Obama Gets a “C” on His First Presidential Achievement

Published in Wen Wei Po
(Hong Kong) on 18 February 2009
by Yue Yong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Amy Przybyla. Edited by Christie Chu.
The American Congress’ Senate and House have passed Obama’s economic stimulus plan. This is Obama’s first official achievement since his inauguration. With this being the case, shouldn’t we grade him for his achievement? I believe that it should receive a “C” at the most.

A “C” is a passing score, yet it is a very bad grade. I give it this grade because the bill has, after all, been passed. According to conventional opinion, this was a legislative victory for the president (his first). You cannot say he failed, but in order for Obama to get this legislation passed, he may have paid a large price.

In order to evaluate a politician on the success or failure of this kind of matter, an important standard it look at is whether the outcome of the final expenditures have accumulated or been depleted. When Obama was elected president by an overwhelming majority, his reputation and popularity were both very high. He also possessed a similar political advantage. But while trying to pass this piece of legislation he exhausted all political advantage, and his actual ability to obtain these things is limited.

What am I saying? I'm saying that Obama’s popularity depended on providing hope for everyone. Obama is regarded as a young, new politician, able to cross political parties to avoid party dissatisfaction. Many state Republican Party members have shown support for him, and a number of moderate Republicans and a number of Independents both support him. His public support is widespread, which gave Obama a good opportunity to carry out his new policies. It is too bad he wasted such an excellent advantage.

Facing the unprecedented economic stimulus bill, he did not preside over the drafting, but actually let the Democratic Party members in the House of Representatives control the drafting process. This is just the beginning of Obama losing his presidential credit.

First, the House of Representatives does not have his authority and popularity. The House of Representatives is lower in the opinion poll than even Bush, making it difficult to earn the trust of the people. Second, the House of Representatives is a divided political institution. 435 congressmen respectively represent their small electoral districts; all of them are fighting for their own voters’ benefits. Since they’ve been told that the government must spend more than 800 billion U.S. dollars in order to stimulate the economy, naturally they all want to have the money represent their own vested interests as much as possible.

Obama’s popular election was originally taken as fate. He should have bravely used that "fate," under own his personal supervision, to integrate the two parties' opinions and draft a clean bill. This so-called “clean bill” would forbid any special interest group opinions and spend money in key places. After all, this is fundamentally the most expensive bill in American history, and its effects are unknown, so why wouldn’t he be cautious? Moreover, during his campaign he made a clear promise: to take the federal budget, look through it page by page, and cut all wasteful spending of the taxpayers' money.

The result? He let the Democrats in the House of Representatives take over, and the final bill proposed some 3 million U.S. dollars in golf cart funding, 1.65 billion dollars for federal government building maintenance, and so on. The Democratic tradition of wasteful spending has reappeared once again. Obama promised to bring about change in Washington, but so far there hasn't been any sign of that.

The Republican Party, even without a leader, suddenly found a consensus and stood up in opposition to the bill. During the House of Representatives vote, there was not one vote in support from a Republican Party member. When it arrived in the Senate, there were three moderate Republicans who were willing to consider it, but only on condition that the proposed bill be cut substantially. This resulted in the bill being much smaller than its original scale.

Finally, in order to gain Senate approval, Obama had no choice but to send for a special plane to pick up a Democratic senator who was busy with his mother’s funeral arrangements so that he could take part in this urgent decision. Even with this senator, Obama’s bill only received 60 votes. If his private plane had been unable to fly due to weather, the bill would not have passed.

Obama’s presidential election campaign opponent, Republican Party member John McCain, said that this bill was “stealing from the next generation,” freely spending the money of children and grandchildren who are not even born.

Obama was prepared to nominate Republican senator Greg Judd as secretary of commerce, but the senator immediately withdrew. He said that the Obama administration’s ideology of government would be difficult to accommodate. The inauguration ball is over, and Washington has returned to its old two party politics.

Not long ago I pointed out Obama’s came to power with an anti-left mission. This time he was elected by a majority vote, and the left wing claims credit for it. Not only trade unions, but artists have also bragged about their contribution to his election. Because the support for Obama is so widespread, he does not depend on any special interest group and can establish cross-party relations.

What worries me, though, is that because Obama is a junior member of the party and many senior Democrats support him, and also because his qualifications and records of service are not extensive, he can be easily controlled when it comes to decision-making (unlike Hillary). After analyzing his political standpoints and first trial run, he has not broken away from the traditional influence and control of the Democratic Party. Even with his rhetoric about hope and a new starting point, he hasn’t actually implemented these policies.

It appears that while the difficultly presiding over the White House is still exceeding his expectations, Obama is fully ready, though he is still in the political practice stages. His first broad stroke, with great difficultly, has actually chopped wood, but the axe edge is blunt. The loss of his political capital is major. If the economic situation does not turn around, the Republican Party will rush in and portray him as a spendthrift and economy-destroying traditional Democrat. It is evident that Obama has not had a good beginning.


