The War Is Not Over

Published in ABC Journal
(Spain) on 11 September 2021
by Editorial ABC (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Amy Bathurst. Edited by Patricia Simoni.
We must fight Islamic terrorism up close and take responsibility for its threat, after deciding against confronting it. No one wants wars on their own land; they only want victories.

Two decades after the 9/11 attacks — a declaration of war on the free world designed to kill thousands and to overwhelm everyone else — Western society has learned to live in fear of terrorism, to the point of normalizing it as though it were just another ingredient of public life. During these two decades, we have been shaken by global crises that are even more serious in size and consequence: the financial crisis of 2008, which caused the biggest recession since the last century, and the crisis caused by the pandemic, which is still unresolved.

If anything changed in the world on 9/11, still viewed as the beginning of a new era, it was in the sense of preparing the West to give up any certainty and to accept shock — in all its terrible forms — as the currency of the new century. Two decades later, the fall of the twin towers cannot compete with the universal panic generated last year by COVID-19, paralyzing the planet and leaving death in its wake, the toll of which may never be known.

The fact that the U.S., wounded by the terror strike of 9/11, even more damaging than the attack on Pearl Harbor, responded immediately with a military offensive in the Middle East — with a “No to the War,” non-supportive, sectarian response to a shared threat from around the developed world — enters into the mechanics of the conflicts from the last century.

Looking back now, the error was in a traditional response — a land invasion with air support — to an unconventional war, like those waged by Islamists at every front since that time.

Osama bin Laden’s execution — through an equally invasive, secret operation in Pakistan's territory — or the surgical strikes with which the U.S. has in recent months killed figures of such criminal stature as Qassem Soleimani, major general of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, pave the way for a war that is still active in other ways.

The failure of the democratizing process in Afghanistan shows the complexity of subduing deep-rooted, traditional Islam, already observed in the Arab Spring and throughout North Africa and much of the Middle East, in its resistance to any civilizing tension and in its return to tyranny. This is often with the assistance of the West, with its ample experience in searching for allies among the Gulf theocracies and in supporting authoritarian regimes, which when compared to the threat of terrorism, represent the lesser evil — with no other ethics than that of common benefit and shared calm.

Getting along with the Taliban while drones target their leaders — as the U.S. did long before Joe Biden’s arrival — might be more effective and profitable than maintaining an unsustainable protectorate without external aid for decades, as in the Sahel. The war against terror is not happening today in Afghanistan, but in Paris, London or Madrid, and it is those in intelligence services and security forces who must fight it on the ground.

The challenge facing the free world consists of securing its territory while allowing the terror production centers, again with Taliban license, to resume their activity and export their violence. It won’t be easy. The U.S. is withdrawing, maybe forever, and Europe doesn’t even have measures to meet NATO’s self-defense standards. China and Russia remain to take advantage of any element that weakens the West, as does Islamic terrorism, against which we must fight up close, after deciding against confronting it. No one wants wars on their own land; they only want victories.


La guerra no ha terminado

Estamos obligados a combatir de cerca el terrorismo islámico y asumir su amenaza tras renunciar a plantarle cara -nadie quiere guerras, solo victorias- en su propio terreno

Actualizado:11/09/2021 16:01h Editorial ABC

Dos décadas después de los atentados del 11-S, declaración de guerra al mundo libre diseñada para matar a unos miles y sobrecoger al resto, la sociedad occidental ha aprendido a convivir con el miedo al terrorismo, hasta normalizarlo como un ingrediente más de una vida pública que en estas dos décadas se ha visto sacudida por crisis globales aún más graves, por dimensión y consecuencias: la financiera de 2008, que provocó la mayor recesión del último siglo, y la generada por la pandemia, aún irresuelta. Si algo cambió el mundo aquel 11-S, aún interpretado como el comienzo de una nueva era, fue en el sentido de preparar al conjunto de Occidente para renunciar a cualquier certeza y aceptar el sobresalto, en cualquiera de sus formas, todas terribles, como divisa del nuevo siglo. Dos décadas después, la caída de las Torres Gemelas no puede competir con el pánico universal que el año pasado generó el coronavirus, hasta paralizar el planeta y dejar un reguero de muerte que nunca podrá ser cifrado con exactitud.

Que Estados Unidos se sintiera herido por el zarpazo terrorista del 11-S, aún más lesivo que el ataque de Pearl Harbor, y respondiera de inmediato con una ofensiva militar en Oriente Próximo -contestada con aquel «No a la guerra» que recorrió el mundo desarrollado, respuesta insolidaria y sectaria a una amenaza compartida- entra dentro de la mecánica de las contiendas del siglo pasado. Analizado desde el momento presente, el error fue responder con fórmulas tradicionales, con una invasión terrestre apoyada con medios aéreos, a una guerra no convencional, como la que desde entonces libra el islamismo desde cualquier frente. La ejecución de Osama bin Laden, a través de una operación secreta -igualmente invasiva, en territorio de Pakistán- o los ataques quirúrgicos con que Estados Unidos ha abatido en los últimos meses a figuras de la talla criminal de Qasem Soleimani, caudillo de la Guardia Revolucionaria de Irán, trazan la hoja de ruta de una guerra que sigue activa, pero por otras vías. El fracaso del proceso democratizador de Afganistán da cuenta de la complejidad de someter a un islam que en la Primavera Árabe y a lo largo del norte de África y buena parte de Oriente Próximo ya mostró su integridad y su integrismo para resistir cualquier tensión civilizadora y regresar a la tiranía, a menudo con el concurso de Occidente, con amplia experiencia en buscar aliados entre las teocracias del Golfo y en apoyar regímenes autoritarios que ante la amenaza del terrorismo representan el mal menor, sin otra ética que la del beneficio común y el sosiego compartido. Entenderse con los talibanes mientras los drones apuntan a sus cabecillas quizá resulte más efectivo y rentable -así lo hizo entender Estados Unidos mucho antes de la llegada de Biden- que mantener durante décadas un protectorado insostenible sin ayuda externa, similar al del Sahel. La guerra contra el terror no se desarrolla hoy en Afganistán, sino en París, Londres o Madrid, y son los servicios de inteligencia y las Fuerzas de Seguridad quienes deben librarla sobre el terreno.

El reto al que se enfrenta el mundo libre consiste en asegurar su territorio mientras deja que los centros de producción del terror, de nuevo con patente talibán, recobren su actividad y exporten su violencia. No será fácil. Estados Unidos se repliega, quizá para siempre, y Europa ni siquiera tiene medios para cumplir los estándares que le exige la OTAN para autodefenderse. Quedan China y Rusia para aprovechar cualquier elemento que debilite a Occidente, y un terrorismo islámico al que estamos obligados a combatir de cerca tras renunciar a plantarle cara -nadie quiere guerras, solo victorias- en su propio terreno.
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