Biden and Sanders Alone Are Left

Published in El Periódico
(Spain) on 4 March 2020
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Marta Quirós Alarcón. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
There is still a long way to go, but the regrouping of the moderate vote has turned out in favor of the former vice president.

Super Tuesday has resolved the crisis of trust in Joe Biden’s candidacy, and has reduced the brawl for the Democratic presidential nomination to a race between him and Social Democrat Bernie Sanders, which could still go on for a long time. Everything suggests that, by the end of the vote count, the former vice president will have completed his overtaking maneuver. Biden, a favorite of the Democratic Party establishment, has successfully capitalized on the memory of the Obama administration, missed by various minorities – particularly African Americans – who are increasingly decisive on election days. Contenders who want to challenge Donald Trump still have a long way to go, but Biden’s victories in Texas and Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren’s home state, are too significant not to acknowledge that there has been a noteworthy shift in the atmosphere of the primary race.

Biden’s combination of experience, seniority and moderation have benefited him to the same degree as youth mobilization, the Hispanic community, and the openly progressive electorate have now proven insufficient to counter the Democratic Party staff, the major media outlets and financial gurus that favor Biden. Nothing is yet decided, but the former vice president’s pragmatism, his preference for gradual change and his personal ascendancy in the South have turned out to be crucial in seeking victory at the convention this summer.

It is perhaps far-fetched to claim, as some media outlets thrilled with Biden’s results have done, that the candidate’s success is unprecedented. However, there is no doubt that Sanders’ campaign strategists expected a more balanced result, not just a major triumph in California. But the withdrawals of moderates Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar from the race have eradicated the fragmentation of the centrist vote and cleared the way for the person who prides himself as a pragmatic reformer. All that remains for Biden now is to pass the test Hillary Clinton failed to pass four years ago: attract voters from states that are far from the great circuits of power and from the most economically dynamic sectors, and who saw Trump, and can see Sanders, too, as somebody who has come to their rescue.

Michael Bloomberg’s debacle and his subsequent withdrawal from the race could be another factor that will help Biden to continue regrouping the centrist vote in undecided, swing states. However, it also is good news for the health of the democratic system that someone who seemed tempted to tackle Trump on his terms – exploiting the idea that a person who knows how to amass a great fortune is in a better position to create a better future and wrapping that idea in a populism that simplifies social issues as much as possible – has been shown that, for once, money is not everything, and that a huge publicity campaign guarantees nothing if it conveys that it is just marketing. Biden and Sanders’ success, which benefited from substantial but more limited resources, attests to this.


Biden y Sanders se quedan solos

Queda aún mucho camino por recorrer, pero la reagrupación del voto moderado ha pasado a favorecer al exvicepresidente

El 'supermartes' ha zanjado la crisis de confianza en la candidatura de Joe Biden y ha limitado la brega para la nominación demócrata a una carrera, que aún puede ser larga, entre él y el socialdemócrata Bernie Sanders. Todo indica que con el recuento de votos acabado se habrá consumado el 'sorpasso' del exvicepresidente, favorito del 'establishment' del Partido Demócrata y que ha sabido explotar el recuerdo de la Administración de Barack Obama, añorada por diferentes minorías –singularmente la afroamericana–, cada vez más determinantes en las citas electorales. Queda aún mucho camino por recorrer a los aspirantes a enfrentarse a Donald Trump, pero las victorias de Biden en Texas y Massachusetts, el estado de Elizabeth Warren, son demasiado relevantes como para no reconocer que se ha registrado un cambio significativo en la atmósfera de las primarias.

La combinación de experiencia, veteranía y moderación han beneficiado a Biden en la misma medida que la movilización de los jóvenes, la comunidad hispana y el electorado abiertamente progresista ha sido en esta ocasión insuficiente para contrarrestar la implicación del 'staff' demócrata, los grandes medios y los gurús económicos en apoyo de Biden. Nada está decidido, pero el pragmatismo del exvicepresidente, su opción por los cambios graduales y su ascendente personal en el sur se han revelado decisivos para ir a por la victoria en la convención del próximo verano.

Quizá sea exagerado afirmar, como hacen algunos medios entusiasmados con los resultados de Biden, que el éxito del candidato no tiene precedentes, aunque es indudable que los estrategas de la campaña de Sanders esperaban un resultado más equilibrado y no solo un gran triunfo en California. Pero la retirada de la competición de Pete Buttigieg y Amy Klobuchar, dos moderados, ha acabado con la dispersión del voto centrista y ha despejado el camino a quien presume de ser un reformista pragmático. A Biden le queda ahora por superar la prueba que Hillary Clinton no supo afrontar hace cuatro años: atraer a votantes de estados alejados de los grandes circuitos del poder y de los sectores más dinámicos de la economía y que vieron en Donald Trump, y podrían ver a Sanders, como alguien que acudía a rescatarlos.

El batacazo y la consiguiente renuncia de Michael Bloomberg puede ser un factor más que ayude a Biden a seguir reagrupando al voto centrista en los estados indecisos, los 'swing states'. Pero además es una buena noticia para la salud de un sistema democrático que quien parecía tentado a fajarse con Trump en sus mismos términos –explotar la idea de que quien supo amasar una gran fortuna está en mejores condiciones de despejarles el futuro y envolverla en un populismo que simplifica al máximo los problemas sociales– haya comprobado, por una vez, que el dinero no lo es todo y que una gran campaña publicitaria no es garantía de nada si transmite la sensación de que es solo márketing. Los éxitos de Biden y Sanders, con medios importantes, pero más limitados, así lo atestiguan.
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