(The author is a Suffolk University Assistant Professor)


奥巴马的首个政绩只能打C

2009-2-18 3:52:13
东方早报美国特约撰稿人 薛涌 来源:东方早报 编辑:刘景

核心提示:美国国会参众两院通过了奥巴马的刺激经济计划。奥巴马上任后的第一个政绩也由此诞生。那么,应该给这一政绩打多少分呢?我看最多只能打C。

蒋立冬 绘

  美国国会参众两院通过了奥巴马的刺激经济计划。奥巴马上任后的第一个政绩也由此诞生。那么,应该给这一政绩打多少分呢?我看最多只能打C。

  C是个及格成绩,却是个糟糕的成绩。说及格,是因为法案毕竟通过了。按常规的说法,这属于总统的一个(也是奥巴马的第一个)立法胜利。你不能说他不及格。但是,奥巴马为了通过这一法案,付出的代价可不小。

  评价一个政治家在一件事情上的成败,重要的标准是看他究竟是消耗了自己的政治资本还是积累了政治资本。奥巴马以压倒多数当选总统,声誉和人气都非常高,有着非同寻常的政治资本。但是,在这一立法上,他消耗了自己的政治资本,所获得的东西却非常有限。

  此话怎么讲呢?奥巴马的人气在于他为大家提供了“希望”。他作为年轻、“外来”的新政治家,具有跨越党派的魅力,能够跳出过去两党的恶斗。许多共和党的州都倒向他,一些温和的共和党人士和大量中间派人士都支持他,其民意基础非常广泛。这给奥巴马推行新政提供了良好的机会,可惜,他浪费了这样的大好形势。面对前所未有的天价刺激经济法案,他竟没有自己主持,而是让众议院的民主党人控制了制定过程。这就是他失分的开始。

  首先,众议院并不具有他的权威和人气。众议院在民调中的支持率比布什还低,难以取信于民。第二,众议院是个分肥政治的机器。435位议员各自代表自己的小选区,都要为自己的选民争利益。一旦听说政府要花八千多亿美元刺激经济,自然都要尽可能地把这些钱往自己所代表的既得利益中来揽。

  奥巴马高票当选,本来是“秉承天命”。他应该做的,是勇敢地运用这一“天命”,在自己的严格督导下,综合两党意见,起草一个“干净”的法案。所谓“干净”,就是严禁利益集团夹带私货,而要把钱花在关键的地方。毕竟,这基本上是美国历史上价码最高的法案,效果如何还不得而知,怎么能不战战兢兢?况且,他竞选时明确许诺:他要让手下人拿着政府的预算,一项一项地过目,砍掉任何浪费纳税人钱的开支。

  结果呢?他让众议院民主党人接手,最后法案中竟有300万美元高尔夫球车的经费,16.5亿维修联邦政府建筑的费用等等。大手大脚花钱的传统民主党形象又一次浮现出来,奥巴马许诺给华盛顿带来的新气象却踪影全无。

  这样一来,群龙无首的共和党人突然找到了认同,一致起来反对。在众议院表决时,共和党人一张支持票也没有。到了参议院,只有三名温和共和党人愿意考虑,不过条件是必须将法案大大删砍,结果使这一议案比原来的规模小得多。最后参议院通过时,奥巴马不得不派专机把正在参加老母葬礼的一位民主党参议员紧急接回,这才凑足了六十张票。如果专机因天气原因无法起飞,这一法案就泡了汤。

  奥巴马大选时的共和党对手麦凯恩称这一法案是“代际偷盗”,是在挥霍还没有发言权的儿孙们的钱。奥巴马准备提名的共和党的商务部长Judd Gregg参议员也立即公开收回自己的候选身份,称自己的意识形态和奥巴马政府实在难以共容。就职典礼的舞会刚刚散场,华盛顿就又回到了两党政治的旧套路中。

  我不久前指出,奥巴马上台的首要任务是反左。这次他高票当选,左派居功自恃,纷纷前来领赏。不仅是工会,就连艺术家们也前来表功,不过,也正是因为奥巴马的支持力量来源广泛,他本可以不依靠任何一个利益集团,确立跨党派的感召力。我最担心的是,奥巴马在党内属于小字辈,许多资深望重的民主党人支持他,也是因为他资历浅,好控制一些,不像希拉里那样可以独往独来。从他为政这第一个考验看,他远没有摆脱民主党传统势力的控制。他的“希望”、“新起点”等等,更多的是辞藻,而没有能落实到政策上。

  现在看来,主持白宫的难度还是出乎意料,奥巴马虽然准备充分,但仍然处于政治实习的阶段上。他这第一板斧,虽然勉强砍断了木头,但斧刃钝卷,政治资本赔进去不少。如果经济形势不能如愿回转,共和党就会一拥而上,把他描绘成一个乱花钱、摧毁经济的传统民主党人。可见,奥巴马并没有一个好的开端。

  (作者系美国萨福克大学助理教授)



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