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While the Americans are expected to adhere to the terms of the two-week truce, the other two parties are less likely to do so.
0Trump’s messaging on Iran has been widely considered to be incoherent[.]
0[T]he greatest variable in the market is no longer just interest rates or oil prices, but politics itself.
0Trump’s messaging on Iran has been widely considered to be incoherent[.]
0Security summits that exclude those most affected and prioritize ideology over pragmatism don’t produce lasting results – they produce photo ops.
0A negotiated deal remains possible. Both sides will have to make compromises but that route must be explored extensively.
Ninety percent of his MAGA base backs the war, and that is all he needs.
[T]he fact that Donald Trump does not do ideology is problematic.
Washington now faces choices: proceed with the deal and adjust its conception of alliances in the region or succumb to legislative stagnation and reject or downgrade the deal.
The new landscape consolidates Riyadh’s position as a regional power.
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