Bush-Clinton Showdown?

Published in El Mundo
(Spain) on 19 February 2015
by Inocencio Arias (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Osvaldo de la Torre. Edited by Bora Mici.
Hillary Clinton has not yet officially announced her candidacy for next year's presidential elections, yet few doubt she will do so within the next few months. It is likely that she will become the first woman president of the United States. It is improbable that the Democratic Party will produce a candidate able to eclipse her status.

Few people express indifference toward the former first lady and secretary of state. She has both passionate followers and fierce enemies. Various sectors of the population hold her in great esteem. Women, for example, view Mrs. Clinton as a staunch feminist, one whose support for military intervention in Afghanistan — helping, among other things, in the liberation of women — is well known. She would probably beat most Republican candidates in securing both the growing Hispanic vote and the African-American vote. (When Obama was still an unknown figure, her husband was once called the "first black President" of the United States.)

She can infuriate people. She has had scuffles with those in her own party; she has been called opportunistic and overscrupulous. Irritated by unjust attacks made by the Clinton faction against Obama during the 2008 campaign, Samantha Power — one of Obama's close advisers and current ambassador to the United Nations — once told a reporter in reference to Hillary Clinton: "She is a monster, too . . . she is stooping to anything." With that remark, Power almost buried her political career. Obama would eventually appoint Hillary as secretary of state, but the truth is that others share Power’s feelings.

Ethical accusations against Clinton are surfacing again with the knowledge that various foreign governments have been extremely generous toward the nonprofit foundation created by the Clintons. To avoid any conflict of interest, the Clintons announced they would not accept foreign donations when Hillary became secretary of state. They mostly kept that promise. Since Mrs. Clinton gave up her post in 2013, money has once again been flowing in at an increased rate, particularly once her candidacy for the presidency became probable. In 2014, foreign donations to the Clinton philanthropic organization doubled.

Arab countries have been particularly generous, with Saudi Arabia donating about $10 million since the Clinton organization’s founding, along with the United Arab Emirates and Qatar. Western countries, such as Australia and Germany, have also contributed. Canada, which has an interest in the Keystone XL pipeline — which Obama opposes — has donated $480,000. It is an open secret that such donations are in fact investments for when Clinton inhabits the White House.

The Republican field has seen the emergence of a figure representing another illustrious family: Jeb Bush. The Republican Party has various possible candidates, although none of them would seem to come close to Hillary Clinton’s stature. Various commentators agree that the “young” Bush would be the only one who could possibly compete with her. He is relatively well-known, hasn’t yet lost favor with the public, knows Spanish through his spouse, and has an open view of immigration. With this, he could recover part of the Hispanic vote that the Republican Party has lost due to its immigration stance. Also, he would not be short on money.

Although he hasn’t formally announced his candidacy, Bush, like Hillary, is already setting up his team. He has been in contact with people who worked for his brother, even though he prefers to seek out those who worked for his father (James Baker, for example), and who were less divisive figures in the public’s opinion. Bush senior was not a glamorous president, but his foreign policy is remembered in positive light. He cunningly dealt with the Soviet Union’s collapse.

Jeb has made it clear that he respects his brother, but his handling of foreign policy would not be exactly the same.


Hillary Clinton no ha anunciado aún oficialmente su candidatura para las elecciones presidenciales que tendrán lugar el próximo año pero pocos dudan de que lo hará en los próximos meses y, con bastante probabilidad, será la primera mujer Presidente de los Estados Unidos. En el campo demócrata no parece que vaya a surgir un candidato capaz de hacerle sombra.

La antigua primera dama y posteriormente Secretaria de Estado deja a poca gente indiferente. Cuenta con apasionados seguidores pero también con encarnizados enemigos. Hay franjas de la población que la miran con clara simpatía, para las mujeres, por ejemplo, la señora Clinton es una decidida feminista y su defensa de la intervención en Afganistán para, entre otras razones, liberar a la mujer es conocida. También cosecharía votos frente a la mayor parte de los republicanos en la creciente población hispana y en de la color. (Su marido, cuando Obama era desconocido, fue llamado el "primer Presidente negro" en Estados Unidos).

Levanta asimismo ampollas, ha tenido escaramuzas dentro de su propio partido siendo tachada de arribista y de persona con no excesivos escrúpulos. Samantha Power, asesora cercana a Obama y actual Embajadora en la ONU, irritada por los ataques torticeros a Obama del equipo de la Clinton en la campaña del 2008, comentó una vez a un periodista que Hillary Clinton era "un monstruo y se rebajaba a hacer lo que fuese con tal de ganar". La Power estuvo a punto de enterrar su carrera política,- Hillary sería nombrada Secretaria de Estado por Obama-, pero su acalorado comentario es compartido por más de uno.

Las acusaciones de que la posible candidata juega con la ética surgen ahora de nuevo al saberse que varios gobiernos extranjeros están siendo muy generosos con la fundación solidaria que crearon los Clinton. Para evitar el conflicto de intereses, los Clinton, al ocupar Hillary la Secretaría de Estado, anunciaron que no aceptarían donaciones extranjeras. Lo cumplieron en buena medida. En 2013, cuando la señora Clinton abandonó su cargo en el gobierno, abrieron las compuertas, el dinero ha empezado a llegar abundantemente y en mayor volumen, se dice, desde que pareció probable que será candidata. En el año 2014 se duplicaron, en efecto, las donaciones extranjeras a la filantrópica fundación.

Los países árabes son especialmente generosos, Arabia Saudita (unos 10 millones desde que se creó la institución), los Emiratos, Qatar... pero no faltan las aportaciones de países occidentales como Australia o Alemania. Canadá, interesado en la construcción del polémico oleoducto Keystone XL, que Obama siempre ha sido reticente en aprobar, ha donado de su lado 480,000 dólares. Las especulaciones de que las aportaciones son una inversión para cuando la señora Clinton ocupe la Casa Blanca están al cabo de la calle.

En el campo republicano va creciendo la figura del retoño de otra familia ilustre, Jeb Bush. En las filas de ese partido hay varios aspirantes, ninguno parece le haría sombra a Hillary Clinton. Más de un comentarista opina que el "joven" Bush sería el único que podría plantarle cara. Es relativamente conocido, no está quemado y por su matrimonio, conocimiento del español, actitud abierta en el tema de la emigración....podría captar bastante voto hispano que ha abandonado recientemente al partido republicano por la cuestión migratoria. Dinero no le iba a faltar.

Bush, sin proclamarse formalmente candidato, está, como Hillary ,formando su equipo. Ha contactado a algún antiguo colaborador de su hermano pero piropea más a los de su padre, Baker etc... que crearon menos divisiones en el país. Bush padre no fue un Presidente con glamour pero su política exterior es recordada con buena nota. Manejó con habilidad las suspicacias rusas cuando la Unión soviética se desmantelaba.

Jeb ya ha dado a entender que respeta a su hermano, pero que su conducción de la política exterior no sería exactamente la misma.
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