A Planned Failure

Published in Der Standard
(Austria) on 26 December 2010
by Johanna Ruzicka (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Karin Riechenberg. Edited by Sam Carter.
The chances of the U.S. taking stronger measures to fight climate change are lower than ever.

Climate change has never been a path to success in American politics. This trend will most likely continue in the new year, during which President Barack Obama will try to pass new laws for power plants and companies. The chances of the U.S. taking stronger measures to fight climate change are lower than ever.

The Republican opposition, skeptical of climate change issues, has already realized this. They will do anything to make sure Obama’s new laws fail. Ironically, the topic is even starting to destabilize the Democratic front. Numerous Democratic senators from coal-dependent states will be up for re-election and are therefore indecisive with regard to Obama’s climate change plans.

This is because even the main argument for a stronger fight against climate change in the U.S. is now starting to crumble: Up until now it had been assumed that sooner or later U.S. industry would need a cap and trade system like that of the EU. This would make U.S. companies more adaptable to green technologies and new markets.

However, the less than concrete contents of the recent climate change conferences in Copenhagen and Cancun have made pressures for a U.S. emissions trading system disappear. It will be difficult to near impossible to create a successor to the Kyoto protocol in time, which means that the EU cap and trade system will soon lose its foundation — and therefore lose its function as an example for the United States.


Programmierter Flop

Die Chancen für strengeren US-Klimaschutz sind geringer denn je
Mit Klimaschutz war in den USA nie gut Politik zu machen. Daran dürfte sich auch im nächsten Jahr nichts ändern, wenn US-Präsident Barack Obama versucht, neue Vorschriften für Kraftwerke und Firmen durchzudrücken. Die Chancen für strengeren US-Klimaschutz sind geringer denn je.
Die klimaskeptische Opposition der Republikaner hat das bereits erkannt. Sie werden alles unternehmen, dass Obamas neue Regeln zum Flop werden. Und ironischerweise bröckelt sogar die demokratische Front bei dem Thema. Zahlreiche demokratische Senatoren aus kohleaffinen Bundesstaaten treten zur Wahl an und sind entsprechend wankelmütig, was Obamas Klimaschutz-Ideen betrifft.
Denn selbst das Hauptargument für mehr Klimaschutz in den USA ist ins Wanken gekommen: Bisher war immer davon ausgegangen worden, dass die US-Industrie über kurz oder lang ein Emissionshandelssystem nach EU-Muster benötigt. Damit würden die US-Firmen fit gemacht für grüne Technologien und neue Märkte.
Mit den wenig konkreten Inhalten der vergangenen UN-Klimakonferenzen in Kopenhagen und Cancún ist der Druck für ein US-Emissionshandelssystem aber weg. Da es schwierig bis unmöglich wird, rechtzeitig ein Nachfolgeabkommen zum Kioto-Klimaprotokoll zu erstellen, wird das EU-Emissionhandelssystem bald in der Luft hängen - und ist damit kein Vorbild mehr für die USA. (Johanna Ruzicka, DER STANDARD, Print-Ausgabe, 27.12.2010)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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