America’s Budget Battle is Actually a “Political Performance”

Published in Guangming Daily News
(China) on 10 March 2011
by Zhang Zhixin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Liangzi He. Edited by Michelle Harris.
This intense budget battle is being fought under the backdrop of America’s two- party battle of liberal and conservative ideas and reflects the power struggle between the two parties in advance of the 2012 Presidential election.

On March 4, the fierce confrontation between the U.S. Democratic and Republican parties on budget issues ended. Congressmen from both parties finally struck a compromise on the case of interim government expenditure, avoiding the first “close” crisis of federal government in 15 years.

Republicans had boycotted the budget for the 2011 fiscal year since it was raised in the first half of last year, delaying its adoption. Therefore, since the new fiscal year began last October, the federal government has barely been functioning, relying on a “temporary stop gap” measure passed by Congress. The two parties’ compromise on March 4 has only prolonged the above measure to March 18.

After all, the budget battle was due to a lack of money. In the 2010 fiscal year, U.S. federal revenue was $2.16 trillion and expenditures were $3.45 trillion, which left a deficit of $1.29 trillion. Republicans have been causing trouble for the Democratic government on the annual budget because the federal financial deficit is nearly 9 percent of GNP. If left unchecked, this “time bomb” could explode at any time, causing incalculable damage to the U.S. economy.

Republicans have always pursued a conservative financial philosophy, advocating spending cuts, reducing the size of government and cutting taxes. In the 2010 mid-term election, many Republican representatives were elected based on their banner of “reducing the deficit, increasing employment.” Thus, the new representatives would inevitably perform an operation on the new unsanctioned 2011 fiscal budget case, showing their own “listening to the public voice” attitude. The other reason for the Republicans’ attack was to suppress the effect of Obama’s health care and financial regulatory reforms, paving the way for the next election.

It’s not that Democrats don’t know the risk of the high deficit; however, under the circumstances of the economy’s weak recovery, they insist that maintaining economic growth is much more important than decreasing the deficit. The Democrats traditional practice involves using government investment to spur the private sector to accelerate economic growth. Investment needs money, and raising taxes is impossible under the Republicans’ objection. The only way is to save energy — by cutting the budget. However, Democrats are famous for their attention to the welfare of the middle and lower classes and minority communities, and a large proportion of federal expense was used for Social Security and health care, so cutting this portion of the budget is undoubtedly discarding the Democrats’ staunchest supporters. Next year’s election is around the corner, and Obama obviously doesn’t want to “destroy the foundation.”

Of course, when facing the 2012 presidential election, deciding whether to stick to increased investment or to cut the deficit, neither of the two parties wants to be too decisive on the budget issue, incurring public resentment. In 1996, because of the “uncooperative” Congress controlled by Republicans regarding the budget, the Republican government shut down for 21 days, enormously affecting public life. In the following congressional elections, the public punished Republicans by voting against them. Therefore, anyone of the two parties who’s eyeing the presidency will be especially cautious.

This bipartisan compromise was attributed to Republicans’ first gesture of goodwill; the two then quickly reached an agreement. Although, the bipartisan budget battle will continue in the near future, reaching an agreement is no suspense. By that token, this fierce budget battle is a war of governing ideas and also more like a “political performance” or “tempest in a teapot,” targeted on winning over the public minds and votes before the election.


美预算大战其实是“政治表演”
张志新 http://www.gmw.cn 2011-03-10 08:57:31 来源:新京报网-博客频道

这场白热化的预算大战既有美国两党自由与保守理念之争的背景,也折射了两党瞄准2012年总统选举的权力之争。

3月4日,美国民主与共和两党在预算问题上的激烈对垒暂告一段落。两党议员最终就临时政府开支案达成妥协,避免了15年来首次联邦政府“关门”危机。

美国2011财年预算自去年上半年提出来后,就遭到国会共和党人的杯葛,迟迟得不到通过。因此,去年10月新财年开始后,联邦政府都是依靠国会通过的“临时开支案”而勉强运作。4日的两党妥协,也只是将上述“临时开支案”再延长至3月18日。

预算大战说到底是手里没钱惹的祸。2010财年,美国联邦财政收入为2.162万亿美元,支出为3.456万亿美元,财政赤字达1.294万亿美元。共和党人在年度预算案上一再给民主党政府找麻烦,就是因为联邦财政赤字已接近国民生产总值的9%.如听之任之,这颗“定时炸弹”随时会爆炸,给美国经济带来不可估量的破坏。

共和党奉行的是保守的财政理念,主张削减开支、缩小政府规模并减税。2010年中期选举时,许多共和党人就是打着“减赤字、增就业”的旗号当选议员。因此,新议员上台后必然要拿还未通过的2011财年预算案开刀,显示自己“听从民众的呼声”。共和党发难的另一原因则是以减赤为借口,打压奥巴马医改和金融监管改革的效果,为下届大选做好铺垫。

民主党政府也不是不知道赤字高企的危险,然在经济复苏乏力的背景下,他们认为维持经济增长远比减赤更重要。而且以政府投资带动私营部门投资,促进经济增长,也是民主党的传统做法。投资需要钱,增税在共和党反对之下已不可能,那就只有节流———削减预算。然而,民主党以关注社会中下层和少数族裔福祉而著称,联邦开支中很大比例用于这部分人的社保和医保,拿这些项目开刀无疑是在抛弃民主党最坚定支持者。明年总统选举在即,奥巴马显然不愿“自毁根基”。

当然,面对2012年总统选举,无论是坚持投资还是坚持减赤,两党都不愿在预算问题上做绝,招致民众反感。1996年,由于共和党控制的国会在预算上“不合作”,民主党政府关门长达21天,民众生活大受影响。在其后的国会选举中,民众立即用选票惩罚了共和党。所以,任何瞄准总统宝座的两党人士都会因此格外谨慎。

这次两党达成妥协,就是共和党率先释出善意,两党很快达成一致。虽然在未来一段时间,两党的预算之争将继续上演,但最终达成一致已毫无悬念。由此看来,这场激烈的预算大战既是一场执政理念之争,也更是一场在大选前笼络民心和选票的“政治表演”,或者“茶壶里的风暴”。

原文链接:http://blog.bjnews.com.cn/space.php?uid=17126&do=blog&id=79240
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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