With Persistent US Debt Crises, Hong Kong Cannot Relax

Published in Wen Wei Po
(Hong Kong) on 21 October 2013
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kim Wang. Edited by Philip Lawler  .
Yesterday, Hong Kong Financial Secretary John Tsang announced on a blog that the U.S. Democratic and Republican parties had finally reached an agreement on raising the debt ceiling. However, this agreement will only help the U.S. maintain debt until Feb. 7 of next year, when the same problems will reappear. In fact, the alarm bell ringing on the U.S. debt ceiling issue has become commonplace. Hong Kong will inevitably be troubled by this issue and should therefore be prepared to take extra precautions in case the situation deteriorates. The United States prides itself on its financial hegemony. Irresponsibly delaying progress with the debt problem is bound to lead to deeply embedded problems, undermining America's international influence and pushing the country toward the point where it is marginalized on a global scale.

As in the past with the U.S. debt ceiling issue, the U.S. House and Senate decided at the last minute to raise the debt ceiling in order to solve the default crisis, relieving the world with an avoidance of disaster. In fact, the U.S. debt crisis has led to political and economic problems within America's structure, and will continue to recur again and again. Since the 1960s, the U.S. debt ceiling has been raised 80 times to its current debt at $17 trillion, equivalent to occurring on an average of once every eight or nine months. Both houses once again raising the debt ceiling makes international financial markets nervous. Hong Kong, with its small and open economy, is an international financial center. With the Linked Exchange Rate System and financial linkages with the U.S. economy, Hong Kong is inevitably impacted by the U.S. debt ceiling crisis. If the U.S. defaults, the impact on Hong Kong is difficult to predict. Despite the markets generally not fearing a U.S. default, the Hong Kong government remains vigilant and prepared to deal with the worst case scenario; as soon as crisis with the U.S. debt is triggered, the government will maintain our financial markets and ensure economic stability within the system.

U.S. bonds undergo unbridled expansion to match growing domestic, political, economic, day-to-day and military needs — this instead of considering savings to reduce the deficit, which leads the U.S. debt to snowball at an increasingly faster rate. It will not take long to hit the limits, which increases the difficulty of solving the problem. Failing to raise the debt ceiling has been used by America's political parties as a weapon, placing political interests above the interests of the nation and of the world, and thus creating a stalemate. The U.S. debt crisis is expected to frequently reoccur and continue to have a larger impact on global financial markets.


財政司司長曾俊華昨日在網誌表示,美國民主、共和兩黨最終就提高國債上限達成協議,但只是把美國舉債能力維持至明年2月7日,同樣爭拗很快又會出現。事實上,美債上限的警報長鳴已成慣例,香港受到困擾在所難免,必須未雨綢繆做好額外防範,應對更壞的情況出現。美國自恃金融霸權,對債務問題不負責地以拖待變,必然令問題積重難返,削弱美國的國際影響力,滑向被全球邊緣化的地步。
美國舉債上限問題一如以往,美國參眾兩院終在期限前,通過提高債務上限法案,最後一刻化解違約危機,讓世界各國鬆了一口氣,慶幸又避過一劫。其實,美債危機已成為美國的政治、經濟結構性矛盾,還會周而復始地反覆出現。自上世紀60年代起,美債上限已調升近80次之多,目前美債也累積高達17萬億美元,等於平均每隔8、9個月,兩院就會上演一次提升債務上限的鬧劇,全球金融市場又要神經高度緊張。香港作為細小開放型的經濟體,又是國際金融中心,在聯匯制度下香港與美國的經濟、金融聯繫密切,無可避免會受到美債上限危機的影響,如果一旦不幸出現美債違約,對香港的打擊更是難以預料。因此,儘管市場普通認為,美債發生違約的機會不高,但是特區政府仍要對美債上限問題保持高度警覺,做好應付最壞情況的準備,盡速將美債危機引發的震盪降至最低,維護本港金融市場、經濟體系的穩定。
美國以毫無節制的發債度日來滿足國內日益膨脹的政治、經濟、民生、軍事需要,而不積極考慮節省開支,減少赤字,結果美債就像滾雪球般越滾越大,而且上升速度也越來越快,用不了多長時間就又會觸及上限,解決美債的難度有增無減。兩黨又把提升債務上限視為要脅對方的政治工具,將政黨利益凌駕於國家乃至世界的利益上,在提升債務上限問題僵持拉鋸,美債危機頻繁上演將是意料中事,給世界金融市場造成更多的衝擊。
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