The majority of market analysts believe that the United States Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates during the first half of 2010.
According to a survey of fund managers issued by Merrill Lynch of Bank of America, investors anticipate that the Fed (Federal Reserve) won't modify interest rates until at least the second half of that year.
One out of six participants believe that the central Bank of America will not modify the reference interest rate, which is approximately 0.25 percent, until 2011.
With respect to prices, 47 percent of those surveyed believe that the underlying inflation at the world level will tend to climb in the next year, up from the 39 percent who had that impression last October.
Furthermore, as Merrill Lynch points out, there is an increase in demand for assets that protect investors from inflation, such as gold and petroleum, and it notes that 25 percent of the managers surveyed increased their investments in raw materials, as opposed to the 11 percent who had done so in October.
At the same time, investments considered by investors as protection against falling prices (deflation), such as fixed income or investment in public services, are less popular these days, according to the banking body.
"Investors see inflation as a greater risk than deflation", stated Michael Hartnett, the spokesman for Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research, in a press release. He added that this perception would cause people to strengthen investments in raw materials and emerging markets and to reduce the stockpiling of cash.
Another part of the survey reveals a change in opinion on whether companies should get on board with debt reduction before committing to new investments. 50 percent of those surveyed believed this to be true two months ago, whereas only 36 percent believe so now.
Los inversores anticiparon que la Fed no los modificará hasta, al menos, el segundo semestre de ese año, según una encuesta entre gestores de fondos divulgada por Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Respecto de los precios, un 47% de los encuestados cree que la inflación subyacente a nivel mundial tenderá a subir en el próximo año, frente a un 39% que tenÃa esa impresión el pasado octubre.
La entidad bancaria señala, además, que ha aumentado la demanda de activos que protegen a los inversores frente a la inflación, tales como el oro, el petróleo o valores en mercados emergentes, y apunta que un 25% de los gestores encuestados elevó la inversión en materias primas, frente al 11% que lo habÃa hecho en octubre.
A la vez, otros activos que los inversores consideran que los protegen frente a la caÃda generalizada de los precios (deflación), tales como la renta fija o las inversiones en servicios públicos, son menos populares en estos momentos, según la entidad.
"Los inversores ven la inflación como un riesgo más elevado que la deflación", subrayó el experto de Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research, Michael Hartnett, en un comunicado de prensa en el que agregó que esa percepción los lleva a fortalecer sus inversiones en materias primas y mercados emergentes, y a rebajar la compra de dólares.
El sondeo revela por otra parte variaciones en la percepción que tenÃan los inversores hace solo dos meses de que las empresas debÃan abordar la reducción de la deuda antes de plantearse nuevas inversiones, ya que antes compartÃa esa opinión el 50% de los encuestados y ahora sólo el 36 por ciento.
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What happened to this performing arts center is paradigmatic of how Trump’s second presidency ... [is] another front in a war ... to impose an autocratic regime led by a 21st century feudal lord outside of international law.
Whether George HW Bush or Donald J Trump, Americanimperialism is unabated—the pathetic excuses and the violentshock-and-awe tactics don’t matter; the results do.