We Advise the United States To Act Within Its Own Means

Published in Global Network
(China) on 19 August 2014
by Shen Dingli (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jessica Moore. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Lately, the United States has been very busy in the Asia-Pacific. The U.S. is reeling from its recent military and diplomatic operations in the Western Pacific, now in full swing. First, the U.S. Secretary of State and other senior government officials cast out the “South China Sea freeze” as part of a three-step plan, then participated in the ASEAN Regional Forum Foreign Ministers’ meeting, thus indicating their active presence in the region. After the ASEAN foreign ministers finally declared their “deep concern over recent developments in the South China Sea,” the American government officials seem satisfied.*

Consequently, the United States pushed the Australian military to join it in signing a 25-year military deployment protocol, which will station the U.S. military in Australia’s Northern Territory and the surrounding area, doubling American air and naval forces in the region. Afterward, the U.S. chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff visited Vietnam to promote lifting the ban on the sale of lethal weapons to the country, and to advise the Vietnamese navy on beginning cooperation.

Clearly, these American military and diplomatic officials can all justify their actions to a certain extent. It is a question of how we look at it.

For a long time, the United States has relied on its status as a global superpower to influence international maritime order, trying to control the world’s vast oceans with maximum freedom. Today, some countries have adopted air defense identification zones, the United States in particular being a frontrunner. However, while the U.S. can establish such zones, and can also help its allies in establishing them, it is very picky when setting up other countries’ zones. Although demanding that other countries revoke or do not implement them is not an illegal act, such tyrannical behavior goes without saying.

Moreover, with the rise of globalization and the growth of emerging economies, comparative international forces are changing, quietly forming a new world order. America is no longer the United States, and the world is no longer the “world.” Whether in Europe, the Middle East, or Asia, the United States’ capabilities are on the decline. For this reason, the United States is becoming even more anxious with regard to the dwindling old world order.

Indeed, the United States gives a lot of thought to spreading its military and diplomatic resources widely, and strengthening its core system of alliances and partnerships. But after all, embarrassingly cash-strapped Washington is soon to reach five years of dramatically increasing federal debt and two years of falling military expenditures. The so-called U.S. troops stationed in Australia will double from approximately 1,000 to 2,500. The U.S. enthusiastically promotes Vietnam’s arms purchases, but just look at how the Phillippines’ allies sell this stuff; even U.S. allies generally can see that Vietnam cannot get anything.

The ASEAN foreign ministers’ declaration showed their deep concern about the situation in the South China Sea, but everyone knows that it is precisely Vietnam, the Philippines, and U.S. interests acting on their behalf that gave rise to the mess in the South China Sea. Although the United States’ motive for disputing the South China Sea is clear, it has been intentionally muddled. On the surface, the U.S. doesn’t appear to take sides; however, it has tacitly approved Vietnam and the Philippines’ invasion and occupation of Chinese territory, so as to guarantee that the so-called “South China Sea freeze” will cause long-term damage to Chinese sovereignty. Meanwhile, the United States only verbally adheres to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, on the premise of ensuring that Chinese sovereignty is impaired, so as to appear to take an impartial stance toward Philippine interests. It is not difficult to see through the United States’ motives in these situations.

The United States claims the “American Pacific,” where no one goes, and knows its place there very well. Regardless of whether in the East or South China Sea, China’s sovereign interests have already been damaged, but China is still in control. However, the United States has to understand that times are different now, and relying on its strength to maintain its power has been difficult to sustain. China is willing to cooperate amicably with all of its neighbors, even if one or two do not reciprocate. At the same time, we advise the United States to assess its own capabilities and act accordingly, and not waste its power trying to thwart China’s timely and justified rise.

*Editor’s Note: This quotation, accurately translated, could not be verified.


最近,美国在亚太忙碌得很。它绕着西太平洋展开了不少外交和军事活动。美国国务卿等高官先是抛出“冻结南海行动”三点倡议,再是参加东盟地区论坛外长会,在场内场外颇是活跃。在看到东盟外长发表的宣言中终于写上了“对南海局势深感关切”的话语后,美国官员乃感满意。

然后,美国又推动了同澳大利亚的军事合作,双方签署了一项为期25年的军力部署协议,驻澳美军将因此扩大一倍,美国海空力量将在澳大利亚北部以及周围地区有更多存在。之后,美国参联会主席访问越南,旨在推动解禁对越南的致命性武器销售,并建议从武装越南海军开始着手。

显然,美国的这些军事外交均有所指。问题是我们如何看待。

长期以来,美国依仗它所拥有的超级国力,形成了于己有利的包括海洋秩序在内的国际秩序,力图在最广阔的海洋空间拥有最大的行动自由。今天已被一些国家采取的防空识别区制度,最早即由美国提出。但是,美国可以建立空识区,它也可以帮助其盟国建立空识区,但却对他国建立空识区很挑剔,不是宣布此举非法,就是要求对方取消或不执行,其霸道行径显而易见。
但是,随着全球化的发展和新兴经济体的崛起,国际力量的对比正在发生变化,世界格局也在悄然转型。美国已不再是那个美国,世界也不再是那个世界。无论是在欧洲、中东或是亚洲,美国主控能力都在下降。正因如此,美国更感不安,它对于其有利的旧秩序被打破的焦虑就更为深切。

美国确实用心良苦,广为使用其外交与军事资源,竭力加强以它为核心的同盟与伙伴体系。但华盛顿终究囊中羞涩,最近5年的联邦债务剧增,而最近两年的军费却在减少。所谓的驻澳美军人数将翻一番,不过是将大约1000美军增至2500。美国鼓吹向越南卖军火,但只要看看它向盟国菲律宾卖的是何等货色,大致就可判断连美国盟国都不是的越南还能拿到什么。

东盟外长会的宣言确实表示了对南海局势的关切,但是大家知道,引起南海局势紧张的乱源恰恰是越南、菲律宾以及为其站队的美国。美国对于南海争议的来由是清楚的,但它有意装糊涂。美国表面上不持立场,其实默认越菲对中国国土的侵占,所谓“冻结南海行动”的倡议就是长期维持中国主权受损的局面。与此同时,美国言必称《联合国海洋法公约》,就是在确保中国主权受损的前提下,以貌似公正的姿态来保护越菲的权益。看穿美国的这几个套路,其实不难。
美国宣称“太平洋美国”哪都不去,那它就好好在这里安分守己。无论是在东海还是在南海,中国的主权利益都已受损,但中国仍然有所克制。但是美国要明白,时代不同了,靠其实力维持不公已经难以为继。中国愿意与所有邻居友善相处,但也不怕个别邻居不愿与我国平等相待。同时,我们奉劝美国量力而行,不要将国力耗费在阻挡中国正当崛起的无谓之中。

(作者沈丁立为复旦大学国际问题研究院副院长、教授)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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