Hopefully the Petitions of US Semiconductor Companies Can Wake Up Washington

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 19 July 2023
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Stephanie Pan. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
As rumors that the Biden administration will expand restrictions on chip exports to China continue to swell, opposition against the noise is also growing within the U.S., with American semiconductor companies launching a rarely seen petition movement. On July 17, the chief executive officers of U.S. chip companies such as Intel, Qualcomm and Nvidia met with senior officials, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo, Director of the National Economic Council Lael Brainard and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, to clearly express their opposition to the U.S. government's tightening of export restrictions on chips and semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China. On the same day, the American Semiconductor Industry Association also issued a statement warning that restrictions on chip sales to China may backfire on the U.S. itself.

Since October of last year, when the U.S. government launched what The New York Times called “an act of war” by beginning a chip blockade against China, U.S. semiconductor companies have continually expressed their opposition in various ways. Not only has the U.S. government failed to take their concerns seriously, but it also has continued to escalate the blockade. It is widely rumored that new restrictions will be introduced at the earliest by the end of this month, an upgrade on the export restrictions introduced in October last year. This news has caused dissatisfaction and worry to erupt among American semiconductor companies, with the group using their last window of opportunity to urge the Biden administration not to take this step and to stop enacting more restrictions on chip exports to China. There is little confidence, however, as to whether the White House will listen to their concerns and adopt their changes.

The collective action of those in the U.S. industry was not a coincidence but a sign that the so-called “chip war” has reached a new phase. It is obvious that completely opposing attitudes have emerged between U.S. industry and Washington on the issue of export controls with China. But only one side is right, and it is obvious who is right and who is wrong. The irony and absurdity of the situation is that, other than the excuse of “national security,” the U.S. government claims it launched the chip blockade against China to protect the interests of the domestic semiconductor industry. But whether it has truly protected this sector or harmed it is up to those most affected by the policy to say. Now they have given a definite answer, and they say it hurts.

China has long expected such a result and has repeatedly tried to warn the U.S. China is the largest semiconductor market in the world. Sales of American chip companies in China cannot be replaced by administrative orders from Washington or some subsidies. Crazy restrictions on exports to China will cause difficulties for the development of China's related industries, but at the same time, it will also destroy sources of income for American semiconductor companies, which will only be a detriment to themselves.

As this looks to be a war with no winners, there is also huge conflict over the topic within the Biden administration. It is said that the faction represented by Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen hopes to narrow the scope of the attack as much as possible. Yellen herself has repeatedly stated that the relevant restrictions will be “targeted action” and “would not be broad controls that would affect U.S. investment broadly in China.”

The U.S. Semiconductor Industry Association made clear in its statement that the potential additional restrictions are “overly broad, ambiguous, and at times unilateral” and could weaken the competitiveness of the U.S. semiconductor industry, disrupting supply chains, causing significant market uncertainty and prompting continued escalatory retaliation by China. The China Semiconductor Industry Association also issued a statement on July 19, expressing its attitude toward maintaining the globalization of the semiconductor industry in cooperation with all industry colleagues in countries and regions all over the world. This resonance between the Chinese and American semiconductor industries proves that the industries of the two countries have formed a real system of mutual benefit with win-win results, and that it is not at all the zero-sum competitive relationship that Washington has described.

In the past, there was a popular theory in the U.S. called the “fortress state.” It describes a country in which all decisions were made from the perspective of war and so-called “national security” with market principles and rules and the private sphere all pushed aside. Today’s America looks increasingly like living in this “national security fortress.” This petition movement reflects how the differences and contradictions between the economic interests of the business world and the political thinking of the national strategic elite have already come to the point of direct conflict.

Finally, to emphasize once again, the U.S.' extreme suppression of China may create some troubles and difficulties that will harm the interests of both parties, but it will never weigh down China, nor will it hinder China's development and technological progress. In the end, the price the U.S. will have to pay for this will be extremely high. U.S. chip companies have already seen this clearly, and hopefully this “petition” will wake some people up in Washington.


