US, China and Russia Are Rallying Allies in the Rivalry for Hegemony in Asia

Published in The People's Daily
(China) on 6 June 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Lanlan Jin. Edited by .

Edited by Gillian Palmer

Influenced by the topic of “Asian Hegemony,” the international community has experienced some changes recently. The U.S., China, Russia and other key actors are sculpting Asian alliances to improve international relationships and gather influence; on the other hand, because of the power struggle between nations, a fierce rivalry is underway. This is due to the recognition that if a country is eliminated from the competition in Asia, a region containing 60 percent of the world’s population and over 50 percent of the world’s GDP, it will be eliminated from the rounds of competition to come.

U.S. Departure from Afghanistan and Subsequent Chinese Involvement

According to reports, this week China and Afghanistan are signing a broad agreement regarding the diplomatic ties between the two nations. Chairman Hu Jintao and Afghan President Hamid Karzai are going to hold a meeting in Beijing to discuss it. According to analyses, this meeting is in response to the projected complete withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan in 2014, with China aiming to take the opportunity to “fill in” the power vacuum and secure its own position as the regional chief.

During the 10 years of the Western world’s War on Terror in Afghanistan, led by the U.S., China actually showed no interest in participating in the region’s political and security issues. China is only keen on strengthening economic ties with Afghanistan, such as gaining mining rights to the copper mine at Ayak Mountain and the like.

However, China’s response to the security of the Taliban-threatened Afghanistan after the withdrawal of U.S. troops is different from those before, for China is planning to gain an economic advantage through active intervention and political influence in Central Asia. China is reportedly considering sending military personnel to Afghanistan to aid in army training.

U.S. Rallying Allies to Target China

With the U.S.’s departure from Afghanistan, the security strategy’s focus has pivoted to East Asia to accelerate the “battle for hegemony in the Pacific.” America’s currently implemented plan is to recruit South Korea, Japan, Australia, the Philippines, Thailand and other “core allies,” as well as India, Singapore, Indonesia and other “core partners” to target the dominant competitor, China.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta, who was visiting Vietnam, issued a speech on a U.S. warship in Cam Ranh Bay with the South China Sea as the backdrop on June 3 local time. The scene is symbolic of the American strategy, for the South China Sea is a seriously disputed region of sovereignty between Vietnam and China. Panetta said, “Access for United States naval ships into this facility is a key component of this relationship (with Vietnam) and we see a tremendous potential here for the future.” The AP said, “While Panetta did not mention ‘China,’ we know he is sending a message to China.” Panetta is going to visit India after Vietnam and plans to further discuss programs to strengthen the two nations’ security programs.

Russia and China Join Forces to Contend with the U.S. and NATO

Russian President Vladimir Putin is going to China for a three-day state visit from June 5th to the 7th. Despite strong protests in the U.S. this past month, Putin has refused to attend the G-8 Summit in Chicago, thereby making China his first international stop after winning the election.

Analysis suggests that Putin’s move is targeted, for Russia means to unite with China in implementing the diplomatic strategy of luring other Asian countries to their cause — to counterbalance the U.S.-led and Western-centric NATO. From the 6th to the 7th, Putin will attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit held in Beijing. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization includes China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and four Central Asian countries involved in regional security cooperation agencies. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Afghan President Hamid Karzai will also attend the summit as observers.

Putin will hold a head of state meeting with Hu Jintao to actively devise a program to strengthen bilateral relations. The two nations began to jointly deal with Syria and the Iranian nuclear crisis last year; therefore, it is expected that a head of state meeting discussing cooperation programs should continue with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at the summit.


美中俄忙于合纵连横 力争亚洲霸权

围绕「亚洲霸权」,国际社会局势发生动摇。美国、中国、俄罗斯等主要国家一方面通过与亚洲各国「合纵连横」改善关系来增加影响力;另一方面则为互相牵制而展开了激烈的角逐。这是因为这些国家都认识到,如果在占世界人口60%、佔全球GDP 50%以上的亚洲被淘汰,就会「在未来竞争中遭到淘汰」。
  美国离开后中国介入阿富汗

  据悉,中国和阿富汗将于本週签署有关两国纽带关系的广泛协定。中国国家主席胡锦涛和阿富汗总统哈米德‧卡尔扎伊将为此在北京举行会晤。据分析,这是因为美国已决定在2014年之前彻底撤离阿富汗,而中国想藉此机会填补「力量空白」,巩固自己地区盟主的地位。
  美国主导的西方世界在阿富汗与恐怖势力交火的过去10多年里,中国实际上并未介入该地区的政治、安全问题。中国只热衷于加强和阿富汗的经济关系,其中包括拿下艾纳克矿山开采权等。

  但是,对于美军撤离后依然受到塔利班威胁的阿富汗安全问题,中国则不同于以往,希望通过积极介入来提高本国在中亚地区的政治影响力,从而获得经济利益。据悉,中国目前正考虑派遣人员到阿富汗负责训练军队。

  美国拉拢盟国和伙伴包围中国

  美国虽然撤离阿富汗,但却将安全战略重心转移到东亚,加速与中国的「太平洋霸权竞争」。美国目前推行的战略是,联合韩国、日本、澳大利亚、菲律宾、泰国等「核心同盟」以及印度、新加坡、印度尼西亚等「核心伙伴」包围最大竞争者中国。

  正在越南访问的美国国防部长莱昂‧帕内塔当地时间3日在金兰湾美军舰艇上以中国南海为背景发表了演讲。这一场面象徵性地体现了美国的这种战略。中国南海是越南和中国发生严重主权纠纷的地区。帕内塔当天表示:「希望美越两国关系能提升到下一阶段。美国舰艇靠近金兰湾是加深两国关系的核心要素。」美联社报道说:「帕内塔虽未提及『中国』,但谁都知道这是针对中国。」帕内塔结束对越南的访问后将访问印度,继续讨论加强两国安全关系的方案。

  俄罗斯和中国联手抗衡美国和北约

  俄罗斯总统普亭将于5日至7日对中国进行为期叁天的国事访问。普亭上月不顾美国的强烈抗议而拒绝出席芝加哥八国集团(G8)峰会,将中国选为就任后出访的第一站。

  据分析,普亭此举是为了和中国一起推行拉拢亚洲国家的外交战略,从而抗衡美国等西方国家主导的北约(NATO)。普亭访中期间的6日至7日,将出席在北京举行的上海合作组织(SCO)峰会。上海合作组织是中国、俄罗斯以及哈萨克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦等中亚四国参与的区域内安全合作机构。伊朗总统马哈茂德‧艾哈迈迪-内贾德和阿富汗总统哈米德‧卡尔扎伊今年也将以观察员的身份出席会议。

  普亭将与胡锦涛举行首脑会谈,积极探讨加强两国关系的方案。两国从去年开始共同应对叙利亚危机和伊朗核问题,此次应该也会陆续与伊朗总统内贾德举行首脑会谈,讨论合作方案。
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