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Trump’s Battle for 2024

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Published in La Razón
(Spain) on 1 August 2022
by Alejandro G. Motta (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Stephen Routledge. Edited by Wes Vanderburgh.
Donald Trump has officially announced his intention to run for reelection as president of the United States. He has done so during an economic crisis and on the brink of a possible recession, precisely the two biggest factors motivating Republicans to prefer him as their standard bearer in 2024.

According to several polls, neither Joe Biden nor Trump commands 40% of the popular vote. However, a study by The New York Times revealed that among only Republicans, Trump polls at 49% over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to be that party's candidate.

On the one hand, the former president's great advantage over the governor reflects the phenomenon of polarization and the priority that Americans give to the economy. In that sense, we should not forget that before the pandemic, the Trump administration' successfully managed the economy, ultimately providing political capital that the magnate and former president would be able to take advantage of.

On the other hand, support for Biden and his administration continues to decline. According to The Economist, only 18% of Americans believe that the country is on the right track. In this context, the lack of optimism regarding the current administration and anxiety about the economic numbers serve to give Trump's candidacy an important boost.

Increasingly determined, and with his characteristically confrontational style, Trump is taking firm steps to return to the White House. The race for the presidency has already begun.


Donald Trump ha oficializado su intención de reelegirse como Presidente de los Estados Unidos. Lo ha hecho en medio de una crisis económica y a las puertas de una posible recesión en su país. Estos son, precisamente, los dos factores que más estimulan sus preferencias entre los republicanos para convertirse en el abanderado de 2024.

Según varias encuestas ni Joe Biden ni Donald Trump alcanzan el 40% de apoyo popular. Sin embargo, un estudio del “The New York Times” reveló que «solo entre republicanos», Trump obtiene el 49% de preferencia por encima del gobernador de la Florida, Ron DeSantis para ser el candidato por ese partido.

La gran ventaja del expresidente por encima del gobernador es un reflejo del fenómeno de la polarización, por un lado, y de la prioridad que los norteamericanos le dan a la economía. No hay que olvidar, en ese sentido, que antes de la pandemia la gestión de lo económico por parte de la administración Trump fue exitosa; eso en última instancia, resulta un capital político que el magnate expresidente estaría aprovechando.

Por otro lado, los números de apoyo hacia el gobierno de Joe Biden siguen en descenso. Según “The Economist”, apenas el 18% de los estadounidenses considera que el país va por buen camino. En ese marco, la falta de optimismo en la actual Administración y la ansiedad por los números económicos le están sirviendo la mesa a Trump para que su candidatura tome un impulso importante.
Cada vez más decidido y con el estilo confrontativo que lo caracteriza, Donald Trump va dando pasos seguros para volver a la Casa Blanca. La carrera por la presidencia en los Estados Unidos ya comenzó.

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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