Prime Take: How Do Americans View US Tariff Hikes?

Published in Nanfang Daily
(China) on 9 April 2025
by Li Jia (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew McKay. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
President Donald Trump recently signed an executive order increasing tariffs on a number of countries, including China. A 50% tariff on Chinese imports took effect on April 9, bringing the total tariff amount to 104%, sparking global concern and escalating trade tensions. The author is a currently a visiting scholar and has made in-depth observations and analyzed social media. I have found that Americans are generally worried that tax increases will push up prices, but opinions differ according to political position, economic circumstances and cultural background.

First, there is the pessimistic and disillusioned opposition, which includes most the American lower class. They believe that tax increases will raise prices, exacerbate inflation and impose a burden on ordinary consumers and businesses. A young woman who was interviewed believed that key decision-makers were making ridiculous decisions without considering the interests of ordinary people. She worried that, in an economic environment already full of uncertainty and on the verge of recession, the decision Trump and his administration are making would undoubtedly make the situation worse. Some people also believe that Trump is playing a game of chicken with the Federal Reserve, seeking a quick interest rate cut. Others linked the “tariff war” to international affairs, arguing that globalization was the antidote to global conflict and no one wanted to destroy their own partners or factories, but that isolationism, protectionism, tariffs and embargoes would lead to zero-sum thinking and could even lead to war.

Next there are the rational and analytical skeptics. These people are highly educated and have reservations about whether the tariff policy is effective. A Democratic former corporate executive who is active in community, media and business circles in a city in the Midwest believes that President Trump’s tariffs are aimed at protecting American jobs, but that those policies could escalate the trade war, increase costs and weaken U.S. competitiveness in the global market. The tariff policy is ostensibly aimed at protecting jobs and manufacturing in the U.S. and promoting the return of products “Made in the USA.” But this strategy also entails risk and controversy. For one thing, large-scale tariff increases may trigger retaliation from other countries, leading to an escalation of the trade war and affecting the stability of the global supply chain. For another, tariffs increase company operating costs. You cannot restore industrial capacity overnight, and these costs will ultimately be passed on to consumers. Finally, long-term reliance on tariff barriers may weaken the competitiveness of American companies in the global market, causing them to lose their advantage in technological innovation and cost control.

Then, there are the optimistic supporters. They believe these policies benefit the U.S. in the long run and that the country’s manufacturing industry is in urgent need of revitalization. Raising taxes may protect domestic industries, increase employment and help enhance America’s economic security and strategic position. An American citizen admitted that the current tariff war is actually a way of recycling past open-market policies. The U.S. has promoted globalization and free trade in recent decades, and a large number of goods have entered the U.S. market with relatively low tariffs. This has brought cheap goods, but it has also had an impact on domestic manufacturing. Now, by imposing additional tariffs, the U.S. can recoup revenue that it should have been collecting, thereby protecting its domestic industries. Although it is widely known that this will push prices up, Americans are also used to consuming and insensitive to price increases, so many people will continue to buy. Some people still support raising tariffs, but not for economic reasons. “This is about dependence — the U.S. economy should never be in a state of dependence,” they say. They believe that although tariff hikes may cause some inflationary pressure, they will bring jobs and businesses back to the U.S.

Finally, there is a group of people who are relatively indifferent: the politically apathetic. They have little interest in international affairs or macroeconomics, rarely follow the news, and do not believe that trade policies will directly affect them. These include people who, having experienced shocks such as the 2008 financial crisis and pandemic-driven inflation, are psychologically prepared for economic fluctuations. They no longer react as strongly to new rounds of trade wars, are less concerned with tariff issues, or believe that such macroeconomic policies have little bearing on their lives.

A review of recent U.S. policy shows that tariff policies are often not just economic measures but political tools in election years. Many politicians raise taxes and start trade wars to show voters they are protecting American interests, and this is especially the case for someone like Trump, who won the votes of many Midwestern manufacturing and agricultural states by imposing tariffs on Chinese products. People in these regions feel they have suffered from globalization, and now that a president has stepped up to be “tough on foreign policy,” they are more than willing to get behind him — and shouting “Bring manufacturing back” or “Make America great again” is much easier than actually solving complex problems such as inflation and unemployment. Combine that with intense and sensationalized media coverage, and voter emotion runs high, so imposing tariffs is not simply an economic move, but also part of a political drama.

The flip-flopping on tariff policy shows how capricious the Trump administration is. On April 5, anti-Trump demonstrations flared up simultaneously at more than 1,200 locations across all 50 states, protesting Trump administration policies such as layoffs and cuts to Social Security and Medicare, and calling for an end to intervention in immigration and related policies. American society is undergoing profound political turmoil and emotional polarization. Increasingly conservative policies, rising barriers to immigration, and cuts to social welfare are fueling anxiety and disillusionment among the middle class and professionals, prompting a quiet wave of people leaving in search of a more stable and inclusive environment.




