In Afghanistan, America is Faced With a Difficult Choice

Published in The People's Daily
(China) on 12 October 2009
by Wen Xian (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Dan Stein. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
According to American media reports, the U.S. military’s highest commanding officer stationed in Afghanistan, General Stanley McChrystal, recently delivered a request to the White House to deploy at least 40,000 more troops to Afghanistan. The U.S. has been embroiled in this war for eight years, and now the focus is on whether or not they should continue to send more troops. It seems that, despite Obama’s new strategy in Afghanistan and Pakistan, the war has entered a phase of serious consequences no matter what happens.

On March 27, Obama announced the new strategy, saying, “I want the American people to understand that we have a clear and focused goal: to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al Qaeda in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and to prevent their return to either country in the future.” This incorporates ideas about how “the future of Afghanistan is inextricably linked to the future of its neighbor, Pakistan,” that “America must no longer deny resources to Afghanistan because of the war in Iraq,” and that “a campaign against extremism will not succeed with bullets and bombs alone.” However, half a year has past and this strategy has not only been unable to produce immediate results, but the situation in Afghanistan is becoming even more dire.

In reality, after eight years of war, America is increasingly recognizing the inherent complexity of the situation in Afghanistan. Not long ago, General McChrystal expressed skepticism about the probability of success with the new strategy. He said that if Afghanistan had ten Taliban fighters and two were killed, it might give rise to twenty because the relatives of the fighters would seek revenge. After recognizing how complex the Afghan problem is, McChrystal said America needs to have a more humble attitude. The change in attitude of high ranking American military officials is thought provoking.

With America still trying to get out of an economic slump, a military offensive in Afghanistan does not seem like a good idea. There will be more injuries and deaths, a loss in military morale and the war will be prolonged even more, with no real prospect of success. In the U.S., anti-war sentiment, media commentary on the potential end of the American Empire and strong Republican criticism of the President are increasing every day. Add the Afghan presidential election fraud to all of this, along with questions about the the Afghan government’s legitimacy and America’s ability to cooperate with this government, and you can see the challenges that lie ahead. McChrystal and others who advocate the troop surge have brought an internal rift between the military and the U.S. government to light. Essentially, this embodies the debate that exists within American society itself about how to move forward in Afghanistan.

The war in Afghanistan has become a huge political test for the new administration. Only one third of the American public supports a troop surge in Afghanistan, but this is exactly what McChrystal and other high ranking military officials are pushing for. Indeed, the U.S. government is now faced with a very difficult choice.


据美国媒体报道,驻阿富汗美军最高指挥官麦克里斯特尔最近在送交白宫的一份申请中,希望最少再向阿增兵4万人。在美国发动阿富汗战争8年后的今天,以是否继续向阿富汗增兵为焦点,奥巴马政府的阿富汗、巴基斯坦新战略陷入进退两难的困局。

   今年3月27日,奥巴马在宣布新战略时说,其“明确而具体的目标”是“破坏、瓦解并击败在巴基斯坦和阿富汗的‘基地’组织,并且绝不让他们今后在这两个 国家重新立足”。这体现出“阿富汗的前途与其邻国巴基斯坦的前途密切相关”、“美国再也不能因伊拉克的战事而不向阿富汗提供资源”、“战胜极端主义不能单 凭武器弹药”等新思路。然而,半年多来的事实表明,该战略不仅未能取得立竿见影的成效,阿富汗局势反而愈发复杂和严峻。

  事实上,在经 历了8年战争之后,美国日益认识到阿富汗问题内在的复杂性。不久前,麦克里斯特尔公开对新战略成功的可能性表示质疑。他比喻说,如果阿富汗有10个塔利班 成员,杀了两个,其结果或许会增至20个,因为被杀两人的亲属要聚众复仇。在认识到阿富汗问题的复杂性后,麦克里斯特尔认为,美国在阿富汗问题上的态度应 是“谦卑”。美军将领态度的变化,可谓耐人寻味。

  在美国仍在尽力摆脱经济衰退的背景下,阿富汗战场攻势不利、伤亡增多、军心不稳等消 息令美国民众对不断拖延的阿富汗战争焦躁不安,反战情绪日趋强烈,美国媒体中关于“帝国坟墓”、“战争泥潭”之类的议论和共和党人的批评也日益增多。加之 阿富汗总统选举舞弊证据的不断披露,未来阿富汗政府的合法性及美国与之合作的合理性已经受到质疑。麦克里斯特尔等所主张的继续向阿富汗增兵的要求,异乎寻 常地导致美国政府、军方内部分歧表面化,实质上也是美国社会在阿富汗问题上立场尖锐冲突的集中体现。

  阿富汗问题成为对美国现任政府严峻的政治考验。在军队将领要求增兵而支持增兵的民众不到1/3的情形下,美国政府面临艰难的抉择。
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