Be Conscious about US Adjustments to Strategies

Published in People
(China) on 12 December 2011
by Wu Zhenglong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yipeng Xie. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
In 2011, the U.S. “returned” to Asia with loftiness; its strategic focus has moved to the oriental world. In terms of both depth and range, the U.S.’ global strategy has experienced the most significant changes in the past year. The main characteristics of the adjustments are as follows:

The front line has been shortened; the focus has been emphasized. After the termination of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, the U.S. has moved its strategic focus to the Asia-Pacific area. Even though the U.S. is facing a shrinking national defense budget, the U.S. army plans to enhance its military existence in the Asia-Pacific area. For example, adjustments of strategic powers suggest to gather 60 percent of its attack-capable nuclear submarines in the Asia-Pacific area; the U.S. is enhancing defense cooperation and communication with the Philippines, Vietnam and India; the U.S. also frequently holds military exercises with East and Southeast Asian nations, even building a warship base in Singapore; the U.S. also has a military base in Australia.

The focus has changed; the U.S. knows what to do and what not to do. To make sure that the strategic focus moves east, the U.S. involves its military selectively and partially. The U.S. has discriminatory policies toward different countries (the Middle East chaos is an example). However, the similar characteristic is: The U.S. doesn’t send ground forces to war in order to avoid major interference.

The role has changed; different countries have different responsibilities. The U.S. pushes its alliances to the frontline, but is itself only responsible for coordination and control. In the Libya military action, the U.S. pushed France, the UK and other allies to the front line in order to let them “demonstrate leadership,” but the U.S. itself “stepped back” and served as logistical support. Even in the strategically important Asia-Pacific area, the U.S. still pushes Japan, Australia, Korea and other allies to the front, especially Japan, even letting Japan interfere in the South China Sea issues or promote the “China threat theory” in order to limit China. The U.S. itself tends to serve as the wire-puller, which focuses on “planning,” “organizing” and “controlling.”

The methods are renewed; the U.S. focus more on employing strategies. In order to create conflicts and trigger the anger, which can cause contradictions, defense and suspicions between countries, the U.S. twists the truth, causes alienation between countries and stirs the flames. The U.S. has always been using such so-called “soft” strategies. In this way, every country must show friendliness to the U.S. so it can demonstrate its “leadership” and control every area.

What needs to be pointed out is that these adjustments reflect the U.S.’ decreasing power; it needs to “bargain” for the biggest benefits and the maintenance of its global leading role. The U.S. cannot be the man of his word as it used to, interfering in the affairs of other countries no matter the price. This is the current international political situation. Therefore, we should consciously realize that we shouldn’t “see the trees but ignore the forest”; we should intuit what is happening, smartly socialize and properly face any problems. Under continuous global development and the currently more balanced world powers, any ways of circumscribing China will be finally hindered.

The author is the vice chair of the China National Committee for Pacific Economic Cooperation (CNCPEC).


2011年,美国高调“重返”亚洲,战略重心东移。无论从力度和广度上来说,过去的一年都是美国全球战略调整最突出、最深刻的一年。这一调整的主要特点如下:

  战线收缩,突出重点,兼顾一般。美国在结束伊拉克和阿富汗战争后,在不放弃其他地区的前提下,把战略重点转向亚太。面对削减国防军费的压力,美军一再表示不但不会削弱,还要加强在亚太地区的军事存在。如调整战略力量的部署,把60%的攻击型核潜艇集中在亚太地区;考虑从中东抽调一个航母战斗群,以扩大美海军在东南亚的存在;增强对这个地区的战略投放能力;加强与菲律宾、越南、印度等国的防务合作与交流;频繁与东亚、东南亚国家举行联合军事演习;在新加坡建设战斗舰基地;在澳大利亚部署部队等。

  重点转移,有所为,有所不为。确保战略重点东移,对军事干涉采取有选择的参与、有限度的卷入。以中东动荡为例,美国对不同国家采取区别对待的政策,但有一个共同点,就是避免过多介入,坚持不派地面部队参加作战。

  角色转换,分工负责,各司其职。美国把盟国推到一线打头阵,自己则专司协调指挥,掌握主导权。在对利比亚军事行动中,美国把法英等盟国推到前面当“冲锋”、让其“发挥领导作用”,自己则“退居二线”,担当后援保障;即使在战略重点的亚太地区,美国也是把日本、澳大利亚和韩国等盟国特别是日本推到前面,由日本或插手南海事务,或叫嚣“中国威胁论”,借此牵制中国;而美国自己则更侧重于当幕后推手,专心于 “策划”、“组织”和“指挥”。

  手法翻新,更多注重策略的运用。为了制造矛盾,挑起事端,造成国与国之间互相对立、防范和猜忌,美国在外交中搬弄是非、挑拨离间、煽风点火等所谓的“软”策略的运用更是比比皆是。这样各方都要向美国示好求助,美国便可堂而皇之地发挥“领导作用”,掌握在各地区的主导权。

  需要指出的是,美国此轮战略调整反映了其相对实力衰弱,不得不“精打细算”,以最小投入取得最大战略效益,维护其在世界各地的主导权;美国已经不能像过去那样说一不二,那样不顾一切代价干涉别国的事务。这就是当前国际政治的大局。对此,我们一定要有清醒的认识,不能“只见树木,不见森林”,要从这个大局出发,把握当前周边发生的变化,巧以周旋,妥为应对。在全球化不断深化发展,世界力量对比日益均衡化的当下,任何围堵或遏制中国的做法都是注定要碰壁的。
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