随着“拜登政府将扩大对华芯片出口限制”的风声越传越紧,美国国内的反对声浪也越来越大,美国半导体企业发起了一轮罕见的“请愿运动”。7月17日,英特尔、高通和英伟达等美国芯片公司首席执行官(CEO)与美国国务卿布林肯、商务部长雷蒙多、白宫国家经济委员会主任布雷纳德、总统国家安全事务助理沙利文等高官会谈,明确表示反对美国政府收紧芯片和半导体制造设备的对华出口管制。同一天,美国半导体行业协会(SIA)也发表声明,警告限制对华销售芯片可能反噬美国自身。

自去年10月,美国政府发起被《纽约时报》称为“一种战争行为”的对华芯片封锁行动至今,美国半导体企业一直在通过各种方式表达反对意见,美国政府不但没有当回事,反而还在不断升级封锁行动。坊间盛传新的限制措施最快将于本月底出台,是对去年10月出口限制措施的一次重大升级,这让美国半导体企业的不满与担忧集中爆发,在最后的“机会之窗”关闭之前“组团”敦促拜登政府不要迈出这一步,停止采取更多对华芯片出口限制措施。但白宫会不会听进去,并予以采纳,人们并没有信心。

美国产业界的联合行动不是偶然的,而是这场所谓的“芯片战争”进行到新阶段的一个标志。显而易见,在对华出口管制问题上,美国产业界与华盛顿之间出现了几乎是完全相反的态度,只能有一个是对的,孰对孰错不言而喻。令人感到讽刺且荒诞的是,美国政府发起对华芯片封锁行动,打出来的旗号除了被滥用的“国家安全”之外,另一个就是声称要保护美国本土半导体产业的利益。到底是“保护”还是伤害,冷暖自知的当事者最有发言权。现在它们给出了确定无疑的回答,是伤害。

这样的结果,中方早就预料到了,并多次告诫美方。中国是全世界最大的半导体市场,美国芯片企业在华的销售,不是华盛顿的行政命令或提供一些补贴就能替代的,近乎疯狂地限制对华出口会给中国相关产业发展造成困难,但同时也在砸美国半导体企业的饭碗和锅,真真正正是损人不利己。

由于这将注定是一场没有赢家的战争,拜登政府内部也存在巨大争议。据称以财政部长耶伦为代表的一派希望尽可能缩小打击范围,耶伦自己也多次对外表示,相关限制措施将是“有针对性的”,“不会是广泛影响美国在华投资的宽泛管制措施”。然而这些表态并未转化成行业内的实际感受。

美国半导体行业协会在声明中明确指出,这些限制“过于宽泛、模棱两可,有时是单方面的”,可能会削弱美国半导体产业的竞争力,扰乱供应链,造成重大的市场不确定性,并引发中国持续升级的报复。中国半导体行业协会7月19日也发表声明,表达与世界各国、各地区一切愿意合作的产业界同仁共同维护半导体产业全球化的态度。这种发生在中美半导体产业间的共鸣,证明了两国产业已形成互利共赢的真实格局,根本不是华盛顿渲染的零和竞争关系。

过去美国有个流行的理论叫“堡垒国家”,就是说这个国家一切都是从战争和所谓的“国家安全”角度来看问题做决策,市场原则和规则、私人领域都被挤到一边。今天的美国越来越像生活在一个“国家安全堡垒”之中。这次“请愿运动”反映出,代表经济利益的企业界,与代表政治思维的国家战略精英的分歧、矛盾已经到了短兵相接的地步。

最后,再强调一遍,美国对中国的极限打压做法,可能会制造一些损害双方利益的麻烦和困难,但决不会压垮中国,最终也不能阻碍中国发展和技术进步,美国为此要付出的代价则是异常高昂的。美国芯片企业对此已经看得明明白白,希望这次的“请愿”能在华盛顿叫醒一些人。
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