato che il Paese tornasse ad essere una base di Al Qaida, ma su tutto il resto il bilancio è deludente.

Ritengo che sia giunto il momento per un chiarimento definitivo sul ruolo e gli obiettivi occidentali in Afghanistan. Vogliamo davvero vincere questa guerra? Anche a costo di combattere per altri 5-6 anni? E con quali truppe oltre a quelle americane? E con quali prospettive per una popolazione che dall’invasione sovietica patisce sofferenze e privazioni indicibili senza colpa?

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