Mexico’s GDP Possibly 400 Percent Larger If Not For …

Published in DINERO EN IMAGEN
(Mexico) on 2 February 2015
by Marco Antonio Gómez Lovera (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Bryce Bray. Edited by Bora Mici.
On Feb. 2, 1848, Mexico and the United States signed the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, in which our country ceded more than half its territory at the time.

What are now the states of California, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico, as well as a part of Arizona, Colorado, Wyoming, Kansas and Oklahoma passed into the hands the United States, while Mexico received $15 million at the time as compensation for the Mexican-American War — the “U.S. Intervention in Mexico,” to Mexicans — which had spread through the country since 1846.

Losing these states could have been an economic blow to the Mexico of the future, as the gross domestic product of these states totals $4.7 trillion, nearly 28 percent of the U.S. GDP.

If these states had remained in Mexican hands, the GDP of our country in 2013 might have been a bit more than $6 trillion, as compared to the $1.6 trillion that was produced.

However, it must be mentioned that there is no guarantee that Mexico would have taken advantage of these states’ resources in the same way.

One of the reasons why Mexico so easily lost the territory was its inability to defend it because it did not have a large population or adequate financial resources. The population that spread into the North did so thanks to the sale of land at a low price to foreigners who were willing to become Mexican.

On the other hand, the U.S. had resources and a huge interest in expansion, which motivated it to exploit its new territories to the maximum.

Without the treaty, Mexico probably would have taken on more debt to keep fighting against the United States, which may have harmed the government’s finances. This would have further impaired the country’s ability to develop, and those territories might have been squandered.


CIUDAD DE MÉXICO.- El 2 de febrero de 1848, México y Estados Unidos firmaron el Tratado de Guadalupe Hidalgo, en el que nuestro país cedió más de la mitad del territorio que tenía en ese entonces.

Lo que hoy son los estados de California, Utah, Nevada, Nuevo México y Texas, así como una parte de Arizona, Colorado, Wyoming, Kansas y Oklahoma pasaron a manos estadounidenses. Mientras que México recibió 15 millones de dólares de ese entonces como compensación de la Guerra de Intervención que se extendió en el país desde 1846.

Haber perdido estos estados pudo ser un golpe económico para México a futuro, pues el Producto Estatal Bruto de estos estados suma 4.7 billones de dólares, alrededor del 28% del PIB de Estados Unidos.

Si estos estados hubieran seguido en manos mexicanas, el PIB de nuestro país en 2013 hubiera sido de poco más de 6 billones de dólares, frente a los 1.6 billones que se produjeron.

Sin embargo, hay que mencionar que no hay garantía de que México se hubiera beneficiado de igual manera de los recursos de estos estados.

Una de las razones por las que México perdió tan fácilmente el territorio fue su incapacidad por defenderlo, debido a que no tenía una gran población y tampoco recursos monetarios suficientes. La población que se había extendido en el norte fue gracias a la venta de terrenos a bajo precio a extranjeros que estaban dispuestos a nacionalizarse mexicanos.

Por otra parte, Estados Unidos tenía recursos y un gran interés expansionista, lo que le dio incentivos para explotar al máximo sus nuevos territorios.

De no haberse dado el Tratado, México probablemente se hubiera endeudado más para mantener la lucha contra Estados Unidos, lo que hubiera deteriorado las finanzas del gobierno. Esto hubiera generado una mayor inhabilidad para desarrollar al país y esos territorios hubieran sido desaprovechados.
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