Creating a Kurdish State Is in US Interest

Published in Libertad Digital
(Spain) on 30 August 2015
by Max Boot (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Álvaro Rodríguez. Edited by Wendalyn Tran .
Another victim of the unsteady situation in Iraq: the agreement made between the Kurds and Baghdad last December by which the Kurdistan Regional Government suspended its one-sided sale of oil.

As cited in the Financial Times, “The federal government withheld payments to Erbil soon after the deal began due to its own budget crisis, while accusing the Kurds of not transferring the agreed volumes of oil.”

Given this situation, the KRG is selling its oil abroad without Iraq’s State Organization for Marketing of Oil. According to the Financial Times, "Since May, the Kurds have taken matters into their own hands and sold almost 40 million barrels of oil to traders via the Turkish port of Ceyha." Interestingly enough, it seems that most of this oil is being sold to Israel, which apparently is taking three-fourths of its oil from the pro-Israel Kurds.

Meanwhile, in the north of Syria, the Kurdish militia known as the People's Protection Units (YPG), which is affiliated with the Turkish terrorist organization known as the Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK), is attacking Islamic State territories. Actually, this 35,000-fighter organization, with the assistance of U.S. air strikes, is the only one that has managed to make the Islamic State group retreat. These victories are happening as the frequency of the attacks by the PKK in Turkey is increasing, which has worried Recep Tayyip Erdogan so much that he has commanded the Turkish air force to bomb the north of Syria. While the apparent objective would be ISIS, it seems that he is keeping firepower for the PKK and its affiliates.

These events are of great importance. You can almost hear the tectonic plates moving in the region. It seems that the Kurds, who are by far the largest ethnic group without a state of its own (around 30 million people), have almost achieved their goal of self-government, if not independence.

In fact, the KRG is a virtual sovereign state within the empty shell known as Iraq. The YPG is fighting to achieve a state of its own in the north of Syria. Both states could join together to create a de facto Kurdish state in the north of Iraq and Syria without much effort.

Naturally, the main obstacles remain: the Turks, the Iranians (where some Kurds live), and the Arabs in Syria and Iraq. They will not support the Kurdish state. However, the Iraqi and Syrian states have virtually stopped working, which makes their opposition less relevant than ever before.

It's unlikely that Syria and Iraq will reconstitute themselves as they were before. After all, those states were recreated not long ago in the agreements made between the U.K. and France after World War I. Who can guarantee that the Levant and Mesopotamia will not join together to create a Kurdish State?

Despite American support to the current borders in the world, it's hard to understand why we should practice stagnation. The Kurds are more secular and hold a more pro-West position than any other group in the region, other than Christians in Libya and naturally, Israeli Jews. They're far from perfect (particularly the PKK, which is a Marxist terrorist group), but given the current situation, they appear to be a more favorable alternative than any other. Let's not forget the spread of the Sunni and Shia jihadism in the region. This doesn't necessarily mean that the U.S. should make the establishment of the Kurdish state its priority, but we should think about our view on such an issue.


La continua inestabilidad que padece Irak se ha cobrado otra víctima: el acuerdo del pasado diciembre entre los kurdos y Bagdad, que llevó al Gobierno regional kurdo (GRK) a suspender sus ventas unilaterales de petróleo.

El Financial Times informa:

El Gobierno federal suspendió los pagos a Irbil al poco de firmarse el acuerdo debido a la crisis presupuestaria, al tiempo que acusaba a los kurdos de no transferir las cantidades acordadas.

Así las cosas, el GRK ha empezado a vender el crudo en el extranjero sin pasar por la Organización Estatal para la Comercialización del Petróleo. "Desde mayo", refiere el FT, "los kurdos han vendido al menos 40 millones de barriles a los intermediarios a través del puerto turco de Ceyhan". (Dato interesante: la mayoría de ese crudo parece estar yendo a parar a Israel, que, según se dice, ahora obtiene tres cuartas partes de su petróleo de los proisraelíes kurdos).

Mientras, en el norte de Siria, la milicia kurda denominada Unidades de Protección Popular (YPG), afiliada a la organización terrorista turca Partido de los Trabajadores del Kurdistán (PKK), está haciendo incursiones en territorio del ISIS. De hecho, con sus 35.000 combatientes, es el único grupo que ha tenido éxito en hacer retroceder al ISIS, con la ayuda del poderío aéreo norteamericano. Sus victorias se producen al tiempo que el PKK ha incrementado sus ataques en Turquía, alarmando a Recep Tayyip Erdogan al punto de que ha ordenado a la aviación turca el bombardeo de posiciones en el norte de Siria. Su aparente objetivo es el ISIS, pero parece que está reservando el grueso de su potencia de fuego para el PKK y sus afiliados.

Lo que está pasando es de gran importancia. Casi se puede oír cómo se mueven las placas tectónicas de la región. Los kurdos, de largo el mayor grupo étnico sin Estado propio (son en torno a 30 millones de personas), parecen a punto de lograr su anhelado objetivo de la autonomía, por no decir la independencia.

El GRK es de hecho un virtual Estado soberano en ese cascarón vacío que es Irak. Ahora, el YPG pugna por lograr el suyo en el norte de Siria. No hará falta un gran esfuerzo para unir los dos enclaves y crear un Estado kurdo de facto en el norte de Irak y Siria.

Por supuesto, los obstáculos principales siguen ahí: no sólo los turcos y los iraníes (que tienen sustanciales minorías kurdas), también los árabes de Siria e Irak. No van a apoyar el Estado kurdo. Pero los Estados iraquí y sirio virtualmente han dejado de funcionar, lo que convierte su oposición en menos relevante que nunca.

Ni Siria ni Irak es probable que vayan a reconstituirse en sus antiguas formas, que de todas maneras se remontan sólo a los acuerdos posteriores a la Primera Guerra Mundial establecidos por el Reino Unido y Francia. ¿Quién dice que un futuro realineamiento de Mesopotamia y el Levante no resulte en la creación de un Estado kurdo?

Pese al apoyo norteamericano a las fronteras actualmente existentes en todo el mundo, cuesta concebir por qué íbamos a practicar el inmovilismo. Los kurdos son más seculares y prooccidentales que cualquier otro grupo de la región, aparte de los cristianos del Líbano y, por supuesto, los judíos de Israel. Distan de ser perfectos –el PKK, en particular, es un grupo terrorista de ideología marxista–, pero en este momento ofrecen una perspectiva preferible a cualquier otra, estando como están ahí el yihadismo suní y el chií. Esto no quiere decir que EEUU deba hacer del establecimiento de un Estado kurdo un objetivo prioritario, pero debemos repensar nuestra posición al respecto.
- Seguir leyendo: http://www.libertaddigital.com/opinion/max-boot/a-eeuu-le-interesa-que-haya-un-estado-kurdo-76525/
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Austria: Trump’s Film Tariffs Hurt Hollywood

Japan: Trump’s 100 Days: A Future with No Visible Change So Far

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Topics

Canada: The Walls Are Closing in on Donald Trump’s Ramblings

   

Austria: Trump’s Film Tariffs Hurt Hollywood

Japan: Trump’s 100 Days: A Future with No Visible Change So Far

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Related Articles

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Palestine: US vs. Ansarallah: Will Trump Launch a Ground War in Yemen for Israel?

Israel: Trump Successfully Weakens the Dollar and Creates Danger for the US Economy

Pakistan: Much Hinges on Iran-US Talks

Zimbabwe: Egypt’s Plan for the Reconstruction of Gaza