They are closed door meetings — no photos, no questions, and practically cloistered. The meetings between Obama and Netanyahu have become their own shadow play. During their first tête-à-tête in Washington, things were already not going well. At their second meeting, we have been spared the phony camera smiles. On all accounts, there is a total incompatibility between the two men’s backgrounds, amplifying their lack of any common ground, personally and politically.
In Israel, some do not hesitate to fuel the fire by invoking the origins and past influences of the new president. Over in the Middle East, where every event resonates historically and geopolitics becomes convoluted, Obama’s youth is not an asset. Battle-tested and crafty, Netanyahu is perfectly aware of it. Thus the recent affront on the Obama administration (the announcement of settlements during Mr. Biden’s visit) changes this latest rapport of forces between two traditional allies into full crisis.
Yet, history shows that a “working” American-Israeli relationship (like Clinton-Rabin in its time) might restart the process and the prospects of peace in the region. Is the domestic victory that Obama has racked up (health reform) going to free him internationally? There remains two and a half years to bounce back and succeed with the other historic breakthrough expected from his term. But today, the general sentiment is planted rather firmly at its nadir.
Un échange à huis clos, sans photos ni questions, presque en catimini. Les rencontres entre Obama et Netanyahou tournent au théâtre d'ombres chinoises. Déjà, lors de leur premier tête-à-tête à Washington, le courant ne passait «physiquement» pas. A tel point que dès leur seconde entrevue, on s'est épargné les sourires Maclean's devant les caméras. De toute évidence, il y a une incompatibilité de fond entre les deux hommes, amplifiant leur manque d'atomes crochus à la fois personnels et politiques. En Israël, certains n'hésitent pas à attiser le feu du désaccord en invoquant les origines et les influences exercées, autrefois, sur le nouveau président.Sur la scène du Moyen-Orient, où tout événement a des résonances historiques et géo-politiques complexes, la jeunesse d'Obama n'est pas un atout. Expérimenté et retors, Netanyahou en est parfaitement conscient. Ainsi, le récent camouflet infligé à l'administration Obama (annonce de la poursuite de la colonisation en pleine visite de M. Biden) traduit ce nouveau rapport de forces entre deux alliés traditionnels aujourd'hui en pleine crise.L'histoire, pourtant, montre que seul un couple américano-israélien qui «fonctionne» (tel Clinton-Rabin en son temps) permet de relancer la machine et les perspectives de paix dans la région. Reste donc à savoir si la victoire remportée par Obama sur le plan intérieur (réforme de la santé) va le «libérer» sur la scène internationale? Il lui reste deux ans et demi environ pour rebondir et réussir l'autre percée historique attendue de son mandat. Mais aujourd'hui, le sentiment général est plutôt d'être «planté» au fond du trou.
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Trump apparently promised the moon not only to the U.S. working class, but also to his oligarch buddies, and in doing so risks falling flat on his face.
President Donald Trump’s idea [is] that international relations should be governed by the law of the jungle and that no international norm can limit his power.
Trump apparently promised the moon not only to the U.S. working class, but also to his oligarch buddies, and in doing so risks falling flat on his face.
President Donald Trump’s idea [is] that international relations should be governed by the law of the jungle and that no international norm can limit his power.
If the [U.S.-Saudi] nuclear deal hits a deadlock, Riyadh may pivot to alternative suppliers — a shift that would significantly erode American strategic leverage in the Middle East.
[W]hat the Switzerland negotiations ultimately lead to may help determine who the next U.S. president will be, as much as they will define the rules of the game in the Middle East.