The G-8 Failed; Will the G-20 Succeed?

Published in Sina
(China) on 27 September 2009
by Ma Yida (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Guangyong Liang. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
During the Pittsburgh summit, G-20 leaders decided that the G-20 will officially replace the G-8 and become the main framework for global economic discussion. As the framework for the topic on global economy expands, the G-20 promises to contribute more to the global economy. However, the increase in scale does not mean that the difficulties we are facing will decrease.

A New Way to Harmonize the Global Economy?

The leaders of the G-20 have held three summits within one year, claiming that a new way to harmonize the global economy is necessary for the 21st century, and suggest replacing the narrow G-7 or G-8 group, which has controlled economic policies for the last 30 years. Moving forward, the G-20 group will issue orders. Some media sources say that the old economies of the United States, Japan, Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Canada and Russia, which only recently joined, will be replaced by rapidly growing economies like China, Brazil and India.

The leaders of these old economies highly praise the expansion of the group. The British Prime Minister says that the new group will "become the main economic organization in charge of global economic management." U.S. President Obama has always been in charge of the relay and harmony between the old and new groups, saying that "we can no longer use the way of the 20th century to deal with the challenges of the 21st century."

However, the U.S. media thinks that the G-20's achievement during the Pittsburgh summit is not much different than those mixed proposals, which lacked details, of the G-8 in past years.

Pittsburgh's Pity

During this meeting, France and Germany called for legislature to punish greedy bankers, but the U.S. objected to this. The result of the meeting is that although there are proposals calling for the supervisory side of banks to do their duties and link the business' performance to salaries and rewards, this has no restraining force at all. Many people are disappointed by this.

The Pittsburgh summit also has many deficiencies. On one hand, we can at least say that these countries agree to negotiate on difficult problems, but they have been arguing about these problems for many years. For example, the G-20 agrees to balance voting rights between developed countries and developing countries, but to also leave the tough decisions to be made at a later time.

"It Makes No Sense to Exclude China"

In addition, some diplomatic language does not match the facts. During this meeting, the countries that compose the G-20 promised to resist any behavior of trade protectionism during this difficult time. They also hoped to avoid opposing trade revenge like the Great Depression in the 1930s. However, last week the Obama administration declared a punitive tariff on tires imported from China.

However, U.S. media believe that G-20 can give more than the G-7 was able to in the past even though all efforts have, so far, failed. This is because the right people sit at a negotiation table and negotiate strategic decisions together. It makes no sense to exclude China during the process of make strategic decisions. Now, China is the world's third largest economy and, moreover, Brazil and India's economic development is rapid.

It took Russia many years to overcome the obstacles to joining the exclusive G-7 group. President Medvedev has a philosophical opinion about the expansion of the group. He says that no matter how big this administrative group becomes, every country must be alert of its exclusion. "In this world, there are not only 20 countries and 20 economies. Therefore, we all have to think about how the G-20 can collaborate with those countries that do not belong to this club," Medvedev told journalists during the summit in Pittsburgh.


  此次匹兹堡峰会上,G20领导人决定,G20将正式取代G8成为讨论全球经济的主要架构。随着处理世界经济议题的这一框架扩大,它承诺对全球经济做出更多贡献。但是,规模变大并不意味着面临的困难会减少。

  协调全球经济新方式?

  G20的领导人,在不到一年的时间里举行了三次峰会,他们宣称在21世纪需要一种协调全球经济的全新方式,取代在过去30年里统治经济政策的狭小的G7或G8集团。继续向前吧,G20集团将会发号施令。有媒体称这意味着旧的经济体,美国、日本、德国、法国、英国、意大利、加拿大和早前加入的俄罗斯,将被快速增长的经济体如中国、巴西和印度取代。

  这些旧有国家的领导人对于集团的扩大大加赞赏。英国首相布朗说,新集团将会“成为负责全世界经济管理的主要经济组织”。美国总统奥巴马一直负责新旧集团的交接和协调,他说,“我们不能再用20世纪的方式应对21世纪的挑战。”

  不过,美国媒体认为,G20此次在匹兹堡峰会上取得的成果,与过去多年来G8集团所达成的那些“鱼龙混杂”的提议看似大同小异,缺乏具体细节。

  匹兹堡的遗憾

  此次会议上,法德呼吁立法惩罚那些贪婪的银行家,但这遭到了美国的反对。会议的结果是:虽然有提议呼吁银行监管方尽心尽职,将行业的表现与薪酬挂钩,但是这并不具备任何约束力。这让很多人倍感失望。

  这次匹兹堡峰会还有很多缺失和不足的地方。某种程度来说,我们顶多可以说这些国家同意就棘手问题进行协商,但就这些问题他们也争执了多年。例如,G20同意均衡发达国家和发展中国家的投票权,但这也为日后留下了一些艰难的抉择。

  “排除中国毫无道理”

  此外,在某些事情上,一些外交言辞与事实并不相符。在这次会议上,G20各国承诺在当下艰难时刻,要抵制任何贸易保护主义的行为,并希望能避免针锋相对的贸易报复,如同上世纪30年代大萧条时期的那样。然而,上周奥巴马政府才宣布将对从中国进口的轮胎实施惩罚性关税。

  不过,美国媒体认为,尽管一些努力都失败了,但G20仍比过去G7所能给予的更多。这是因为,正确的人坐在谈判桌前,一同进行协商决策。将中国排除在决策过程外是毫无道理的,现在中国是世界第三大经济体,此外,巴西和印度等国的经济发展如此之迅速。

  俄罗斯花费数年才得以冲破G7的重重障碍,加入这一集团。总统梅德韦杰夫对集团的扩大持有一种哲学的观点,他说无论这个治理机关会变得有多庞大,各国都要警惕自己被排除在外。“这个世界里,不仅仅只有20个国家,20个经济体。因此我们都要想想,G20如何与那些不属于这一俱乐部的国家合作。 ”梅德韦杰夫在匹兹堡峰会上告诉记者。
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