What Happened Tonight and Why

Published in Il Sole 24 Ore
(Italy) on 7 November 2012
by Daniele Bellasio (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Micaela Bester. Edited by Jane Lee.
President Barack Obama won better than predicted. He won because he seemed like a reasonable and pragmatic president, as the management of the Sandy emergency demonstrated a few hours before the vote. He won because he convinced the undecided, as the victory in the swing states demonstrated immediately after the vote. The Americans do not like to interrupt the work of a president after only one term — this is an established rule. Good job, then, Mr. President.

Challenger Mitt Romney lost worse than predicted. He lost because he did not really stir up his own base or convince the many undecided. He did not choose the path of the moderate Republican candidate all the way, nor did he choose the path of the hard and straight lunge for the questions about the economy by presenting truly and with conviction a liberalistic alternative to Democratic interventionism. He chose Paul Ryan — who also had an alternative budget — as his vice president, but then he hid him. Either he should not have been chosen or he should not have been hidden.

It is not a total defeat for the Republican Party; rather, half of America (half of those who vote) votes Republican, and above all, the GOP retains the majority in the House and so holds power over a large part of the country’s fiscal decisions in the coming years.

However, the Republicans, in order to return to victory in a country ever more multicultural and Latino, have to seriously rethink many of their more rigid positions with regard to immigration.


Che cosa è successo questa notte e perché

Il presidente Barack Obama ha vinto meglio del previsto. Ha vinto perché è sembrato un presidente ragionevole e pragmatico, come la gestione dell'emergenza Sandy ha dimostrato a poche ore dal voto. Ha vinto perché ha convinto gli indecisi, come la vittoria negli Stati, appunto, indecisi ha dimostrato subito dopo il voto. Gli americani non amano interrompere il lavoro di un presidente dopo un solo mandato: regola confermata. Buon lavoro, dunque, Mr President.

Lo sfidante Mitt Romey ha perso peggio del previsto. Ha perso perché non ha né scaldato (molto) la sua base né convinto gli indecisi (tanti). Non ha scelto fino in fondo né la via del candidato repubblicano moderato né quella dell'affondo duro e netto sulle questioni dell'economia, presentando davvero e con convinzione un'alternativa liberista all'interventismo democratico. Ha scelto come vice Paul Ryan, che un budget alternativo pure ce l'aveva, ma poi lo ha nascosto. O non andava scelto o non andava nascosto.

Per il partito repubblicano non è una sconfitta azzerante, anzi: metà America (quella che vota) vota repubblicano e soprattutto il Gop mantiene la maggioranza alla Camera e così ha in mano buona parte delle scelte dell'agenda fiscale del paese nei prossimi anni.

I repubblicani, però, per tornare a vincere in un paese sempre più multietnico e latino devono rivedere seriamente molte delle loro posizioni più dure in materia di immigrazione.
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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