Converging a Little

Published in Frankfurter Rundschau
(Germany) on 15 November 2023
by Andreas Schwarzkopf (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kirsty Low. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
Neither the U.S. nor China is currently interested in further conflicts, which is why both sides are sending a few friendly signals without abandoning their course. A commentary.

Maybe one day the meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit will be regarded as a turning point in a period of strained relations. After all, they would like to open channels of communication so that dialogue between the two sides continues beyond San Francisco.

There are some promising signs of a break in the tension, in any case. Both Washington and Beijing could do without an additional crisis or another war over Taiwan at the moment. Xi needs to attend to the economic crisis and attract foreign capital. Biden has his hands full with the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East and must also win an election against Donald Trump next year.

All this does not make the rivals partners. They will continue to pursue their sometimes confrontational course and eye each other with suspicion. Beijing will not start treating foreign companies better, and Washington will not suddenly begin supplying semiconductors. But it would be helpful if contentious issues were handled in a slightly calmer way and no new dispute were to arise. Then we will see whether this period of détente was just a momentary blip or a lasting development.


Annähern, ein bisschen

Weder die USA noch China sind derzeit an weiteren Konflikten interessiert, weshalb beide Seiten ein paar freundliche Signale senden ohne ihren Kurs zu verlassen. Ein Kommentar.

Vielleicht gilt dereinst das Treffen zwischen US-Präsident Joe Biden und dem chinesischen Regierungschef Xi Jinping am Rande des Asien-Pazifik-Gipfels als Wendepunkt in den angespannten Beziehungen. Schließlich wollen sie Gesprächskanäle öffnen, damit beide Seiten nicht nur in San Francisco miteinander reden.

Die Zeichen für eine Spannungspause stehen jedenfalls nicht schlecht. Washington und Peking brauchen derzeit weder eine zusätzliche Krise noch einen weiteren Krieg um Taiwan. Xi muss sich um die Wirtschaftskrise kümmern und um ausländisches Kapital werben. Biden hat alle Hände voll zu tun mit den Kriegen in der Ukraine und in Nahost und muss nebenbei im kommenden Jahr eine Wahl gegen Donald Trump gewinnen.

All das macht aus den Kontrahenten noch keine Partner. Sie werden ihren teils konfrontativen Kurs weiter verfolgen, werden sich weiter misstrauisch belauern. Peking wird ausländische Firmen nicht besser behandeln, Washington wird nicht plötzlich Halbleiter liefern. Doch es wäre schon hilfreich, wenn es bei strittigen Themen ein wenig entspannter zuginge und kein neuer Zwist dazukäme. Und dann wird man sehen, ob diese Phase der Entspannung nur ein Zwischenhoch war oder sogar anhält.
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