Obama’s Tenacious Fighting Spirit

Published in The Sun
(Hong Kong) on 9 July 2015
by Bin Sai Man (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Chase Coulson. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
The Democratic Party suffered a crushing defeat at the polls during last year’s midterms; both chambers fell back into the hands of the Republicans. Though he’s been somewhat reduced to the status of a lame duck president, Obama’s will has not been sapped. Through executive orders and presidential privilege, he has pushed for immigration reform on the domestic front and repairing relations with Iran on the foreign one. The White House expressed time and time again that there was no clear relationship between the development of Iran’s nuclear negotiations and the bilateral relations between the two nations; which is to say, even though a framework has been reached for a final reconciliation of the Iran nuclear issue, America will still stand with Saudi Arabia and Israel against Iranian hegemony. However, that is all easier said than done.

The Islamic State is heavily entrenched in Iraq and Syria. We have not seen major casualties inflicted by Washington-led large-scale airstrikes; quite the opposite, the Islamic State group’s power has continued to expand as forces have infiltrated Libya, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Major victories have been won in Iraq and Syria, as Ramadi, a major city in western Iraq, and Palmyra, an ancient city in Syria, have both fallen.

Just as in last year’s battle in Mosul, an Iraqi army that was dispatched to hold down the fort at Ramadi ended up retreating with its tail between its legs. American Gen. Carter Ham angrily rebuked the entire group for its lack of fighting spirit, implicating the Iraqi government itself in the process. Iran has been backing the Iraqi Shiite Muslim faction’s military organizations, the main force of which is focused on Iraq’s recovery of Tikrit. Qasem Soleimani, major general in the Iranian Army of the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution, personally returned to lead on the front lines. Subsequently, the Soleimani name appeared in Ham’s published statement, “No Fighting Spirit,”* which praised his actions, but sharply criticized Washington as “gutless.” In the report, Ham asserted to all sides that Obama had waved the white flag, and that unless Iran lent a hand in the fight against the Islamic State group, the situation was going to get progressively worse.

In actuality, what America is lacking is not guts, it is the people’s confidence and tax dollars. The Iraq and Afghanistan wars put a terrible drain on the vitality of the nation and greatly sapped its financial and military strength, which has accelerated the rise of anti-war sentiment among the populace. Obama is deeply wary of Israel and Saudi Arabia, so responsibility has been passed to Iran and the Syrian Bashar al-Assad regime to counter Islamic State group ground forces. However, there is no plan in the works to go to battle to subdue Islamic State group soldiers.

Before Leaving Office, Obama Hopes for Major Achievements

Although Obama’s second term is already halfway over, his desire to achieve is still as fiery as ever. The Islamic State group threat stretches all across the globe. Washington is actively creating an “Iran counterstrike of Islamic State group that benefits all involved” scenario, and all sides are pushing for a resolution to the Iran nuclear issue. This resolution and reconciliation that American is working to facilitate will likely come about when conditions are ripe.

After the fall of the Saddam Hussein regime, Iran’s influence in the region has been steadily growing more powerful with each passing day. Some analysts suggest that if Obama disregards the objections of the hawks within the Republican Party, and proceeds to break the ice with Iran, then he would do the same for U.S.-Iran relations as Nixon’s historic 1972 visit to China did for U.S.-China relations — namely that Obama’s actions will sweep away any obstructions and pave the way for the establishment of U.S.-Iran ties.

Just how great are Iran’s secret nuclear ambitions? To what extreme will Saudi Arabia and Israel go to thwart the establishment of U.S.-Iran ties? For the enduring achievement of newly constructed U.S.-Iran relations, there is no limit to the stakes involved, nor any limit to how many chips Obama would throw on the table to procure a victory. It remains to be seen exactly how great or little such a win or loss would contribute to the future success of blacks seeking the office of president. But Obama’s tenacious will to win will nonetheless prove a great catalyst for the resolution of America’s deeply rooted black-white paradigm.

*Editor’s Note: Though correctly translated, the title of Gen. Carter Ham’s statement could not be independently verified.


2015年7月9日 (四)

奧巴馬戰意旺盛

美國民主黨去年中期選舉大敗,國會參眾兩院落入共和黨手中,總統奧巴馬淪為跛腳鴨,惟他未有意志消沉,透過行政命令和總統特權對內推動移民改革,對外尋求與伊朗修好。白宮三番四次表示,伊核談判發展與美伊兩國關係走向沒有必然關係。也就是說,即使伊朗核問題達成終極和解方案,美國仍會站在沙特和以色列那邊抗衡伊朗霸權。不過,說與做是兩碼子事。

在伊拉克和敍利亞扎根的「伊斯蘭國」(IS),未見因華府為首的大規模空襲行動損兵折將,相反,IS勢力持續擴張,向利比亞、阿富汗和巴基斯坦三國滲透,在伊敍兩地也打了大勝仗,攻下伊拉克西部大城拉馬迪,敍利亞古城巴爾米拉也告失陷。

有傳駐守拉馬迪的伊拉克部隊,像去年摩蘇爾一役那樣落荒而逃,美國防長卡特怒斥伊軍全無戰意,有關說法遭伊拉克政府強烈質疑。伊朗力挺伊拉克回教什葉派民兵組織,是伊拉克提克里特光復戰之主力,伊朗革命衞隊聖城旅指揮官蘇萊曼尼親往前線督師。蘇氏於卡特發表「無戰意論」後,高調批評沒有戰意的反而是華府,顯然在賣花讚花香,告訴各方奧巴馬免戰牌高掛,若非伊朗出手助伊拉克抗擊IS,戰況肯定更惡劣。

事實上,美國欠缺的不是戰意,而是民心和錢糧。伊拉克戰爭和阿富汗戰爭令美國元氣大傷,巨大的財力和軍力耗損,加上民間反戰情緒高漲,奧巴馬無視以色列和沙特猜忌,將反擊IS地面行動外判予伊朗和敍利亞阿薩德政權,圖不戰而屈IS之兵。
卸任前冀建功立業

雖然奧巴馬第二任期已過一半,但他建功立業之戰意仍然旺盛。IS的威脅無遠弗屆,華府積極營造「伊朗反擊IS造福各方」之氛圍,各方對擺平伊朗核問題更感迫切,美方促成伊核問題終極和解方案或水到渠成。

薩達姆政權倒台後,伊朗影響力與日俱增。有分析認為,奧巴馬無視共和黨鷹派反對,衝破伊核問題堅冰,為美伊建交掃清障礙,這與一九七二年美國總統尼克遜訪華、為美中建交鋪路一幕相似。

伊朗秘研核武野心到底有多大?沙特和以色列為阻撓美伊建交敢去到幾盡?奧巴馬為建立不朽外交功,政治豪賭注碼不設上限,賭贏抑或賭輸,關乎今後黑人再度問鼎總統之勝算高低。奧巴馬戰意旺盛,美國根深柢固的黑白對立是一大助燃劑。

卞世聞
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