The Tide Is Changing

Published in ABC
(Spain) on 4 November 2010
by Jose María Carrascal (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Patricia González Darriba. Edited by Sam Carter.
Obama's only consolation is that it could have been worse. He could have lost the Senate too, which would have left him unable to govern. But he kept it by a whisker, while being widely defeated everywhere else.

A conservative tide flooded the House of Representatives and state governments, giving the Republicans capability previously held by Democrats. The American people have spoken, loudly and clearly, saying they didn't like how they were being governed.

What can Obama do, facing all of this? He has two choices: blame the opposition for not being able to govern or adapt himself to the new situation.

What is the new situation? I'm going to explain it with examples: the new Speaker of the House is a dark man from Ohio, John Boehner, who has eleven brothers, who has scrubbed floors, washed dishes, not gone to Harvard but to a modest college and had the slogan "We must give America back to Americans."

The second example is the three warnings from Evan Bayh, one of the Democrats leaving the Senate, to his own party, "Lower taxes, tackle the deficit and approach the center."

It's exactly the same message the American people sent yesterday to their government: stop giving wealth away, because it's disappearing, and focus on creating it. To create wealth, private enterprise is better than public enterprise. Deficits are mortgages for the future and for children. And no elitism. The average American is a centrist, a stance which has been abandoned today. Those were the three sins of the Obama administration, which led him to take a tumble yesterday.

Obama can observe the warning or ignore it. It will determine whether he is reelected in 2012. We have reason to believe he will listen, go down to the street and create jobs, which is what the men in the street request.

In fact, he has already begun to do so, by offering the Republicans his collaboration. However, he will have to do it with facts, not words, and without hesitation. If he goes on with a social democratic agenda, he chose the wrong country. That may work in Europe, but not in America. And even in Europe, that approach is in the doldrums.

Finally, yesterday's elections also contain a warning for Republicans. Although the tide is now conservative, if carried to an extreme, it can lead them to make the same mistakes the Democrats did.

The triumph of the Tea Party is more apparent than real, since its radical candidates, who campaigned in some states as a third party, were the ones who prevented some Republican candidates from achieving victory and their party from getting the majority in the Senate. And most Americans are center. Right of center.


EL único consuelo de Obama es que pudo ser peor. Pudo perder también el Senado, lo que le hubiese dejado maniatado para gobernar. Pero lo retuvo por los pelos, mientras en el resto la derrota fue clamorosa. Una marea conservadora barrió la Cámara de Representantes y los gobiernos de los Estados, dando a la republicanos una capacidad que antes tenían los demócratas. El pueblo norteamericano ha hablado alto y claro, y ha dicho que no le gusta cómo le estaban gobernando.

¿Qué puede hacer Obama ante ello? Tiene dos caminos: echar la culpa a la oposición de no poder gobernar o adaptarse a la nueva situación. ¿Cuál es la nueva situación? Lo se voy a explicar con sus ejemplos: el nuevo speaker de la Cámara Baja es un oscuro hombre de Ohio, John Boehner, con once hermanos, que fregó suelos, lavó platos, no fue a Harvard, sino a un modesto college, con la consigna «hay que devolver América a los americanos». El segundo, son las tres advertencias de Evan Bay, uno de los demócratas que dejan el Senado, a su partido: «Bajar los impuestos, atacar el déficit y acercarse al centro». Es exactamente el mensaje que envió ayer el pueblo norteamericano a su gobierno: déjate de repartir riqueza —que está desapareciendo— y concéntrate en la creación de la misma. Y para crear riqueza, la iniciativa privada es mejor que la gubernamental. Los déficit son una hipoteca para el futuro y para los hijos. Y nada de elitismos. El norteamericano medio es centrista, que se ve hoy abandonado. Esos han sido los tres pecados de la administración Obama y lo que le llevó al revolcón de ayer.

Obama puede hacer caso de esa advertencia o ignorarla. De ello dependerá que sea reelegido o no en 2012. Mucho apunta de que lo hará, se bajará a la calle y se pondrá a crear empleo, que es lo que desde allí se pide. De hecho, ha empezado ya a hacerlo, al ofrecer colaboración a los republicanos. Pero tendrá que hacerlo con hechos, no con palabras, y sin titubeos. Porque si sigue con una agenda socialdemócrata, se equivocó de país. Eso puede funcionar en Europa, no en Estados Unidos. E incluso en Europa está, de capa caída.

Por último: las elecciones de ayer encierran también una advertencia para los republicanos. Aunque la marea es hoy conservadora, si la llevan al extremo puede conducirles a cometer los mismos errores que los demócratas. El triunfo del Tea Party es más aparente que real, ya que han sido sus candidatos radicales que se presentaron en algunos Estados como tercer partido quienes impidieron al candidato republicano alcanzar la victoria, y a su partido, la mayoría en el Senado. Y es que la mayoría norteamericana es de centro. De centro derecha.
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