头啖汤评论:美国加征关税,美国民众怎么看?

2025-04-09 15:38 来源:南方网

撰文 李镓

近期,美国总统特朗普签署行政命令,对包括中国在内的多个国家增加关税。4月9日起,美国对中国进口商品加征50%的关税,总关税水平达到104%。美国加征关税引发全球担忧,贸易紧张局势升级。笔者正在美国访学,通过深度观察和社媒分析发现,美国民众普遍担忧加税将推高物价,但因为政治立场、经济能力和文化背景不同也存在观点差异。

首先是悲观失望的反对派,包括美国大部分底层民众。他们认为加税将推高物价,加剧通货膨胀,对普通消费者和企业造成负担。一位年轻的女性受访者认为,关键决策者做出荒谬的决定,没有考虑普通民众的利益。她忧心地认为,在一个已经充满不确定性、即将面临衰退的经济环境中,特朗普及其政府的决策无疑会让情况更加糟糕。还有部分民众认为特朗普是在跟美联储玩胆小鬼游戏,想要快速降息。另有民众将“关税战”和国际形势联系在一起,认为“全球化是全球战争的良药,没有人愿意毁掉自己的合作伙伴和工厂,然而孤立主义、保护主义、关税和禁运会导致零和思维,甚至可能引发战争”。

其次是理性且善于分析的怀疑派。这部分民众受教育程度较高,对关税政策是否有效持保留态度。一位曾任企业高管,活跃于美国中部城市的社区、媒体以及商界的民主党人士认为,特朗普总统的关税旨在保护美国的就业岗位,但这些政策有可能引发贸易战升级、推高成本,并削弱美国在全球市场的竞争力。关税政策表面上是为了保护美国本土的就业岗位和制造业,推动“美国制造”回流。然而这一策略也带来了诸多风险和争议。首先,大规模加征关税可能引发其他国家的报复性措施,导致贸易战升级,进而影响全球供应链的稳定。其次,关税增加了企业的运营成本,工业产能不可能一夜之间恢复,这些成本最终会转嫁给消费者。最后,长期依赖关税壁垒可能削弱美国企业在全球市场中的竞争力,使其失去技术创新和成本控制方面的优势。

再次是抱有乐观态度的支持派。他们认为长期来看这一政策对美国非常有利,美国迫切需要振兴制造业。加税可以保护本土产业、增加就业,有助于提升美国的经济安全和战略地位。一位美国市民坦言现在的关税战其实是一种“回收”过去开放市场政策的做法。过去几十年,美国推行全球化和自由贸易,大量商品以较低关税进入美国市场,这虽带来了便宜的商品,但也让本土制造业受到冲击。如今通过加征关税,能够“把该收的税收回来”,借此保护本国产业。虽然大家普遍知道这样做会推高物价,但他们也认为,美国人早已习惯消费,对于价格上涨的敏感度不高,很多人还是会照买不误。还有部分民众支持提高关税,但并非出于经济原因,“这关乎依赖——美国经济永远不应该处于依赖状态”。他们认为“加税虽然会造成一定通胀压力,但能把工作岗位带回美国,把企业带回美国”。

最后还有一群民众是较为无感的冷漠派,以政治冷感群体为代表。他们对国际事务或宏观经济缺乏兴趣,平时不太关注新闻,也不认为贸易政策会直接影响自己生活。还有经历过2008年金融危机、疫情物价上涨等冲击的人群,对经济波动已有心理准备,不再对新一轮贸易战产生强烈反应,对关税问题关注较少,或认为这类宏观经济政策与自己生活关系不大。

纵观美国近期政策可以发现,关税政策常常不只是经济手段,更是选举年里的政治工具。很多政客会通过加税、打贸易战来向选民展示“我在保护美国利益”。尤其是像特朗普这样的人物,他之前就用加征对中国产品的关税,赢得了很多中西部制造业和农业州的选票。这些地区的人觉得自己因为全球化吃了亏,现在有个总统站出来“对外强硬”,他们就很买账。而且,喊一喊“让制造业回流”“让美国再次伟大”,比真正解决通胀、就业这些复杂问题要容易得多。再加上媒体集中报道和炒作,选民的情绪就被带动了。所以加关税这事,不仅仅是经济动作,更是政治表演的一部分。

从朝令夕改的关税政策可以看出特朗普政府的“随心所欲”。4月5日,反特朗普示威活动在美国50个州的1200多个地点同时爆发,抗议特朗普政府裁员、削减社会保障和医疗等政策,呼吁停止对移民和相关政策的干涉。美国社会正经历严重的政治撕裂与情绪极化,政策日益保守,移民门槛提高、社会保障缩减,引发中产与专业人才的不安和失望,促使“离美潮”悄然蔓延,寻求更稳定与包容的环境。
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